NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Clippers	91		Excitement	8.2 [182]		MVP	Andrew Bynum (LAL): +17.1%
Los Angeles Lakers	96		Comeback	3.5 [427]		LVP	Blake Griffin (LAC): -28.2%

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
DeAndre Jordan	0.17	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.2,0.2,0.17	0.05	0.11	-0.01	8	65%	0.18	1	-0.01	1	100%	0.02
Reggie Evans	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.02	0.03	0.00	1	100%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mo Williams	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.00	0.01	-0.00	16	48%	0.05	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.00
Chauncey Billups	-0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.05	0.02	-0.01	8	36%	-0.01	0	0.00	9	78%	-0.00
Caron Butler	-0.04	0,0,0,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	0.08	-0.09	0.03	11	73%	0.04	2	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Ryan Gomes	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.02	-0.04	0.00	2	50%	-0.01	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Randy Foye	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.07	-0.05	-0.02	9	28%	-0.05	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Solomon Jones	-0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.07	-0.06	-0.00	2	0%	-0.04	2	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Chris Paul	-0.20	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,-0.1,-0.2	-0.07	-0.14	-0.01	8	24%	-0.20	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.01
Blake Griffin	-0.28	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.03,0,0.03,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.02,-0.18,-0.18,-0.15,-0.15,-0.28	0.01	-0.26	0.04	22	57%	-0.03	4	-0.25	2	0%	-0.05

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Andrew Bynum	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.17	0.17	0.06	0.10	-0.01	11	59%	0.18	1	-0.01	10	70%	-0.00
Andrew Goudelock	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.19,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.09	0.03	0.00	8	78%	0.17	1	-0.05	2	100%	0.02
Metta World Peace	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	-0.01	0.08	-0.00	4	37%	0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Derek Fisher	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	-0.03	0.07	-0.01	9	55%	0.11	3	-0.06	2	100%	0.06
Troy Murphy	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Matt Barnes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	0.00	0.01	2	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Pau Gasol	0,0,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.11,0.12,0.09,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.07	-0.07	0.02	13	68%	0.15	3	-0.15	8	62%	-0.01
Josh McRoberts	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Devin Ebanks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.02	-0.00	1	0%	-0.02	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Kobe Bryant	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.1,-0.18,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.23,-0.23	-0.23	-0.07	-0.13	0.02	17	55%	0.05	7	-0.28	10	80%	0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.6	2.7	32.0	16.8	32.2	2.6	44.0	151.9
league avg	25.5	2.3	29.8	14.2	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAL +58.2%

LAL +15.4%

LAC -25.7%

LAC -2.0%

LAL +4.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAC	LAL	NBA	LAC	LAL	NBA
this game	16.9	17.0	15.6	105.8	114.3	102.8
season	16.2	16.2		106.0	103.8
opponent	15.1	15.7		103.5	104.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAC	16.4	20.3	15.9	15.7	16.9
LAL	17.1	18.6	16.9	15.6	17.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Randy Foye	21	21	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	-0.06	-2	-3	1	18.6	16.4	2.19	17.9	16.7	1.25
Solomon Jones	27	26	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	-0.10	-2	-3	1	18.1	16.4	1.68	18.9	16.1	2.84
Reggie Evans	30	29	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	-0.02	-6	1	-7	17.5	16.6	0.89	17.8	16.5	1.21
Ryan Gomes	26	27	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	0.07	-9	4	-13	18.0	16.5	1.49	18.0	16.5	1.47
Mo Williams	37	39	-0.23	-0.27	0.05	0.10	-11	6	-17	18.2	16.0	2.18	17.6	16.4	1.12
Caron Butler	63	60	-0.24	-0.26	0.01	-0.39	5	-10	15	16.4	18.3	-1.89	16.6	17.8	-1.16
Blake Griffin	59	58	-0.25	-0.25	-0.00	-0.31	2	-7	9	16.5	17.7	-1.20	16.7	17.6	-0.89
Chris Paul	50	48	-0.31	-0.19	-0.11	-0.48	6	-11	17	16.1	18.0	-1.86	16.5	17.6	-1.13
DeAndre Jordan	56	54	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.30	-3	-2	-1	16.4	17.8	-1.35	16.2	18.4	-2.18
Chauncey Billups	61	58	-0.42	-0.08	-0.33	-0.27	-5	0	-5	16.3	18.4	-2.09	16.2	18.6	-2.39

