NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Minnesota Timberwolves	92		Excitement	7.3 [360]		MVP	Tobias Harris (ORL): +21.1%
Orlando Magic	100		Comeback	8.7 [100]		LVP	Jameer Nelson (ORL): -19.6%

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Corey Brewer	0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.15,0.15	0.09	0.06	0.01	9	65%	0.15	0	0.00	5	40%	-0.08
Ronny Turiaf	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	3	67%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Robbie Hummel	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.07,0.07,0.01,0.01,0,0.01	0.00	-0.02	-0.03	10	50%	0.00	1	0.01	4	100%	0.02
Luc Mbah a Moute	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.05	-0.03	0.01	6	71%	0.05	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Chase Budinger	0.01	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.00	1	50%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Gorgui Dieng	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.06,0,0,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.04	-0.04	9	57%	0.07	3	-0.08	3	67%	-0.00
Dante Cunningham	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.00	-0.02	0.02	9	52%	0.04	2	-0.08	5	40%	-0.04
Alexey Shved	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.06	0.01	-0.01	4	10%	-0.04	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Ricky Rubio	-0.08	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08	-0.06	-0.04	-0.02	18	44%	0.02	3	-0.11	5	80%	-0.00
Jose Juan Barea	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.13,-0.17,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.08	-0.03	0.00	8	37%	-0.03	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00

Orlando Magic
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tobias Harris	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21	0.21	0.10	0.12	0.00	12	65%	0.21	0	0.00	2	100%	0.03
E'Twaun Moore	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2	0.20	0.08	0.11	-0.01	5	90%	0.20	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Victor Oladipo	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.05,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.09,0.03,-0.03,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.06	0.08	0.00	12	67%	0.22	2	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Maurice Harkless	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.06	0.04	-0.00	9	94%	0.25	5	-0.15	0	0%	0.00
Kyle O'Quinn	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,-0.01,-0.01,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.06	0.04	0.01	7	82%	0.25	4	-0.15	3	67%	-0.00
Doron Lamb	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.03	0.00	-0.00	4	62%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dewayne Dedmon	0,0,0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.02	5	20%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andrew Nicholson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.08	-0.03	-0.00	4	0%	-0.09	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Arron Afflalo	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.15,-0.17,-0.16	-0.16	-0.04	-0.10	0.02	15	53%	-0.03	4	-0.13	4	25%	-0.05
Jameer Nelson	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.13,-0.15,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.2,-0.2	-0.20	-0.18	-0.03	-0.01	6	17%	-0.06	6	-0.14	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.1	0.3	28.3	15.0	24.3	2.3	31.5	125.9
league avg	24.7	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.4	136.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ORL +74.2%

MIN -7.1%

ORL +8.1%

MIN -28.8%

ORL +3.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIN	ORL	NBA	MIN	ORL	NBA
this game	14.6	16.9	15.1	100.0	109.9	105.2
season	14.6	15.3		107.3	100.4
opponent	15.0	14.5		105.9	104.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIN	15.0	13.2	13.8	16.5	14.6
ORL	17.7	16.2	17.5	16.2	16.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Dante Cunningham	67	67	0.22	-0.72	0.95	-0.04	9	-17	26	13.6	17.2	-3.66	16.9	16.9	0.05
Gorgui Dieng	69	68	0.01	-0.51	0.51	-0.11	4	-12	16	13.8	16.8	-3.00	16.9	17.1	-0.23
Chase Budinger	2	3	-0.01	-0.49	0.49	-0.01	0	-8	8	15.0	14.6	0.43	16.7	16.9	-0.25
Corey Brewer	65	63	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	-0.25	6	-14	20	13.9	16.3	-2.38	16.9	16.9	0.03
Alexey Shved	15	15	-0.11	-0.39	0.29	0.01	-4	-4	0	16.6	14.2	2.42	18.1	16.7	1.46
Robbie Hummel	65	65	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	-0.15	-3	-5	2	14.2	15.6	-1.39	16.6	17.8	-1.25
Ricky Rubio	64	63	-0.32	-0.18	-0.13	-0.26	-2	-6	4	14.2	15.5	-1.28	17.3	16.0	1.27
Jose Juan Barea	33	32	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	-0.11	-12	4	-16	15.8	13.9	1.98	16.3	17.2	-0.92
Ronny Turiaf	23	23	-0.51	0.01	-0.51	-0.16	-12	4	-16	16.8	13.8	3.00	17.1	16.9	0.23
Luc Mbah a Moute	57	56	-1.02	0.52	-1.53	-0.25	-26	18	-44	16.2	12.0	4.16	16.9	16.9	-0.05

