NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Sacramento Kings	105		Excitement	3.8 [1043]		MVP	Marc Gasol (MEM): +10.3%
Memphis Grizzlies	116		Comeback	1.0 [1085]		LVP	Spencer Hawes (SAC): -8.7%

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Omri Casspi	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.02	0.01	-0.01	11	62%	0.09	3	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Tyreke Evans	0.04	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.07	0.01	0.03	18	65%	0.11	5	-0.07	7	100%	0.03
Sergio Rodriguez	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.11	-0.01	0.08	8	76%	0.05	1	-0.03	5	60%	-0.02
Jon Brockman	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.04	0.00	0.03	3	87%	0.01	1	-0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Ime Udoka	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kenny Thomas	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Donte Greene	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.01	0.00	0.02	11	46%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Sean May	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andres Nocioni	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.02	7	59%	0.05	4	-0.08	3	33%	-0.03
Beno Udrih	-0.05	0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.06	-0.00	-0.01	8	37%	-0.02	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Jason Thompson	-0.07	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.05	-0.00	0.02	10	36%	-0.06	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.00
Spencer Hawes	-0.09	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.01	-0.01	5	40%	-0.02	4	-0.07	0	0%	0.00

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Marc Gasol	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.10	0.01	0.01	10	78%	0.14	2	-0.04	3	67%	-0.01
Zach Randolph	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.06	0.04	0.01	-0.01	11	55%	0.08	1	-0.02	7	57%	-0.02
O.J. Mayo	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.13	-0.00	0.07	8	77%	0.08	1	-0.03	10	100%	0.04
DeMarre Carroll	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	0.00	-0.02	7	57%	0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Rudy Gay	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.04	0.01	0.03	17	62%	0.08	4	-0.05	5	60%	-0.03
Sam Young	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.00	-0.01	6	50%	0.03	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.01
Marcus Williams	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Hasheem Thabeet	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.04	0.00	-0.03	2	40%	-0.00	1	-0.00	6	33%	-0.01
Mike Conley	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	8	50%	0.03	2	-0.04	6	83%	0.02
Jamaal Tinsley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.05	0.00	-0.03	7	47%	0.03	3	-0.05	1	100%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	28.2	2.5	35.2	15.5	26.6	2.5	31.3	141.9
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.5	27.2	2.4	33.7	141.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MEM +27.6%

MEM +6.8%

MEM +6.6%

MEM +5.6%

MEM +3.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAC	MEM	NBA	SAC	MEM	NBA
this game	13.8	14.8	15.3	104.0	114.9	106.0
season	15.2	15.4		103.7	106.8
opponent	15.0	15.0		108.4	108.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SAC	13.5	13.4	14.7	13.5	13.8
MEM	15.3	12.7	14.1	17.1	14.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Sergio Rodriguez	36	37	0.00	-0.50	0.51	-0.29	10	-21	31	12.6	14.4	-1.75	16.1	14.0	2.18
Kenny Thomas	8	7	0.00	-0.50	0.51	-0.03	1	-12	13	9.6	14.1	-4.49	14.0	14.8	-0.81
Jon Brockman	27	29	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	-0.31	10	-21	31	13.1	14.0	-0.89	16.3	14.1	2.23
Sean May	14	14	-0.04	-0.46	0.43	-0.04	0	-11	11	11.2	14.2	-2.96	15.5	14.6	0.87
Donte Greene	40	41	-0.09	-0.41	0.31	-0.15	2	-13	15	13.9	13.6	0.31	15.0	14.6	0.33
Ime Udoka	8	7	-0.09	-0.41	0.31	0.02	-4	-7	3	13.5	13.8	-0.28	9.6	15.1	-5.57
Omri Casspi	58	58	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	-0.26	3	-14	17	12.7	15.2	-2.48	14.9	14.6	0.30
Jason Thompson	55	56	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	-0.11	-8	-3	-5	14.2	13.3	0.88	15.5	13.8	1.68
Beno Udrih	62	60	-0.38	-0.12	-0.27	0.06	-15	4	-19	14.3	12.9	1.45	13.7	16.3	-2.55
Spencer Hawes	54	52	-0.42	-0.08	-0.35	0.16	-20	9	-29	14.7	12.7	2.02	14.1	15.5	-1.43
Tyreke Evans	77	79	-0.45	-0.05	-0.41	-0.10	-12	1	-13	14.1	12.7	1.33	14.9	14.0	0.90
Andres Nocioni	66	65	-0.49	-0.01	-0.47	0.16	-22	11	-33	14.5	12.3	2.22	14.1	15.9	-1.77

Memphis Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Marc Gasol	76	74	0.61	-0.11	0.72	-0.10	24	-13	37	14.4	16.0	-1.60	13.9	13.3	0.64
Mike Conley	53	53	0.49	0.01	0.47	-0.19	23	-12	35	14.6	14.9	-0.35	14.4	13.0	1.37
Rudy Gay	88	89	0.46	0.04	0.43	0.02	15	-4	19	14.6	15.5	-0.81	13.9	12.5	1.43
O.J. Mayo	73	74	0.41	0.09	0.33	0.15	9	2	7	14.9	14.3	0.65	13.8	13.7	0.03
Zach Randolph	61	61	0.33	0.17	0.15	0.09	8	3	5	14.9	14.5	0.46	14.3	13.0	1.26
Sam Young	48	47	0.17	0.33	-0.15	0.20	-1	12	-13	14.1	15.4	-1.28	13.5	14.0	-0.55
DeMarre Carroll	33	32	0.11	0.39	-0.28	0.05	2	9	-7	15.3	14.5	0.77	12.7	14.2	-1.48
Jamaal Tinsley	48	48	0.01	0.49	-0.47	0.37	-12	23	-35	14.9	14.6	0.35	13.0	14.4	-1.37
Hasheem Thabeet	25	27	-0.11	0.61	-0.72	0.27	-13	24	-37	16.0	14.4	1.60	13.3	13.9	-0.64

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.57,0.58,0.64,0.64,0.68,0.69,0.74,0.7,0.65,0.68,0.66,0.62,0.67,0.69,0.79,0.83,0.71,0.76,0.75,0.7,0.78,0.79,0.79,0.87,0.81,0.86,0.89,0.91,0.95,0.96,0.98,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
CHI 86, NYK 98	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.58,0.59,0.6,0.64,0.63,0.71,0.69,0.67,0.71,0.65,0.7,0.68,0.71,0.69,0.67,0.74,0.73,0.69,0.69,0.72,0.75,0.73,0.74,0.79,0.83,0.87,0.88,0.86,0.92,0.94,0.92,0.94,0.96,0.98,0.96,0.99,1,0.99,0.99,1,0.97,0.99,0.92,1,1,1	96.4%
MIN 85, LAL 104	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.54,0.55,0.64,0.63,0.69,0.73,0.76,0.76,0.66,0.64,0.68,0.71,0.62,0.67,0.74,0.71,0.73,0.77,0.74,0.75,0.67,0.74,0.84,0.89,0.85,0.86,0.87,0.88,0.96,0.96,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.4%
NOH 63, MIA 93	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.52,0.56,0.61,0.62,0.61,0.6,0.63,0.69,0.71,0.72,0.66,0.69,0.6,0.65,0.67,0.72,0.75,0.78,0.74,0.7,0.73,0.75,0.74,0.77,0.89,0.91,0.92,0.94,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.3%