NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Toronto Raptors	89		Excitement	5.5 [750]		MVP	Mike James (TOR): +23.8%
New Orleans/Oklahoma City Hornets	95		Comeback	1.0 [1318]		LVP	Morris Peterson (TOR): -18.9%

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Mike James	0.24	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.22,0.25,0.24	0.30	0.04	0.11	18	92%	0.28	2	-0.04	3	100%	0.02
Charlie Villanueva	0.00	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.04,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0	0.01	0.00	0.01	14	50%	0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Rafael Araujo	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Joey Graham	0.00	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0	-0.03	0.01	-0.01	7	56%	0.06	3	-0.06	2	100%	0.02
Loren Woods	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.01	-0.00	4	50%	0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Andre Barrett	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05	-0.06	0.01	-0.00	6	17%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Pape Sow	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.02	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Matt Bonner	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06	-0.04	-0.01	0.01	13	35%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jose Calderon	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.05	-0.04	0.00	3	0%	-0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Morris Peterson	-0.19	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.11,-0.14,-0.17,-0.17,-0.18,-0.18,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19	-0.15	-0.06	-0.02	14	34%	-0.11	4	-0.08	10	90%	0.03

New Orleans/Oklahoma City Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
David West	0,0,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.11	0.05	0.01	12	70%	0.17	1	-0.02	3	100%	0.02
Linton Johnson	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.14,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.07	0.03	0.00	8	81%	0.17	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Chris Paul	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.09	0.09	0.05	0.03	-0.02	13	59%	0.12	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.00
Aaron Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.00	0.03	-0.02	3	67%	0.07	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Speedy Claxton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.02	-0.02	-0.05	0.01	-0.03	13	39%	0.02	1	-0.04	2	50%	-0.00
P.J. Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.01	-0.01	0.02	4	50%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Desmond Mason	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.06	-0.00	-0.04	6	37%	-0.00	1	-0.02	4	50%	-0.02
Marc Jackson	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.05	0.01	-0.02	6	57%	0.05	4	-0.08	2	100%	0.01
Kirk Snyder	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	-0.01	-0.02	8	39%	-0.01	1	-0.02	2	0%	-0.02
Rasual Butler	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.01	0.02	6	43%	-0.01	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	28.8	1.7	26.0	14.8	31.0	1.8	30.0	134.0
league avg	33.9	2.4	29.5	14.7	26.7	2.4	34.0	144.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NOK +55.0%

TOR -6.7%

NOK +2.4%

TOR -4.0%

NOK +3.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	TOR	NOK	NBA	TOR	NOK	NBA
this game	14.8	16.9	15.6	97.8	104.4	104.4
season	15.6	16.3		107.3	101.2
opponent	15.3	15.4		104.1	110.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
TOR	12.9	16.3	15.3	14.8	14.8
NOK	16.5	15.6	16.7	18.6	16.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Andre Barrett	28	29	-0.03	-0.47	0.45	-0.26	8	-14	22	16.1	14.2	1.90	13.9	18.2	-4.29
Rafael Araujo	10	10	-0.08	-0.42	0.35	-0.02	-2	-4	2	12.6	15.1	-2.46	18.4	16.7	1.73
Jose Calderon	14	14	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	-0.10	-1	-5	4	13.6	15.0	-1.36	19.7	16.3	3.38
Pape Sow	17	17	-0.14	-0.36	0.21	0.06	-7	1	-8	15.1	14.7	0.33	16.5	16.9	-0.40
Loren Woods	34	35	-0.20	-0.30	0.11	-0.17	-1	-5	4	14.1	15.2	-1.12	15.8	17.5	-1.76
Charlie Villanueva	74	73	-0.22	-0.28	0.05	-0.22	0	-6	6	14.7	15.2	-0.47	17.2	15.5	1.69
Matt Bonner	64	63	-0.32	-0.18	-0.13	-0.35	1	-7	8	15.4	13.4	1.91	16.1	18.6	-2.53
Mike James	73	73	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	-0.22	-5	-1	-4	15.1	13.6	1.54	17.2	15.6	1.55
Joey Graham	68	70	-0.41	-0.09	-0.31	-0.29	-4	-2	-2	14.8	14.7	0.07	18.1	12.6	5.57
Morris Peterson	73	71	-0.61	0.11	-0.72	-0.06	-19	13	-32	14.3	16.6	-2.27	16.6	17.6	-0.95