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Metta World Peace	65	67	0.89	-0.39	1.28	0.30	20	-15	35	16.9	17.1	-0.18	17.2	15.9	1.31
Pau Gasol	73	74	0.55	-0.05	0.60	0.46	3	2	1	16.6	19.1	-2.45	16.5	19.4	-2.90
Kobe Bryant	69	70	0.38	0.12	0.27	0.35	1	4	-3	16.7	18.0	-1.26	16.6	18.1	-1.48
Andrew Bynum	61	64	0.36	0.14	0.23	0.28	3	2	1	17.2	16.2	1.03	17.0	16.6	0.38
Derek Fisher	51	52	0.33	0.17	0.15	0.47	-5	10	-15	16.0	18.4	-2.35	15.5	19.1	-3.69
Andrew Goudelock	33	34	0.17	0.33	-0.15	-0.12	10	-5	15	18.4	16.0	2.35	19.1	15.5	3.69
Devin Ebanks	15	16	0.12	0.38	-0.27	-0.00	4	1	3	18.0	16.7	1.26	18.1	16.6	1.48
Troy Murphy	7	7	0.06	0.44	-0.38	0.03	1	4	-3	18.4	16.8	1.60	25.0	16.2	8.80
Josh McRoberts	24	24	0.01	0.49	-0.48	-0.08	3	2	1	18.7	16.2	2.50	17.2	16.8	0.34
Matt Barnes	22	22	-0.38	0.88	-1.25	0.06	-15	20	-35	15.0	17.7	-2.72	14.3	17.8	-3.56

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.42,0.38,0.36,0.4,0.37,0.34,0.4,0.43,0.47,0.49,0.46,0.47,0.42,0.4,0.47,0.42,0.42,0.46,0.46,0.44,0.46,0.44,0.49,0.4,0.31,0.24,0.3,0.42,0.42,0.48,0.41,0.31,0.33,0.32,0.38,0.34,0.48,0.33,0.42,0.36,0.47,0.53,0.69,0.83,0.77,0.73,1
Game		Similarity Score
NJN 82, ORL 90	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.45,0.4,0.39,0.42,0.47,0.47,0.43,0.46,0.49,0.48,0.5,0.53,0.54,0.47,0.49,0.44,0.42,0.48,0.39,0.36,0.39,0.44,0.42,0.31,0.25,0.27,0.3,0.27,0.32,0.34,0.41,0.3,0.33,0.32,0.5,0.43,0.47,0.43,0.42,0.53,0.54,0.67,0.69,0.79,0.83,0.96,1	92.4%
SAS 80, LAL 86	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.44,0.42,0.41,0.38,0.38,0.39,0.35,0.35,0.31,0.37,0.4,0.42,0.45,0.47,0.45,0.42,0.37,0.36,0.36,0.44,0.39,0.33,0.33,0.43,0.34,0.41,0.48,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.45,0.31,0.3,0.42,0.34,0.34,0.38,0.33,0.51,0.57,0.46,0.46,0.69,0.63,0.85,0.84,1	91.5%
DEN 82, NYK 89	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.53,0.53,0.48,0.43,0.43,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.46,0.48,0.51,0.53,0.58,0.56,0.54,0.52,0.52,0.54,0.49,0.46,0.37,0.34,0.25,0.27,0.36,0.29,0.38,0.38,0.41,0.34,0.33,0.4,0.42,0.48,0.48,0.33,0.47,0.41,0.6,0.61,0.62,0.79,0.94,0.92,1	91.4%