NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Minnesota Timberwolves	94		Excitement	3.2 [1104]		MVP	Stephon Marbury (NJN): +10.5%
New Jersey Nets	116		Comeback	1.0 [562]		LVP	Wally Szczerbiak (MIN): -7.8%

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Todd Day	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.00	-0.00	4	75%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tom Hammonds	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	3	33%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sam Mitchell	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	2	37%	-0.00	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Chauncey Billups	-0.02	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.01	-0.00	0.03	13	46%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rasho Nesterovic	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	0.00	0.01	7	69%	0.03	3	-0.05	2	50%	-0.00
LaPhonso Ellis	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	0.00	0.01	7	53%	-0.00	1	-0.02	3	100%	0.00
Dean Garrett	-0.02	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Peeler	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	0.00	-0.00	0.04	10	50%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Garnett	-0.05	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	0.00	-0.01	0.04	16	55%	-0.02	2	-0.02	6	83%	0.01
Terrell Brandon	-0.06	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.07	-0.01	-0.02	9	22%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
William Avery	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.15	-0.00	-0.08	7	19%	-0.02	3	-0.05	2	50%	-0.00
Wally Szczerbiak	-0.08	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.08,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.01	-0.01	14	43%	-0.04	3	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01

New Jersey Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Stephon Marbury	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.08	0.00	-0.02	16	67%	0.11	2	-0.01	8	75%	-0.01
Stephen Jackson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.03,-0.02,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.04	0.01	-0.06	13	47%	0.05	2	-0.02	4	100%	0.03
Aaron Williams	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.03	0.00	0.02	6	65%	0.01	0	0.00	8	62%	-0.02
Evan Eschmeyer	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.03	0.00	0.02	1	100%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Sherman Douglas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.07	-0.00	0.07	11	64%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lucious Harris	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.03	-0.00	0.02	9	62%	0.03	1	-0.02	3	100%	0.01
Kevin Ollie	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Soumaila Samake	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	3	62%	-0.00	1	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Kenyon Martin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.05	-0.00	0.06	13	62%	-0.01	1	-0.01	6	67%	-0.02
Jim McIlvaine	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Johnny Newman	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.12	-0.00	-0.06	10	27%	-0.02	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.3	2.5	26.5	15.3	29.4	2.0	27.3	128.2
league avg	28.8	2.2	28.9	16.6	26.2	2.2	33.1	139.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NJN +26.9%

NJN +11.4%

MIN -0.6%

NJN +9.5%

NJN +2.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIN	NJN	NBA	MIN	NJN	NBA
this game	14.2	15.6	15.5	97.9	119.6	100.9
season	15.0	15.5		102.9	97.8
opponent	15.1	15.9		103.0	101.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIN	14.5	13.5	15.0	14.0	14.2
NJN	14.9	13.7	16.9	17.3	15.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
William Avery	35	36	0.03	-0.53	0.56	-0.17	7	-29	36	13.1	14.9	-1.73	17.7	14.4	3.29
Tom Hammonds	8	8	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.03	1	-23	24	14.4	14.2	0.15	18.5	15.3	3.16
Sam Mitchell	27	26	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	0.03	-2	-20	18	14.1	14.3	-0.18	17.4	14.9	2.49
Dean Garrett	8	8	-0.08	-0.42	0.35	0.10	-6	-16	10	18.1	13.9	4.24	15.7	15.6	0.17
Rasho Nesterovic	44	45	-0.10	-0.40	0.29	-0.10	0	-22	22	13.9	14.5	-0.65	15.4	15.8	-0.37
Anthony Peeler	64	65	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	0.03	-6	-16	10	13.2	16.4	-3.20	16.2	14.4	1.73
Todd Day	19	19	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	0.12	-11	-11	0	12.4	14.7	-2.27	14.3	15.9	-1.59
Wally Szczerbiak	54	55	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	0.04	-11	-11	0	14.9	13.4	1.53	15.2	16.1	-0.96
Kevin Garnett	70	70	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	0.30	-22	0	-22	14.6	13.2	1.38	15.1	16.9	-1.74
Chauncey Billups	52	52	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	0.10	-16	-6	-10	15.3	13.0	2.37	15.2	16.0	-0.79
LaPhonso Ellis	45	46	-0.47	-0.03	-0.43	0.00	-16	-6	-10	13.6	14.8	-1.25	15.3	15.9	-0.56
Terrell Brandon	54	55	-0.51	0.01	-0.52	0.31	-28	6	-34	15.0	13.3	1.65	14.5	17.0	-2.56

New Jersey Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Lucious Harris	63	63	0.60	-0.10	0.69	-0.14	25	-3	28	14.9	16.9	-2.07	14.6	13.5	1.15
Kenyon Martin	50	51	0.50	0.00	0.49	-0.38	30	-8	38	15.4	15.8	-0.45	15.0	13.4	1.66
Aaron Williams	50	51	0.49	0.01	0.48	-0.51	34	-12	46	15.9	15.2	0.71	14.7	13.7	1.08
Stephen Jackson	78	77	0.42	0.08	0.34	-0.14	19	3	16	15.4	16.2	-0.76	14.4	13.8	0.56
Stephon Marbury	62	61	0.31	0.19	0.12	0.02	10	12	-2	15.2	16.3	-1.03	14.8	13.3	1.55
Johnny Newman	72	71	0.11	0.39	-0.28	0.02	3	19	-16	16.1	14.1	2.05	13.7	15.9	-2.22
Sherman Douglas	54	54	0.10	0.40	-0.30	-0.02	4	18	-14	16.2	14.9	1.28	13.1	15.6	-2.49
Evan Eschmeyer	14	12	0.04	0.46	-0.42	0.07	-1	23	-24	12.9	16.1	-3.20	16.7	13.9	2.77
Kevin Ollie	7	7	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.03	-1	23	-24	16.0	15.6	0.43	13.7	14.3	-0.57
Soumaila Samake	17	16	-0.01	0.51	-0.52	0.22	-8	30	-38	18.5	15.0	3.48	13.9	14.3	-0.44
Jim McIlvaine	18	17	-0.05	0.55	-0.60	0.10	-5	27	-32	15.2	15.7	-0.53	11.1	14.9	-3.79

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.5,0.54,0.57,0.61,0.65,0.68,0.63,0.7,0.71,0.73,0.75,0.74,0.68,0.68,0.64,0.65,0.74,0.76,0.74,0.71,0.81,0.83,0.82,0.82,0.79,0.9,0.93,0.94,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
CHI 82, DAL 107	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.57,0.57,0.65,0.68,0.7,0.74,0.78,0.74,0.73,0.72,0.68,0.68,0.73,0.71,0.7,0.67,0.73,0.71,0.74,0.81,0.82,0.82,0.78,0.88,0.93,0.93,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.96,0.95,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.9%
ORL 82, TOR 111	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.57,0.64,0.66,0.69,0.7,0.7,0.72,0.69,0.66,0.66,0.68,0.7,0.71,0.73,0.71,0.76,0.75,0.78,0.81,0.85,0.82,0.82,0.86,0.84,0.92,0.95,0.93,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.7%
CHI 79, ORL 107	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.6,0.56,0.6,0.62,0.59,0.63,0.62,0.69,0.71,0.75,0.72,0.64,0.58,0.63,0.7,0.76,0.79,0.76,0.76,0.75,0.75,0.82,0.79,0.9,0.93,0.94,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.6%