NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New Jersey Nets	82		Excitement	8.4 [212]		MVP	Carlos Arroyo (ORL): +10.8%
Orlando Magic	90		Comeback	3.3 [466]		LVP	Grant Hill (ORL): -15.2%

New Jersey Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Richard Jefferson	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.15,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.07	-0.02	-0.00	15	59%	0.07	1	-0.02	2	0%	-0.08
Antoine Wright	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Josh Boone	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.00	0.01	0.00	2	55%	0.06	1	-0.05	7	57%	-0.07
Jason Collins	-0.01	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	1	25%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Jason Kidd	-0.04	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.04,0.04,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.09,0.09,0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	10	36%	-0.04	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.04
Clifford Robinson	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.05	-0.02	0.00	2	17%	-0.04	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Vince Carter	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.18,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.1,0.07,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.06,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08	0.01	-0.08	0.01	22	52%	0.05	3	-0.12	8	87%	0.04
Mikki Moore	-0.09	0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.05	-0.03	0.01	16	35%	-0.09	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Marcus Williams	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.01	-0.01	5	0%	-0.07	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Bostjan Nachbar	-0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.13,-0.13	-0.05	-0.08	-0.00	2	0%	-0.08	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Eddie House	-0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.03	-0.11	-0.00	8	37%	-0.07	1	-0.07	0	0%	0.00

Orlando Magic
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Carlos Arroyo	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.07,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.04	0.06	0.00	4	75%	0.15	1	-0.04	4	75%	0.00
Darko Milicic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	-0.01	0.09	0.00	5	54%	0.12	2	-0.05	3	33%	-0.05
Jameer Nelson	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.14,-0.09,-0.03,-0.01,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.05	0.05	0.01	0.06	0.02	19	51%	0.09	2	-0.03	5	100%	0.04
JJ Redick	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Trevor Ariza	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.04	0.02	0.00	8	39%	0.01	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Tony Battie	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.02	-0.00	5	60%	0.04	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Dwight Howard	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	0.00	0.00	6	50%	0.03	3	-0.08	8	50%	-0.06
Keyon Dooling	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	-0.03	0.02	5	43%	-0.05	0	0.00	4	100%	0.01
Hedo Turkoglu	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.06	-0.01	-0.01	13	37%	-0.03	1	-0.03	4	100%	0.04
Grant Hill	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.04	-0.10	0.02	12	50%	-0.03	3	-0.12	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.2	2.8	28.1	16.4	29.2	0.8	44.5	146.9
league avg	28.7	2.4	29.9	15.9	26.5	2.4	34.0	141.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ORL +43.0%

ORL +5.7%

ORL +11.4%

NJN -8.7%

NJN -1.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NJN	ORL	NBA	NJN	ORL	NBA
this game	15.9	16.6	15.4	93.2	101.1	104.5
season	15.4	15.9		103.1	103.4
opponent	15.7	15.7		103.0	103.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NJN	15.8	17.4	17.7	13.2	15.9
ORL	16.2	20.5	15.7	15.0	16.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Jersey Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Josh Boone	14	12	0.06	-0.56	0.63	0.03	1	-9	10	15.6	15.9	-0.30	17.7	16.5	1.19
Antoine Wright	5	4	-0.05	-0.45	0.41	0.13	-6	-2	-4	14.4	16.0	-1.59	18.7	16.5	2.21
Eddie House	33	33	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	-0.23	6	-14	20	15.8	16.0	-0.18	17.9	15.9	2.06
Clifford Robinson	16	16	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	0.04	-4	-4	0	17.1	15.6	1.42	17.7	16.4	1.35
Mikki Moore	58	57	-0.12	-0.38	0.27	0.00	-4	-4	0	16.6	14.5	2.07	16.5	16.8	-0.27
Marcus Williams	17	18	-0.14	-0.36	0.23	-0.05	-3	-5	2	16.2	15.8	0.35	17.3	16.5	0.80
Richard Jefferson	73	74	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	-0.25	-2	-6	4	15.9	16.1	-0.20	17.2	13.9	3.26
Jason Kidd	72	72	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	-0.26	-3	-5	2	15.7	16.9	-1.27	16.3	18.2	-1.90
Jason Collins	49	50	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	-0.23	-8	0	-8	15.9	15.8	0.09	16.5	16.9	-0.41
Vince Carter	72	75	-0.50	-0.00	-0.49	-0.26	-8	0	-8	16.0	15.3	0.72	16.0	20.1	-4.16
Bostjan Nachbar	31	34	-0.50	-0.00	-0.50	-0.23	-9	1	-10	14.5	16.6	-2.08	15.4	17.4	-2.08

