NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Lakers	89		Excitement	7.3 [333]		MVP	Allan Houston (NYK): +28.4%
New York Knicks	101		Comeback	4.0 [93]		LVP	Shaquille O'Neal (LAL): -17.7%

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Rick Fox	0.08	0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08	-0.01	0.06	-0.03	10	61%	0.16	3	-0.08	3	67%	0.00
Mario Bennett	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Elden Campbell	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.04	0.02	-0.00	6	33%	-0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Derek Fisher	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.03,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.19,0.13,0.09,0.09,0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	0.02	-0.08	-0.00	10	69%	0.08	3	-0.14	6	50%	-0.07
Robert Horry	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.09	0.00	-0.02	3	50%	0.00	4	-0.08	4	75%	-0.00
Kobe Bryant	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.1,-0.1	-0.07	-0.05	-0.02	15	40%	-0.06	1	-0.04	5	100%	0.03
Eddie Jones	-0.17	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.06	-0.08	0.03	13	47%	-0.06	2	-0.11	6	83%	0.01
Shaquille O'Neal	-0.18	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.09	-0.08	0.01	16	45%	-0.06	2	-0.12	10	70%	-0.03

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Allan Houston	0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.16,0.16,0.18,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.15,0.31,0.28,0.28	0.28	0.14	0.16	0.02	19	68%	0.31	1	-0.03	9	100%	0.08
Charlie Ward	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.13	0.13	0.11	0.05	0.02	5	115%	0.23	2	-0.10	3	100%	0.00
Herb Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	4	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Mills	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	9	48%	0.00	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.01
Anthony Bowie	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
John Starks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.05	0.03	-0.02	7	62%	0.08	3	-0.08	12	75%	0.06
Brooks Thompson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Terry Cummings	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.08,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.04	-0.02	-0.00	6	50%	-0.03	1	-0.03	8	75%	0.00
Charles Oakley	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.07,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.10	-0.06	-0.02	12	25%	-0.11	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Larry Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.04	-0.11	0.00	7	50%	-0.07	2	-0.08	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	28.4	2.4	26.5	18.6	29.2	3.4	45.6	154.1
league avg	29.9	2.8	36.8	15.6	26.0	2.1	43.0	157.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NYK +10.7%

NYK +22.3%

NYK +1.7%

NYK +21.9%

LAL -6.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAL	NYK	NBA	LAL	NYK	NBA
this game	15.8	16.0	15.6	98.9	111.0	102.5
season	14.8	15.7		110.0	100.4
opponent	16.3	15.6		98.6	102.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAL	14.4	16.1	16.5	16.3	15.8
NYK	16.2	16.6	15.5	15.7	16.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Mario Bennett	3	4	0.06	-0.56	0.61	-0.03	3	-15	18	21.7	15.6	6.03	11.7	16.2	-4.43
Rick Fox	62	63	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	0.02	-6	-6	0	15.7	16.1	-0.35	16.8	14.2	2.56
Elden Campbell	30	32	-0.19	-0.31	0.11	-0.05	-5	-7	2	16.4	15.5	0.90	14.6	16.8	-2.20
Derek Fisher	77	77	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	-0.13	-6	-6	0	15.9	15.2	0.79	16.5	13.1	3.36
Shaquille O'Neal	71	70	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	-0.11	-7	-5	-2	15.7	16.2	-0.41	16.5	14.2	2.28
Kobe Bryant	54	55	-0.47	-0.03	-0.45	-0.15	-11	-1	-10	14.7	17.5	-2.82	14.8	17.7	-2.91
Robert Horry	76	76	-0.55	0.05	-0.60	-0.11	-15	3	-18	15.4	17.9	-2.48	16.3	14.3	2.06
Eddie Jones	77	78	-0.56	0.06	-0.61	-0.17	-13	1	-14	16.6	11.3	5.29	15.7	18.0	-2.35

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Charlie Ward	74	74	0.68	-0.18	0.87	0.04	22	-10	32	16.2	15.2	1.00	16.6	12.5	4.05
John Starks	57	57	0.61	-0.11	0.72	0.14	16	-4	20	15.4	17.0	-1.57	16.1	15.5	0.60
Allan Houston	78	76	0.47	0.03	0.44	0.18	10	2	8	15.9	16.5	-0.55	15.2	19.1	-3.92
Charles Oakley	75	74	0.43	0.07	0.36	0.17	9	3	6	16.5	13.7	2.79	14.8	20.7	-5.98
Terry Cummings	39	39	0.26	0.24	0.03	-0.09	12	0	12	16.0	16.0	0.06	18.4	13.9	4.46
Larry Johnson	52	51	0.24	0.26	-0.03	0.24	0	12	-12	16.0	16.0	-0.06	13.9	18.4	-4.46
Herb Williams	15	15	0.09	0.41	-0.31	0.01	3	9	-6	13.6	16.5	-2.86	20.1	15.0	5.16
Anthony Bowie	1	0	0.00	0.50	-0.49	0.06	-2	14	-16	6.0	16.1	-10.10	0.0	15.8	-15.83
Brooks Thompson	13	12	-0.04	0.54	-0.57	0.02	-2	14	-16	14.5	16.2	-1.69	14.2	16.1	-1.83
Chris Mills	51	52	-0.26	0.76	-1.01	-0.02	-8	20	-28	17.0	14.6	2.39	16.1	15.5	0.62

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.43,0.43,0.45,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.43,0.42,0.45,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.47,0.44,0.46,0.56,0.58,0.54,0.46,0.4,0.37,0.27,0.22,0.3,0.26,0.23,0.34,0.41,0.4,0.29,0.38,0.43,0.43,0.52,0.47,0.53,0.54,0.6,0.62,0.85,0.89,0.98,1
Game		Similarity Score
NJN 82, ORL 90	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.45,0.4,0.39,0.42,0.47,0.47,0.43,0.46,0.49,0.48,0.5,0.53,0.54,0.47,0.49,0.44,0.42,0.48,0.39,0.36,0.39,0.44,0.42,0.31,0.25,0.27,0.3,0.27,0.32,0.34,0.41,0.3,0.33,0.32,0.5,0.43,0.47,0.43,0.42,0.53,0.54,0.67,0.69,0.79,0.83,0.96,1	92.9%
DEN 82, NYK 89	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.53,0.53,0.48,0.43,0.43,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.46,0.48,0.51,0.53,0.58,0.56,0.54,0.52,0.52,0.54,0.49,0.46,0.37,0.34,0.25,0.27,0.36,0.29,0.38,0.38,0.41,0.34,0.33,0.4,0.42,0.48,0.48,0.33,0.47,0.41,0.6,0.61,0.62,0.79,0.94,0.92,1	92.6%
POR 79, PHI 88	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.44,0.45,0.41,0.47,0.45,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.56,0.61,0.58,0.56,0.54,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.55,0.4,0.39,0.3,0.33,0.23,0.26,0.22,0.27,0.26,0.21,0.42,0.43,0.43,0.42,0.37,0.53,0.59,0.74,0.81,0.84,0.97,1,1	92.3%