New Orleans/Oklahoma City Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Aaron Williams	39	39	0.39	0.11	0.29	0.07	11	-5	16	15.6	17.8	-2.22	14.8	14.8	-0.04
Chris Paul	67	68	0.39	0.11	0.28	0.22	6	0	6	17.2	15.8	1.45	14.3	16.1	-1.79
Speedy Claxton	54	53	0.31	0.19	0.11	0.36	-2	8	-10	15.8	18.4	-2.65	14.7	14.9	-0.18
David West	63	63	0.30	0.20	0.10	0.27	1	5	-4	16.8	16.9	-0.05	14.7	15.1	-0.46
Rasual Butler	40	39	0.28	0.22	0.05	0.16	4	2	2	17.4	16.4	0.97	13.9	15.5	-1.61
Linton Johnson	43	43	0.24	0.26	-0.02	0.01	8	-2	10	18.0	15.9	2.12	14.3	15.2	-0.97
Desmond Mason	41	42	0.18	0.32	-0.13	0.15	1	5	-4	15.7	17.8	-2.05	15.2	14.5	0.70
P.J. Brown	32	32	0.17	0.33	-0.17	0.22	-2	8	-10	17.2	16.6	0.61	14.8	14.8	0.08
Kirk Snyder	33	33	0.14	0.36	-0.22	0.11	1	5	-4	16.6	17.0	-0.35	16.6	13.8	2.80
Marc Jackson	43	43	0.10	0.40	-0.30	0.04	2	4	-2	18.1	15.7	2.39	15.4	14.2	1.15

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.55,0.61,0.63,0.64,0.63,0.65,0.69,0.71,0.69,0.65,0.66,0.7,0.68,0.74,0.73,0.64,0.67,0.61,0.64,0.54,0.58,0.67,0.61,0.67,0.63,0.63,0.64,0.67,0.64,0.71,0.65,0.72,0.76,0.81,0.72,0.81,0.78,0.79,0.76,0.88,0.94,0.99,0.99,1,1,0.98,0.96,1
Game		Similarity Score
DEN 91, DAL 105	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.55,0.6,0.6,0.65,0.64,0.67,0.73,0.76,0.79,0.75,0.7,0.64,0.7,0.69,0.67,0.67,0.59,0.54,0.56,0.56,0.61,0.7,0.7,0.62,0.57,0.64,0.64,0.61,0.71,0.68,0.79,0.8,0.74,0.79,0.78,0.86,0.85,0.92,0.88,0.94,0.96,0.97,0.98,1,1,1,1	94.8%
HOU 92, LAC 97	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.58,0.63,0.63,0.64,0.66,0.67,0.62,0.64,0.62,0.65,0.63,0.64,0.66,0.58,0.6,0.67,0.68,0.61,0.64,0.61,0.59,0.67,0.58,0.6,0.58,0.61,0.73,0.65,0.52,0.59,0.73,0.63,0.75,0.85,0.75,0.82,0.8,0.88,0.94,0.96,0.98,0.95,0.93,0.91,0.98,1	94.2%
MIL 87, CHI 95	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.58,0.61,0.6,0.64,0.7,0.7,0.72,0.64,0.66,0.7,0.7,0.72,0.77,0.69,0.69,0.63,0.68,0.74,0.67,0.75,0.73,0.75,0.66,0.6,0.49,0.58,0.61,0.68,0.75,0.76,0.73,0.81,0.82,0.74,0.74,0.67,0.76,0.85,0.92,0.95,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1	94.1%