inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Golden State Warriors 88 Excitement3.7 [1049] MVPGeorge McCloud (DEN): +6.2%
Denver Nuggets 122 Comeback1.0 [1113] LVPLarry Hughes (GSW): -22.7%


Golden State Warriors
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Vonteego Cummings0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.010.01-0.031952%0.062-0.02250%-0.01
Sam Jacobson0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.010.01757%0.0400.0000%0.00
Tony Farmer0.030,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03-0.040.02-0.04955%0.041-0.021369%0.01
Adonal Foyle0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02-0.020.00-0.04450%0.0210.00250%0.00
Tim Young0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.020.00-0.0210%0.0000.0000%0.00
Jason Caffey-0.030,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.060.01-0.021154%0.023-0.04650%-0.02
Donyell Marshall-0.090,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.10-0.00-0.021533%-0.052-0.0400%0.00
Mookie Blaylock-0.090,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.10-0.02-0.02714%-0.051-0.0400%0.00
Sam Mack-0.100,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1-0.11-0.01-0.021025%-0.062-0.0500%0.00
Larry Hughes-0.230,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.18,-0.2,-0.22,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23-0.20-0.030.001417%-0.192-0.04250%-0.01

Denver Nuggets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
George McCloud0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.060.040.01-0.02575%0.081-0.022100%0.01
Popeye Jones0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.010.01-0.031346%0.0500.0000%0.00
Raef LaFrentz0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.09-0.010.051364%0.0300.00250%-0.01
Antonio McDyess0,0,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.03-0.000.01-0.021062%0.063-0.041100%0.00
Keon Clark0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.08-0.000.052067%0.034-0.013100%0.00
Chris Gatling0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.010.00-0.011451%0.001-0.00757%-0.01
Roy Rogers0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.020.000.021100%0.0000.0000%0.00
Cory Alexander0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.050.00-0.0520%0.0010.0000%0.00
Ryan Bowen0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.010.03-0.000.03675%-0.0120.00475%0.01
Tariq Abdul-Wahad0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.110.00-0.05828%-0.022-0.04250%-0.01
Nick Van Exel0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12-0.12-0.12-0.01-0.01450%-0.036-0.0900%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game27.32.326.615.824.22.425.8124.3
league avg26.02.228.816.526.32.233.7137.0
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
DEN +34.5%
DEN +2.2%
DEN +8.5%
DEN +4.7%
DEN +0.0%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsGSWDENNBAGSWDENNBA
this game14.212.915.282.2115.1101.7
season14.714.897.2101.5
opponent15.014.7103.7105.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
GSW13.412.117.913.814.2
DEN12.814.112.612.012.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Golden State Warriors
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Sam Mack48490.05-0.550.59-0.012-363813.514.7-1.2913.312.50.89
Tim Young13130.00-0.500.500.12-4-302610.414.7-4.3111.413.1-1.69
Tony Farmer8179-0.11-0.390.290.22-11-231213.516.2-2.6212.713.4-0.72
Vonteego Cummings7675-0.13-0.370.240.31-15-19414.214.00.2412.613.5-0.92
Sam Jacobson4849-0.18-0.320.140.14-11-231214.214.10.1113.312.50.74
Adonal Foyle5454-0.23-0.270.030.38-21-13-814.114.2-0.0412.713.0-0.26
Jason Caffey4545-0.34-0.16-0.190.42-26-8-1816.812.24.6212.613.1-0.50
Donyell Marshall5858-0.45-0.05-0.390.26-24-10-1413.714.7-0.9713.711.91.81
Mookie Blaylock5250-0.550.05-0.590.33-30-4-2614.613.80.8012.813.0-0.20
Larry Hughes6058-0.560.06-0.630.32-30-4-2614.413.90.4512.713.1-0.43

Denver Nuggets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Raef LaFrentz62630.56-0.060.61-0.1223111213.112.50.5915.112.82.25
Nick Van Exel72720.55-0.050.59-0.1624101413.212.21.0214.613.31.35
Tariq Abdul-Wahad42420.400.100.30-0.131816213.312.60.6515.013.61.45
George McCloud56570.300.200.11-0.552952412.613.2-0.5515.912.23.62
Antonio McDyess28300.240.26-0.03-0.061024-1414.012.51.5416.613.23.43
Chris Gatling64630.180.32-0.14-0.321717013.212.40.8513.614.9-1.30
Keon Clark77780.160.34-0.19-0.251420-612.613.4-0.8013.615.6-1.95
Popeye Jones50510.110.39-0.27-0.391717012.113.6-1.4913.314.9-1.60
Ryan Bowen53530.010.49-0.48-0.291024-1412.912.80.0412.615.7-3.06
Roy Rogers13130.000.50-0.50-0.12430-2611.413.1-1.6910.414.7-4.31
Cory Alexander13130.000.50-0.50-0.12430-2611.413.1-1.6910.414.7-4.31


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.57,0.57,0.56,0.55,0.63,0.71,0.69,0.71,0.7,0.7,0.68,0.64,0.64,0.6,0.61,0.58,0.66,0.69,0.77,0.75,0.73,0.73,0.71,0.8,0.92,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.96,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
LAL 99, PHX 1190.5,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.57,0.56,0.58,0.59,0.64,0.68,0.7,0.79,0.79,0.77,0.7,0.62,0.67,0.63,0.58,0.58,0.68,0.75,0.72,0.73,0.78,0.75,0.69,0.77,0.87,0.94,0.93,0.95,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,196.9%
MIN 108, PHI 1200.5,0.49,0.46,0.52,0.51,0.5,0.55,0.53,0.59,0.67,0.63,0.66,0.64,0.66,0.68,0.66,0.62,0.69,0.71,0.63,0.66,0.67,0.72,0.77,0.78,0.7,0.76,0.84,0.91,0.96,0.96,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,196.5%
ORL 85, MIL 1030.5,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.58,0.59,0.58,0.6,0.63,0.69,0.75,0.73,0.75,0.74,0.66,0.64,0.66,0.62,0.65,0.65,0.75,0.72,0.76,0.75,0.78,0.82,0.76,0.86,0.89,0.94,0.9,0.91,0.94,0.94,0.93,0.96,0.96,0.95,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,196.4%