NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Chicago Bulls	86		Excitement	4.0 [989]		MVP	Kurt Thomas (NYK): +11.5%
New York Knicks	98		Comeback	1.2 [1020]		LVP	Jay Williams (CHI): -15.0%

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Trenton Hassell	0.05	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	-0.00	-0.00	5	70%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jamal Crawford	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.00	0.00	-0.01	10	71%	0.08	5	-0.07	1	100%	0.00
Eddie Robinson	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.00	-0.01	0.01	3	67%	0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Donyell Marshall	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0.02,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	21	48%	-0.01	1	-0.00	4	50%	-0.01
Lonny Baxter	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marcus Fizer	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.05	-0.01	-0.02	10	41%	-0.01	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Eddy Curry	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.06	-0.01	-0.01	1	0%	-0.00	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Tyson Chandler	-0.08	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.07	-0.02	-0.01	2	67%	0.01	4	-0.09	2	100%	0.01
Jalen Rose	-0.11	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.06,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.03	-0.03	22	43%	-0.05	2	-0.05	10	100%	0.03
Jay Williams	-0.15	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.14,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.18	-0.01	-0.05	7	12%	-0.09	4	-0.06	2	100%	0.01

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kurt Thomas	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.06,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.09	0.02	0.00	21	57%	0.12	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Allan Houston	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.07	0.01	0.01	17	63%	0.13	2	-0.06	7	100%	0.03
Latrell Sprewell	0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.08	0.00	0.01	12	67%	0.08	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Shandon Anderson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.01	0.01	-0.03	11	50%	0.05	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Clar. Weatherspoon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	2	67%	0.02	2	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Michael Doleac	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.06	-0.00	-0.05	5	42%	0.02	2	-0.03	2	50%	-0.00
Lee Nailon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	-0.00	-0.02	3	33%	-0.02	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Howard Eisley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	-0.00	-0.01	7	21%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Othella Harrington	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.06,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.01	5	40%	0.01	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Charlie Ward	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.09	-0.00	-0.02	8	12%	-0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.1	2.4	23.5	16.7	27.1	1.8	27.3	120.9
league avg	46.1	2.3	28.0	14.7	24.5	2.3	29.9	149.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NYK +31.6%

CHI -4.4%

CHI -1.8%

NYK +20.2%

NYK +4.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHI	NYK	NBA	CHI	NYK	NBA
this game	15.8	15.3	15.5	92.5	106.5	101.6
season	15.0	15.6		98.3	102.6
opponent	15.5	15.1		104.0	103.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHI	16.7	16.0	15.7	14.9	15.8
NYK	14.6	14.0	15.6	17.2	15.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Lonny Baxter	15	16	0.02	-0.52	0.55	-0.04	2	-14	16	16.6	15.7	0.91	13.1	15.8	-2.70
Eddy Curry	13	15	-0.02	-0.48	0.45	-0.14	4	-16	20	17.9	15.5	2.42	15.7	15.2	0.53
Eddie Robinson	47	46	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	-0.20	3	-15	18	15.5	16.2	-0.75	15.5	15.1	0.41
Jamal Crawford	47	46	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	-0.20	3	-15	18	15.5	16.2	-0.75	15.5	15.1	0.41
Marcus Fizer	50	48	-0.16	-0.34	0.17	-0.19	1	-13	14	14.1	17.8	-3.72	16.4	14.1	2.35
Tyson Chandler	28	28	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	0.08	-15	3	-18	18.5	14.7	3.81	14.6	15.6	-0.94
Trenton Hassell	46	46	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	0.05	-15	3	-18	16.2	15.5	0.75	15.1	15.5	-0.41
Jay Williams	46	46	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	0.05	-15	3	-18	16.2	15.5	0.75	15.1	15.5	-0.41
Donyell Marshall	80	77	-0.48	-0.02	-0.45	-0.01	-16	4	-20	15.5	17.9	-2.42	15.2	15.7	-0.53
Jalen Rose	93	92	-0.50	0.00	-0.50	-0.15	-12	0	-12	15.8	0.0	15.84	15.3	0.0	15.29

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Allan Houston	71	72	0.51	-0.01	0.51	-0.11	21	-9	30	15.4	14.8	0.63	15.7	16.2	-0.52
Latrell Sprewell	71	73	0.47	0.03	0.43	0.03	15	-3	18	15.7	14.0	1.74	15.6	16.7	-1.16
Howard Eisley	43	44	0.46	0.04	0.42	-0.13	20	-8	28	15.3	15.3	-0.03	16.5	15.3	1.17
Kurt Thomas	62	63	0.44	0.06	0.38	-0.00	15	-3	18	16.0	13.9	2.12	15.3	16.9	-1.62
Othella Harrington	33	34	0.36	0.14	0.23	-0.08	15	-3	18	14.7	15.6	-0.88	17.9	14.7	3.17
Clar. Weatherspoon	52	52	0.10	0.40	-0.30	0.22	-4	16	-20	15.8	14.6	1.14	14.8	17.1	-2.34
Michael Doleac	30	30	0.06	0.44	-0.38	0.15	-3	15	-18	13.9	16.0	-2.12	16.9	15.3	1.62
Charlie Ward	49	49	0.04	0.46	-0.42	0.27	-8	20	-28	15.3	15.3	0.03	15.3	16.5	-1.17
Shandon Anderson	35	35	0.03	0.47	-0.43	0.24	-7	19	-26	14.4	15.9	-1.49	16.4	15.5	0.95
Lee Nailon	14	13	0.03	0.47	-0.43	0.15	-4	16	-20	14.4	15.5	-1.10	15.2	15.9	-0.80

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.58,0.59,0.6,0.64,0.63,0.71,0.69,0.67,0.71,0.65,0.7,0.68,0.71,0.69,0.67,0.74,0.73,0.69,0.69,0.72,0.75,0.73,0.74,0.79,0.83,0.87,0.88,0.86,0.92,0.94,0.92,0.94,0.96,0.98,0.96,0.99,1,0.99,0.99,1,0.97,0.99,0.92,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
LAC 77, GSW 105	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.56,0.56,0.59,0.64,0.68,0.67,0.62,0.68,0.68,0.7,0.69,0.66,0.62,0.65,0.68,0.68,0.61,0.69,0.75,0.76,0.82,0.79,0.77,0.8,0.87,0.9,0.87,0.93,0.94,0.93,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.6%
POR 93, NOH 113	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.57,0.56,0.6,0.64,0.66,0.72,0.75,0.74,0.71,0.7,0.74,0.7,0.75,0.69,0.65,0.66,0.66,0.66,0.71,0.7,0.7,0.73,0.74,0.77,0.75,0.87,0.86,0.92,0.9,0.94,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.5%
MIN 85, LAL 104	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.54,0.55,0.64,0.63,0.69,0.73,0.76,0.76,0.66,0.64,0.68,0.71,0.62,0.67,0.74,0.71,0.73,0.77,0.74,0.75,0.67,0.74,0.84,0.89,0.85,0.86,0.87,0.88,0.96,0.96,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.4%