NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Clippers	77		Excitement	3.8 [1046]		MVP	Mike Dunleavy (GSW): +12.4%
Golden State Warriors	105		Comeback	1.0 [1265]		LVP	Jason Richardson (GSW): -8.3%

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Keyon Dooling	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	-0.01	0.01	-0.03	4	50%	0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Melvin Ely	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	3	33%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Eddie House	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.03	-0.00	-0.03	4	50%	0.01	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Predrag Drobnjak	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.04	0.00	-0.02	3	25%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Chris Kaman	-0.02	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.08	0.00	-0.06	10	38%	0.00	1	-0.02	6	33%	-0.01
Chris Wilcox	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.07	0.00	-0.04	5	36%	-0.01	1	-0.01	4	25%	-0.03
Doug Overton	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.00	0.00	3	33%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Matt Barnes	-0.04	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	-0.00	-0.02	3	33%	-0.02	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Randy Livingston	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.08	-0.01	-0.04	6	43%	-0.03	3	-0.01	2	100%	0.00
Corey Maggette	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.11	0.01	-0.05	19	48%	0.06	5	-0.10	6	67%	-0.00
Elton Brand	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.02	-0.01	13	58%	0.00	4	-0.06	7	71%	-0.01

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Mike Dunleavy	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.13	0.01	0.02	9	89%	0.12	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mickael Pietrus	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.03	0.01	0.01	10	63%	0.06	1	-0.02	7	71%	-0.01
Avery Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	-0.00	-0.00	7	57%	0.02	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Adonal Foyle	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	2	50%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
J.R. Bremer	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brian Cardinal	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.06	0.00	0.06	2	120%	0.00	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Erick Dampier	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	11	53%	0.02	1	-0.03	8	50%	-0.03
Calbert Cheaney	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.04	0.00	-0.02	7	29%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Troy Murphy	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.07	-0.00	-0.06	11	36%	0.00	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Clifford Robinson	0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.06	0.00	-0.01	9	33%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jason Richardson	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.12	-0.00	-0.04	19	43%	-0.02	3	-0.06	8	37%	-0.04

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	30.1	2.0	25.1	16.4	27.5	2.6	26.5	130.2
league avg	47.8	2.4	27.9	14.3	24.8	2.1	29.8	150.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

GSW +18.1%

LAC -0.7%

GSW +23.1%

GSW +7.8%

GSW +1.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAC	GSW	NBA	LAC	GSW	NBA
this game	15.1	16.2	15.7	83.7	114.1	100.5
season	15.5	16.1		101.3	100.8
opponent	15.3	15.4		101.6	106.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAC	12.8	16.2	16.8	15.1	15.1
GSW	13.4	19.0	17.5	16.2	16.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Melvin Ely	12	11	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.26	-9	-19	10	16.2	14.9	1.27	14.7	16.4	-1.72
Predrag Drobnjak	21	22	-0.05	-0.45	0.39	0.18	-8	-20	12	15.8	14.8	0.96	14.6	16.8	-2.17
Keyon Dooling	32	31	-0.06	-0.44	0.39	0.09	-5	-23	18	14.0	15.6	-1.68	15.2	16.8	-1.58
Chris Wilcox	32	32	-0.08	-0.42	0.35	-0.11	1	-29	30	14.7	15.2	-0.53	17.6	15.5	2.12
Randy Livingston	35	35	-0.17	-0.33	0.17	0.27	-15	-13	-2	15.7	14.7	1.00	17.0	15.8	1.18
Eddie House	53	54	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	0.08	-10	-18	8	14.9	15.3	-0.42	16.1	16.4	-0.27
Doug Overton	31	31	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	0.09	-13	-15	2	15.4	14.9	0.44	16.0	16.4	-0.36
Matt Barnes	55	54	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	0.41	-24	-4	-20	15.8	13.9	1.92	16.3	16.1	0.23
Chris Kaman	63	62	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	0.23	-21	-7	-14	15.3	14.5	0.85	16.3	16.0	0.31
Corey Maggette	63	65	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.04	-12	-16	4	14.4	16.4	-2.02	15.8	17.3	-1.44
Elton Brand	63	63	-0.57	0.07	-0.64	0.13	-24	-4	-20	14.7	15.9	-1.16	17.0	14.7	2.26

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Erick Dampier	71	69	0.52	-0.02	0.55	-0.21	25	3	22	16.3	16.0	0.31	14.6	16.5	-1.88
Mike Dunleavy	65	67	0.49	0.01	0.47	-0.28	26	2	24	16.1	16.6	-0.55	14.9	15.5	-0.62
Jason Richardson	60	60	0.47	0.03	0.44	-0.17	22	6	16	15.5	17.7	-2.22	15.1	14.9	0.24
Clifford Robinson	46	47	0.44	0.06	0.37	-0.06	17	11	6	15.5	16.9	-1.39	15.3	14.8	0.56
Mickael Pietrus	65	66	0.24	0.26	-0.02	-0.35	20	8	12	14.6	20.1	-5.48	14.3	16.9	-2.54
Calbert Cheaney	41	40	0.22	0.28	-0.06	0.10	4	24	-20	17.4	15.3	2.08	15.5	14.7	0.81
Troy Murphy	50	49	0.09	0.41	-0.32	-0.29	13	15	-2	16.3	16.1	0.22	15.3	14.8	0.52
Avery Johnson	35	32	0.08	0.42	-0.34	0.02	2	26	-24	18.8	14.6	4.18	15.5	14.8	0.67
J.R. Bremer	4	4	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.15	5	23	-18	20.7	16.0	4.72	18.0	14.9	3.07
Brian Cardinal	6	7	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.15	5	23	-18	17.2	16.2	0.99	16.4	15.0	1.48
Adonal Foyle	17	19	-0.05	0.55	-0.60	-0.08	1	27	-26	17.5	15.9	1.58	15.5	15.0	0.51

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.56,0.56,0.59,0.64,0.68,0.67,0.62,0.68,0.68,0.7,0.69,0.66,0.62,0.65,0.68,0.68,0.61,0.69,0.75,0.76,0.82,0.79,0.77,0.8,0.87,0.9,0.87,0.93,0.94,0.93,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
WAS 72, DAL 97	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.53,0.57,0.62,0.66,0.67,0.62,0.64,0.66,0.65,0.66,0.66,0.67,0.69,0.7,0.66,0.59,0.61,0.72,0.72,0.73,0.8,0.79,0.8,0.75,0.78,0.84,0.87,0.92,0.92,0.94,0.95,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.9%
CLE 75, IND 95	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.53,0.51,0.54,0.58,0.59,0.61,0.63,0.67,0.68,0.64,0.68,0.68,0.7,0.69,0.73,0.7,0.66,0.68,0.64,0.64,0.75,0.84,0.84,0.79,0.82,0.87,0.89,0.92,0.92,0.91,0.94,0.95,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.96,0.98,1,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.7%
CHI 86, NYK 98	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.58,0.59,0.6,0.64,0.63,0.71,0.69,0.67,0.71,0.65,0.7,0.68,0.71,0.69,0.67,0.74,0.73,0.69,0.69,0.72,0.75,0.73,0.74,0.79,0.83,0.87,0.88,0.86,0.92,0.94,0.92,0.94,0.96,0.98,0.96,0.99,1,0.99,0.99,1,0.97,0.99,0.92,1,1,1	96.6%