Orlando Magic
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Victor Oladipo	54	54	1.07	-0.57	1.64	0.31	26	-18	44	16.6	17.3	-0.65	15.5	13.3	2.24
Tobias Harris	58	58	1.01	-0.51	1.53	0.25	26	-18	44	16.6	17.4	-0.76	15.7	12.7	2.92
Doron Lamb	30	31	0.51	-0.01	0.52	0.10	14	-6	20	17.2	16.8	0.43	15.6	14.1	1.52
E'Twaun Moore	28	28	0.51	-0.01	0.52	0.10	14	-6	20	17.2	16.8	0.49	15.3	14.3	1.02
Kyle O'Quinn	59	61	0.15	0.35	-0.20	0.27	-4	12	-16	16.7	17.3	-0.62	13.7	16.3	-2.54
Andrew Nicholson	40	38	0.09	0.41	-0.33	0.17	-3	11	-14	16.9	16.9	0.07	13.9	15.1	-1.16
Arron Afflalo	56	57	-0.04	0.54	-0.58	0.11	-5	13	-18	16.9	16.9	-0.05	15.0	13.9	1.07
Jameer Nelson	56	57	-0.10	0.60	-0.71	0.19	-10	18	-28	16.9	16.9	0.04	13.5	16.4	-2.94
Dewayne Dedmon	25	27	-0.25	0.75	-1.00	-0.16	-3	11	-14	18.0	16.5	1.50	15.1	14.3	0.81
Maurice Harkless	49	49	-0.45	0.95	-1.40	-0.01	-15	23	-38	16.8	17.0	-0.16	13.3	16.0	-2.63

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.52,0.53,0.56,0.55,0.51,0.51,0.57,0.53,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.55,0.6,0.6,0.65,0.68,0.61,0.59,0.46,0.46,0.46,0.49,0.41,0.31,0.39,0.25,0.33,0.21,0.17,0.14,0.17,0.27,0.32,0.3,0.34,0.34,0.42,0.47,0.64,0.71,0.61,0.61,0.79,0.98,0.99,1
Game		Similarity Score
POR 79, PHI 88	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.44,0.45,0.41,0.47,0.45,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.56,0.61,0.58,0.56,0.54,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.55,0.4,0.39,0.3,0.33,0.23,0.26,0.22,0.27,0.26,0.21,0.42,0.43,0.43,0.42,0.37,0.53,0.59,0.74,0.81,0.84,0.97,1,1	92.4%
POR 96, UTA 103	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.45,0.48,0.5,0.45,0.45,0.41,0.45,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.45,0.53,0.62,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.55,0.52,0.49,0.46,0.39,0.3,0.26,0.23,0.28,0.27,0.24,0.32,0.29,0.19,0.2,0.29,0.4,0.34,0.43,0.4,0.42,0.47,0.53,0.71,0.78,0.67,0.84,0.9,0.91,1	92.1%
NOH 91, SAC 94	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.58,0.57,0.55,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.6,0.58,0.48,0.53,0.54,0.53,0.56,0.61,0.61,0.61,0.64,0.61,0.61,0.59,0.54,0.57,0.54,0.49,0.45,0.33,0.23,0.35,0.31,0.34,0.3,0.32,0.3,0.26,0.34,0.42,0.53,0.59,0.76,0.58,0.75,0.84,0.94,0.91,1	91.4%