inpredictable
Powered by Blogger.
NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Chicago Bulls 82 Excitement3.2 [1148] MVPHarrison Barnes (DAL): +11.5%
Dallas Mavericks 107 Comeback1.0 [592] LVPRajon Rondo (CHI): -8.3%


Chicago Bulls
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Robin Lopez0.030,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03-0.010.00-0.031258%0.073-0.05250%-0.01
Jerian Grant0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02-0.030.00-0.05650%0.062-0.0300%0.00
Isaiah Canaan0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.030.000.01677%0.052-0.031100%0.00
Denzel Valentine0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.010.00-0.01550%0.0200.0000%0.00
Taj Gibson0.000,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.010.010.02861%0.032-0.03250%-0.01
Cristiano Felicio0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.010.00-0.01337%0.0000.00250%0.00
RJ Hunter0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Paul Zipser0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.020.00-0.0210%0.0000.0000%0.00
Jimmy Butler-0.010,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.010.04-0.000.051854%0.023-0.031283%0.01
Bobby Portis-0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.07-0.00-0.02440%-0.023-0.04250%-0.01
Nikola Mirotic-0.060,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.00-0.0140%-0.0600.0000%0.00
Rajon Rondo-0.080,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.13-0.00-0.05425%-0.025-0.0700%0.00

Dallas Mavericks
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Harrison Barnes0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.11,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.110.110.070.01-0.042150%0.1100.002100%0.01
Dorian Finney-Smith0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.080.090.000.02579%0.0800.00475%0.00
Dwight Powell0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.060.100.000.031165%0.081-0.02475%-0.00
Andrew Bogut0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.040.00-0.014100%0.072-0.0100%0.00
Wesley Matthews0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.01,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.14-0.000.091774%0.103-0.051100%0.00
Devin Harris0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.050.00-0.05437%0.032-0.0300%0.00
AJ Hammons0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.000.000.00250%0.0000.0000%0.00
Salah Mejri0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.030.00-0.0320%0.0000.0000%0.00
Nicolas Brussino00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Jonathan Gibson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.060.00-0.05729%-0.011-0.0100%0.00
Justin Anderson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.030.01-0.000.04350%-0.0300.00450%-0.01
Deron Williams0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.06-0.00-0.021136%-0.021-0.023100%0.02
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game23.91.830.414.825.51.831.2129.3
league avg24.82.329.615.726.82.333.5136.4
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
DAL +19.1%
DAL +6.1%
DAL +8.9%
DAL +13.2%
DAL +2.7%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsCHIDALNBACHIDALNBA
this game14.317.914.892.1118.9107.7
season15.116.2105.9104.4
opponent14.714.8107.2105.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
CHI13.713.214.516.214.3
DAL16.916.819.118.917.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Chicago Bulls
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
RJ Hunter330.00-0.500.500.15-5-201512.314.4-2.0319.717.81.86
Paul Zipser78-0.00-0.500.500.21-7-181114.914.20.6118.617.80.83
Cristiano Felicio2424-0.01-0.490.470.07-3-221914.314.3-0.0020.117.13.02
Denzel Valentine3536-0.06-0.440.390.18-8-17914.714.10.6018.317.60.73
Jerian Grant4547-0.10-0.400.300.08-6-191313.215.4-2.2518.617.11.53
Bobby Portis3738-0.11-0.390.29-0.05-2-232113.614.7-1.1018.817.21.60
Robin Lopez5051-0.24-0.260.020.08-11-14314.114.5-0.3516.819.2-2.41
Isaiah Canaan5252-0.26-0.24-0.01-0.11-5-201513.814.9-1.0718.616.81.77
Jimmy Butler7070-0.35-0.15-0.21-0.06-10-15513.915.8-1.9717.519.2-1.71
Rajon Rondo4645-0.43-0.07-0.360.19-21-4-1715.513.02.4117.018.8-1.82
Nikola Mirotic2524-0.43-0.07-0.370.27-24-1-2316.213.52.6516.218.5-2.32
Taj Gibson5152-0.510.01-0.520.16-23-2-2114.713.71.0117.318.6-1.23

Dallas Mavericks
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Harrison Barnes69690.58-0.080.65-0.3632-73917.519.1-1.6614.912.12.83
Wesley Matthews65640.52-0.020.55-0.062051517.718.4-0.7414.613.60.96
Deron Williams58570.500.000.49-0.3027-22917.618.4-0.7915.212.62.60
Dorian Finney-Smith67650.480.020.46-0.232412318.216.91.3414.513.80.63
Dwight Powell50500.260.240.02-0.031015-519.316.03.3214.713.80.89
Andrew Bogut45440.190.31-0.130.10322-1916.219.5-3.3314.014.6-0.53
Devin Harris30320.050.45-0.400.14-328-3117.618.0-0.4014.214.3-0.07
Jonathan Gibson32320.000.50-0.490.06-227-2918.417.60.7912.615.2-2.60
Salah Mejri540.000.50-0.50-0.14520-1520.817.73.1110.214.5-4.23
AJ Hammons440.000.50-0.50-0.15520-1517.217.9-0.6511.014.4-3.45
Nicolas Brussino440.000.50-0.50-0.15520-1517.217.9-0.6511.014.4-3.45
Justin Anderson2120-0.080.58-0.65-0.05-126-2718.717.61.0412.514.8-2.31


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.57,0.57,0.65,0.68,0.7,0.74,0.78,0.74,0.73,0.72,0.68,0.68,0.73,0.71,0.7,0.67,0.73,0.71,0.74,0.81,0.82,0.82,0.78,0.88,0.93,0.93,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.96,0.95,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
MIN 94, NJN 1160.5,0.49,0.5,0.54,0.57,0.61,0.65,0.68,0.63,0.7,0.71,0.73,0.75,0.74,0.68,0.68,0.64,0.65,0.74,0.76,0.74,0.71,0.81,0.83,0.82,0.82,0.79,0.9,0.93,0.94,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,196.9%
POR 86, UTA 1100.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.55,0.56,0.63,0.68,0.73,0.75,0.72,0.69,0.71,0.72,0.7,0.64,0.71,0.67,0.78,0.76,0.66,0.75,0.74,0.79,0.75,0.75,0.79,0.88,0.93,0.96,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,196.7%
WAS 72, MIA 1020.5,0.51,0.55,0.52,0.55,0.58,0.63,0.64,0.69,0.72,0.79,0.74,0.79,0.74,0.7,0.69,0.64,0.73,0.73,0.7,0.69,0.75,0.76,0.87,0.82,0.86,0.91,0.93,0.95,0.96,0.96,0.98,0.99,1,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,196.6%