NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Portland Trail Blazers	79		Excitement	6.2 [575]		MVP	Elton Brand (PHI): +16.0%
Philadelphia 76ers	88		Comeback	3.8 [219]		LVP	Dante Cunningham (POR): -18.8%

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Wesley Matthews	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.12,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.09	0.01	-0.01	16	65%	0.19	4	-0.08	8	75%	0.02
Marcus Camby	0.00	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.02	-0.01	6	38%	0.03	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.01
Brandon Roy	-0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	9	50%	0.02	2	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Rudy Fernandez	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04	-0.03	-0.04	-0.03	8	31%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
LaMarcus Aldridge	-0.06	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	0.02	-0.07	0.01	20	48%	-0.06	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Andre Miller	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.04,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.04	-0.06	-0.00	9	44%	-0.02	2	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Nicolas Batum	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.08	-0.01	0.00	4	20%	-0.05	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Armon Johnson	-0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.11	-0.04	-0.01	2	17%	-0.04	4	-0.11	2	50%	-0.01
Dante Cunningham	-0.19	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19	-0.10	-0.11	-0.01	7	14%	-0.12	1	-0.07	0	0%	0.00

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Elton Brand	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.11	0.07	0.02	10	75%	0.18	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.02
Tony Battie	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.01	0.05	0.00	4	50%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andres Nocioni	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.07	-0.01	0.01	7	79%	0.07	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Marreese Speights	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.09,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.01	0.00	6	57%	0.05	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.02
Andre Iguodala	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.04	0.04	-0.01	4	58%	0.09	3	-0.08	4	75%	0.01
Spencer Hawes	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.01	7	71%	0.07	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Jodie Meeks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.01	0.02	4	50%	0.01	0	0.00	4	100%	0.01
Lou Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.03	-0.01	4	50%	0.02	1	-0.05	6	67%	-0.00
Evan Turner	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.06	-0.01	-0.03	4	10%	-0.04	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Jrue Holiday	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	0.01	-0.05	0.01	8	61%	0.04	2	-0.09	2	50%	-0.02
Thaddeus Young	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.07	-0.05	-0.01	8	28%	-0.09	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.4	1.8	28.4	15.4	25.4	0.1	41.8	137.3
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.4	27.2	2.4	33.9	140.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHI +48.9%

PHI +5.4%

POR -10.7%

PHI +7.0%

POR -0.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	POR	PHI	NBA	POR	PHI	NBA
this game	17.6	15.1	15.5	89.8	100.0	105.7
season	16.5	15.5		106.7	104.6
opponent	15.5	15.7		103.4	105.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
POR	15.9	17.8	18.4	18.5	17.6
PHI	16.1	14.9	15.2	14.2	15.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Marcus Camby	55	55	0.11	-0.61	0.73	-0.12	8	-17	25	18.3	16.5	1.87	16.9	12.1	4.77
Andre Miller	59	59	-0.04	-0.46	0.43	-0.07	1	-10	11	17.7	17.5	0.16	15.6	14.1	1.44
Armon Johnson	21	21	-0.15	-0.35	0.19	-0.04	-4	-5	1	14.6	18.6	-3.95	15.1	15.1	-0.01
Wesley Matthews	68	68	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	-0.12	-2	-7	5	17.0	19.8	-2.88	15.5	13.6	1.88
Brandon Roy	58	58	-0.20	-0.30	0.09	-0.26	2	-11	13	18.9	15.2	3.63	15.0	15.3	-0.35
Nicolas Batum	24	24	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	-0.06	-13	4	-17	17.4	17.7	-0.29	14.5	15.3	-0.83
LaMarcus Aldridge	76	75	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	-0.27	-6	-3	-3	17.9	15.8	2.07	14.9	16.5	-1.59
Rudy Fernandez	38	39	-0.50	0.00	-0.51	-0.15	-12	3	-15	17.3	17.9	-0.54	12.9	16.8	-3.87
Dante Cunningham	41	41	-0.65	0.15	-0.79	-0.09	-19	10	-29	17.4	17.9	-0.49	14.3	15.8	-1.47

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Andres Nocioni	31	30	0.62	-0.12	0.73	0.18	15	-6	21	14.3	15.5	-1.25	17.9	17.5	0.42
Lou Williams	48	46	0.45	0.05	0.40	0.01	15	-6	21	14.4	15.9	-1.46	17.5	17.7	-0.17
Marreese Speights	27	26	0.39	0.11	0.27	0.12	9	0	9	14.3	15.5	-1.16	18.4	17.3	1.13
Elton Brand	63	65	0.37	0.13	0.24	0.20	6	3	3	16.0	12.8	3.22	18.3	15.8	2.49
Andre Iguodala	77	76	0.36	0.14	0.22	0.30	2	7	-5	15.3	13.9	1.36	17.2	20.6	-3.43
Thaddeus Young	42	41	0.25	0.25	0.01	0.02	8	1	7	14.1	16.0	-1.93	17.0	18.2	-1.17
Tony Battie	17	18	0.24	0.26	-0.02	0.18	2	7	-5	16.6	14.7	1.91	16.7	17.9	-1.20
Jrue Holiday	40	42	0.05	0.45	-0.40	0.22	-6	15	-21	15.9	14.4	1.46	17.7	17.5	0.17
Jodie Meeks	28	27	0.03	0.47	-0.44	0.00	1	8	-7	13.5	15.9	-2.40	16.9	18.0	-1.06
Evan Turner	35	37	0.02	0.48	-0.46	-0.04	2	7	-5	15.5	14.9	0.59	17.7	17.6	0.13
Spencer Hawes	32	32	-0.28	0.78	-1.06	-0.02	-9	18	-27	15.9	14.6	1.26	18.4	17.2	1.18

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.44,0.45,0.41,0.47,0.45,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.56,0.61,0.58,0.56,0.54,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.55,0.4,0.39,0.3,0.33,0.23,0.26,0.22,0.27,0.26,0.21,0.42,0.43,0.43,0.42,0.37,0.53,0.59,0.74,0.81,0.84,0.97,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
ORL 81, ATL 87	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.52,0.54,0.54,0.53,0.51,0.56,0.6,0.51,0.46,0.57,0.55,0.51,0.58,0.6,0.6,0.61,0.59,0.59,0.64,0.56,0.61,0.5,0.41,0.42,0.33,0.24,0.24,0.21,0.23,0.21,0.15,0.29,0.36,0.5,0.52,0.43,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.59,0.72,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.96,1	92.6%
CHI 83, BOS 92	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.46,0.45,0.41,0.4,0.41,0.43,0.45,0.49,0.58,0.56,0.5,0.49,0.44,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.45,0.53,0.56,0.56,0.64,0.54,0.54,0.6,0.46,0.49,0.38,0.3,0.23,0.35,0.38,0.41,0.4,0.36,0.46,0.43,0.38,0.33,0.44,0.59,0.71,0.87,0.89,0.79,0.97,1,1	92.6%
MIN 92, ORL 100	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.52,0.53,0.56,0.55,0.51,0.51,0.57,0.53,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.55,0.6,0.6,0.65,0.68,0.61,0.59,0.46,0.46,0.46,0.49,0.41,0.31,0.39,0.25,0.33,0.21,0.17,0.14,0.17,0.27,0.32,0.3,0.34,0.34,0.42,0.47,0.64,0.71,0.61,0.61,0.79,0.98,0.99,1	92.4%