NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Orlando Magic	85		Excitement	3.3 [1099]		MVP	Glenn Robinson (MIL): +8.5%
Milwaukee Bucks	103		Comeback	1.0 [1021]		LVP	Rony Seikaly (ORL): -10.6%

Orlando Magic
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
David Vaughn	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.08	0.01	0.03	4	100%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Horace Grant	0.04	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.05	0.00	0.01	12	62%	0.07	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.00
Gerald Wilkins	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.05	15	50%	0.04	2	-0.02	4	75%	0.00
Amal McCaskill	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	0	50%	0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Dennis Scott	-0.03	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	15	44%	-0.01	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.00
Derek Strong	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.08	-0.00	-0.04	7	39%	-0.02	2	-0.02	4	75%	-0.01
Kenny Smith	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	-0.01	3	33%	-0.02	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Brian Shaw	-0.07	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.09	0.00	-0.02	5	17%	-0.05	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Darrell Armstrong	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.11	-0.00	-0.04	6	36%	-0.02	4	-0.06	2	100%	0.00
Rony Seikaly	-0.11	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.04	-0.02	0.05	10	48%	-0.08	1	-0.02	7	71%	-0.02

Milwaukee Bucks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Glenn Robinson	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.09,0.08,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.04	0.01	-0.04	18	59%	0.10	2	-0.02	5	80%	0.01
Sherman Douglas	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.08	0.00	0.02	6	92%	0.08	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Chucky Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	-0.00	-0.01	4	50%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andrew Lang	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	3	67%	0.02	0	0.00	6	100%	0.01
Ray Allen	0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.03	0.00	0.02	9	73%	0.04	3	-0.03	4	100%	0.02
Armen Gilliam	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.03	0.00	0.03	6	67%	0.01	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
David Wood	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shawn Respert	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Joe Wolf	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Elliot Perry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.04	0.01	-0.01	6	56%	0.01	2	-0.02	4	25%	-0.04
Johnny Newman	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.02	12	42%	0.00	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Vin Baker	0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.09	-0.00	-0.05	13	43%	-0.02	3	-0.03	4	75%	-0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.2	2.4	25.6	15.6	27.1	1.8	21.7	116.4
league avg	32.7	2.1	23.2	15.3	25.7	2.1	33.1	135.6

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIL +29.6%

MIL +4.4%

MIL +8.9%

MIL +5.2%

MIL +1.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ORL	MIL	NBA	ORL	MIL	NBA
this game	16.8	15.4	15.6	94.4	115.7	104.4
season	16.4	16.0		102.9	103.9
opponent	15.5	15.5		106.0	103.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ORL	16.4	18.2	17.0	15.4	16.8
MIL	12.9	15.2	15.8	18.0	15.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Orlando Magic
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
David Vaughn	23	24	0.04	-0.54	0.58	0.12	-3	-15	12	17.2	16.6	0.56	18.3	14.3	3.99
Amal McCaskill	5	6	0.00	-0.51	0.51	0.09	-3	-15	12	12.0	17.0	-5.04	15.2	15.4	-0.27
Derek Strong	38	39	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.02	-1	-17	16	16.8	16.7	0.01	15.6	15.3	0.36
Darrell Armstrong	50	50	-0.03	-0.48	0.45	-0.20	6	-24	30	15.6	18.2	-2.55	14.8	16.2	-1.45
Kenny Smith	24	24	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	-0.02	-5	-13	8	18.2	16.2	1.92	14.9	15.6	-0.68
Dennis Scott	48	48	-0.31	-0.20	-0.11	-0.10	-7	-11	4	16.0	17.6	-1.57	15.6	15.2	0.36
Brian Shaw	59	56	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	0.20	-22	4	-26	18.1	14.3	3.81	16.4	13.8	2.64
Gerald Wilkins	76	75	-0.53	0.03	-0.56	-0.00	-18	0	-18	16.5	18.4	-1.90	14.6	19.6	-4.93
Horace Grant	66	64	-0.54	0.04	-0.58	0.01	-19	1	-20	16.9	16.2	0.69	15.5	15.2	0.24
Rony Seikaly	61	59	-0.55	0.04	-0.59	-0.02	-18	0	-18	16.8	16.6	0.25	14.7	16.8	-2.09

Milwaukee Bucks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Andrew Lang	48	49	0.52	-0.02	0.54	-0.09	21	-3	24	14.7	16.3	-1.58	17.2	16.2	0.98
Ray Allen	64	66	0.51	-0.01	0.52	-0.16	23	-5	28	14.8	17.0	-2.20	17.6	14.4	3.19
Sherman Douglas	42	44	0.40	0.10	0.30	-0.16	19	-1	20	14.6	16.2	-1.60	16.6	16.9	-0.28
Vin Baker	63	65	0.40	0.11	0.29	0.14	9	9	0	15.2	15.8	-0.61	16.8	16.7	0.05
Glenn Robinson	65	65	0.36	0.15	0.22	0.18	6	12	-6	15.2	15.9	-0.63	16.4	17.6	-1.22
Johnny Newman	43	43	0.13	0.37	-0.24	0.02	4	14	-10	16.6	14.3	2.35	16.9	16.7	0.20
Elliot Perry	41	42	0.11	0.40	-0.29	0.23	-4	22	-26	16.3	14.6	1.67	17.1	16.4	0.68
Chucky Brown	21	20	0.11	0.40	-0.29	-0.07	6	12	-6	16.5	15.1	1.45	17.9	16.4	1.47
David Wood	6	5	0.00	0.51	-0.51	-0.09	3	15	-12	15.2	15.4	-0.27	12.0	17.0	-5.04
Shawn Respert	6	5	0.00	0.51	-0.51	-0.09	3	15	-12	15.2	15.4	-0.27	12.0	17.0	-5.04
Joe Wolf	5	5	0.00	0.51	-0.51	-0.09	3	15	-12	13.0	15.6	-2.56	12.0	17.0	-5.04
Armen Gilliam	41	41	-0.02	0.52	-0.54	0.07	-3	21	-24	16.3	14.7	1.58	16.2	17.2	-0.98

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.58,0.59,0.58,0.6,0.63,0.69,0.75,0.73,0.75,0.74,0.66,0.64,0.66,0.62,0.65,0.65,0.75,0.72,0.76,0.75,0.78,0.82,0.76,0.86,0.89,0.94,0.9,0.91,0.94,0.94,0.93,0.96,0.96,0.95,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
CHI 82, DAL 107	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.57,0.57,0.65,0.68,0.7,0.74,0.78,0.74,0.73,0.72,0.68,0.68,0.73,0.71,0.7,0.67,0.73,0.71,0.74,0.81,0.82,0.82,0.78,0.88,0.93,0.93,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.96,0.95,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.5%
DAL 70, MEM 89	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.52,0.57,0.56,0.6,0.66,0.7,0.75,0.74,0.69,0.68,0.74,0.7,0.68,0.68,0.69,0.72,0.7,0.75,0.78,0.81,0.77,0.75,0.78,0.79,0.82,0.83,0.89,0.92,0.94,0.96,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.4%
GSW 88, DEN 122	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.57,0.57,0.56,0.55,0.63,0.71,0.69,0.71,0.7,0.7,0.68,0.64,0.64,0.6,0.61,0.58,0.66,0.69,0.77,0.75,0.73,0.73,0.71,0.8,0.92,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.96,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.4%