Orlando Magic
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Dwight Howard	71	71	0.66	-0.16	0.82	0.31	12	-4	16	16.8	16.1	0.66	15.9	16.0	-0.13
Hedo Turkoglu	77	77	0.57	-0.07	0.65	0.31	9	-1	10	16.2	19.2	-2.92	15.8	16.5	-0.74
Trevor Ariza	53	53	0.55	-0.05	0.60	0.26	10	-2	12	16.4	17.1	-0.70	15.0	17.3	-2.30
Jameer Nelson	60	59	0.51	-0.01	0.53	0.28	8	0	8	16.2	17.6	-1.40	16.1	15.4	0.72
Grant Hill	67	64	0.43	0.07	0.36	0.31	4	4	0	16.3	17.6	-1.26	16.1	15.3	0.78
Carlos Arroyo	17	17	0.01	0.49	-0.47	0.04	-1	9	-10	15.3	17.0	-1.66	13.4	16.5	-3.15
Darko Milicic	30	30	0.01	0.49	-0.48	0.04	-1	9	-10	17.7	16.1	1.65	16.3	15.7	0.66
Keyon Dooling	24	24	-0.04	0.54	-0.59	-0.07	1	7	-6	17.5	16.3	1.18	15.7	16.0	-0.32
JJ Redick	8	8	-0.07	0.57	-0.64	-0.04	-1	9	-10	22.4	16.1	6.30	17.4	15.7	1.62
Tony Battie	38	37	-0.14	0.64	-0.77	-0.11	-1	9	-10	16.8	16.5	0.35	17.4	14.8	2.51

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.46,0.45,0.4,0.39,0.42,0.47,0.47,0.43,0.46,0.49,0.48,0.5,0.53,0.54,0.47,0.49,0.44,0.42,0.48,0.39,0.36,0.39,0.44,0.42,0.31,0.25,0.27,0.3,0.27,0.32,0.34,0.41,0.3,0.33,0.32,0.5,0.43,0.47,0.43,0.42,0.53,0.54,0.67,0.69,0.79,0.83,0.96,1
Game		Similarity Score
DEN 82, NYK 89	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.53,0.53,0.48,0.43,0.43,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.46,0.48,0.51,0.53,0.58,0.56,0.54,0.52,0.52,0.54,0.49,0.46,0.37,0.34,0.25,0.27,0.36,0.29,0.38,0.38,0.41,0.34,0.33,0.4,0.42,0.48,0.48,0.33,0.47,0.41,0.6,0.61,0.62,0.79,0.94,0.92,1	93.0%
LAL 89, NYK 101	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.43,0.43,0.45,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.43,0.42,0.45,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.47,0.44,0.46,0.56,0.58,0.54,0.46,0.4,0.37,0.27,0.22,0.3,0.26,0.23,0.34,0.41,0.4,0.29,0.38,0.43,0.43,0.52,0.47,0.53,0.54,0.6,0.62,0.85,0.89,0.98,1	92.9%
DEN 81, UTA 85	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.54,0.52,0.46,0.47,0.51,0.45,0.51,0.47,0.42,0.46,0.47,0.42,0.47,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.44,0.51,0.46,0.36,0.39,0.33,0.31,0.34,0.33,0.36,0.36,0.38,0.41,0.31,0.44,0.37,0.4,0.42,0.43,0.43,0.48,0.32,0.41,0.53,0.61,0.55,0.63,0.9,0.95,1	92.6%