inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Minnesota Timberwolves 85 Excitement3.4 [900] MVPMartell Webster (MIN): +9.8%
Los Angeles Lakers 104 Comeback1.0 [908] LVPRicky Rubio (MIN): -11.8%


Minnesota Timberwolves
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Martell Webster0.100,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.10.110.010.02778%0.1000.00475%-0.00
Darko Milicic0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02-0.020.00-0.04367%0.042-0.0200%0.00
Wesley Johnson0.010,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.000.00550%0.0100.0000%0.00
Luke Ridnour-0.000,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.050.01-0.041133%-0.0000.002100%0.01
Wayne Ellington-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.060.00-0.06617%-0.0000.0000%0.00
Derrick Williams-0.020,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.000.000.02856%0.032-0.0520%-0.02
Anthony Randolph-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.030.010.000.04952%-0.0310.00540%-0.00
Anthony Tolliver-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.01-0.010.02433%-0.0400.001100%0.00
Michael Beasley-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.05-0.01-0.021347%-0.013-0.03450%0.00
Nikola Pekovic-0.070,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.06-0.01-0.001145%-0.013-0.0600%0.00
Jose Juan Barea-0.080,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.08-0.01-0.0140%-0.051-0.0200%0.00
Ricky Rubio-0.120,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12-0.09-0.030.00819%-0.081-0.0400%0.00

Los Angeles Lakers
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Steve Blake0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.080.020.01-0.06757%0.091-0.0000%0.00
Metta World Peace0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.070.070.00-0.00567%0.0700.002100%0.01
Andrew Bynum0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.070.000.04962%0.0400.00333%-0.02
Pau Gasol0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.050.010.031065%0.082-0.043100%0.01
Matt Barnes0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.03-0.000.00-0.03845%0.0300.00450%-0.01
Derek Fisher0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.01-0.020.01-0.01570%0.063-0.0500%0.00
Jason Kapono0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.020.000.021100%0.0000.0000%0.00
Luke Walton0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.000.00-0.001100%0.0010.0000%0.00
Josh McRoberts00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Devin Ebanks0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.050.00-0.0520%0.0010.0000%0.00
Troy Murphy0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.000.050.000.05570%-0.0000.0000%0.00
Andrew Goudelock0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.090.00-0.08812%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Kobe Bryant0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.08,-0.07,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.020.02-0.000.042355%0.085-0.101090%0.02
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game21.72.025.717.530.63.427.7128.6
league avg25.52.329.814.226.92.333.6136.2
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
LAL +38.1%
LAL +10.8%
MIN -4.6%
LAL +6.0%
MIN -0.3%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsMINLALNBAMINLALNBA
this game14.814.915.687.6107.2102.8
season15.316.2102.6103.8
opponent15.115.1103.5104.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
MIN16.515.514.213.214.8
LAL12.318.813.515.614.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Minnesota Timberwolves
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Jose Juan Barea16180.01-0.510.51-0.114-232715.914.61.3417.314.33.02
Darko Milicic3233-0.00-0.500.50-0.031-202115.314.60.7417.113.73.36
Wayne Ellington2525-0.00-0.500.49-0.155-242913.215.4-2.2315.614.61.03
Anthony Tolliver2625-0.04-0.460.42-0.133-222513.215.4-2.2215.414.70.76
Michael Beasley4847-0.09-0.410.320.03-4-151116.513.23.3416.613.33.34
Anthony Randolph3939-0.14-0.360.220.04-6-13713.315.8-2.5215.414.50.94
Luke Ridnour5350-0.21-0.290.070.23-15-4-1115.613.81.8215.214.60.59
Derrick Williams5960-0.24-0.260.02-0.12-4-151114.115.9-1.8213.716.7-3.00
Martell Webster4244-0.32-0.18-0.140.09-14-5-914.914.80.1215.014.70.31
Ricky Rubio5454-0.42-0.08-0.350.05-16-3-1314.115.7-1.5413.716.4-2.69
Nikola Pekovic5453-0.50-0.00-0.500.21-245-2915.514.01.4613.816.2-2.35
Wesley Johnson3737-0.530.03-0.560.20-256-3115.514.41.0912.616.3-3.73

Los Angeles Lakers
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Pau Gasol62640.51-0.010.53-0.4533-144713.617.1-3.5515.513.51.97
Kobe Bryant67680.430.070.36-0.3928-93713.617.7-4.0415.313.61.75
Derek Fisher45440.400.100.31-0.121811713.915.7-1.8813.715.7-1.95
Andrew Bynum69670.390.110.29-0.02145915.114.40.6814.615.3-0.65
Metta World Peace47490.370.130.24-0.2421-22314.814.9-0.0914.814.9-0.08
Matt Barnes43420.130.37-0.240.04316-1315.314.50.8115.514.31.21
Steve Blake45460.100.40-0.31-0.08613-716.313.72.5916.713.23.50
Troy Murphy44440.090.41-0.320.09019-1916.713.33.3916.513.53.00
Andrew Goudelock30290.070.43-0.360.33-928-3717.713.64.0413.615.3-1.75
Jason Kapono770.000.50-0.500.15-524-2912.415.1-2.649.415.2-5.80
Luke Walton990.000.50-0.500.15-524-2914.115.0-0.849.815.3-5.55
Josh McRoberts1090.000.50-0.500.12-423-2714.015.0-0.989.815.3-5.55
Devin Ebanks770.000.50-0.500.15-524-2912.415.1-2.649.415.2-5.80


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.54,0.55,0.64,0.63,0.69,0.73,0.76,0.76,0.66,0.64,0.68,0.71,0.62,0.67,0.74,0.71,0.73,0.77,0.74,0.75,0.67,0.74,0.84,0.89,0.85,0.86,0.87,0.88,0.96,0.96,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
CHI 86, NYK 980.5,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.58,0.59,0.6,0.64,0.63,0.71,0.69,0.67,0.71,0.65,0.7,0.68,0.71,0.69,0.67,0.74,0.73,0.69,0.69,0.72,0.75,0.73,0.74,0.79,0.83,0.87,0.88,0.86,0.92,0.94,0.92,0.94,0.96,0.98,0.96,0.99,1,0.99,0.99,1,0.97,0.99,0.92,1,1,196.4%
SAC 105, MEM 1160.5,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.57,0.58,0.64,0.64,0.68,0.69,0.74,0.7,0.65,0.68,0.66,0.62,0.67,0.69,0.79,0.83,0.71,0.76,0.75,0.7,0.78,0.79,0.79,0.87,0.81,0.86,0.89,0.91,0.95,0.96,0.98,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,196.4%
ORL 85, MIL 1030.5,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.58,0.59,0.58,0.6,0.63,0.69,0.75,0.73,0.75,0.74,0.66,0.64,0.66,0.62,0.65,0.65,0.75,0.72,0.76,0.75,0.78,0.82,0.76,0.86,0.89,0.94,0.9,0.91,0.94,0.94,0.93,0.96,0.96,0.95,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,196.1%