NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New Orleans Hornets	91		Excitement	7.9 [249]		MVP	Metta World Peace (SAC): +14.0%
Sacramento Kings	94		Comeback	3.3 [67]		LVP	Jannero Pargo (NOH): -16.8%

New Orleans Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Peja Stojakovic	0.03	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03	0.06	-0.04	-0.01	16	50%	0.03	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
Julian Wright	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Hilton Armstrong	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mike James	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tyson Chandler	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	0.01	-0.00	9	54%	0.08	4	-0.12	6	50%	-0.04
Morris Peterson	-0.04	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.02	-0.01	0.02	6	47%	0.00	2	-0.04	5	100%	0.01
Chris Paul	-0.09	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.12,-0.09,-0.09	-0.04	-0.04	0.00	13	42%	0.01	2	-0.10	7	86%	0.02
Bonzi Wells	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.11	-0.02	-0.03	4	20%	-0.03	3	-0.07	2	0%	-0.05
David West	-0.10	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.11,0.09,0.07,0.03,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0,0,0,0.05,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.1,-0.1	0.01	-0.11	0.00	27	52%	0.01	3	-0.11	4	100%	0.03
Jannero Pargo	-0.17	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.09	-0.08	-0.00	9	22%	-0.14	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Metta World Peace	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.14,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.15,-0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.07,0.07,0.14	0.14	0.04	0.10	-0.00	19	58%	0.25	3	-0.11	0	0%	0.00
John Salmons	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.06	0.06	-0.00	0.06	-0.01	13	60%	0.15	4	-0.09	4	50%	-0.00
Francisco Garcia	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.06,0.06	0.06	-0.00	0.06	-0.00	14	50%	0.11	2	-0.05	4	100%	0.02
Shelden Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.03	0.00	0.02	6	56%	0.01	0	0.00	4	25%	-0.04
Beno Udrih	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	9	41%	-0.01	0	0.00	4	75%	0.03
Mikki Moore	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.01	0.01	2	100%	0.04	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Spencer Hawes	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.03	-0.02	0.00	8	55%	0.01	3	-0.07	4	25%	-0.05
Quincy Douby	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.06	-0.02	-0.01	7	36%	-0.02	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.4	3.4	29.0	15.5	27.3	1.8	39.0	143.6
league avg	27.9	2.4	30.0	16.2	26.6	2.4	33.3	140.1

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAC +67.7%

NOH -10.4%

NOH -17.5%

SAC +12.4%

NOH -2.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NOH	SAC	NBA	NOH	SAC	NBA
this game	14.1	14.6	15.4	90.1	94.0	105.7
season	15.9	14.9		109.6	105.6
opponent	15.0	15.7		108.0	104.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NOH	14.3	14.0	14.5	13.5	14.1
SAC	13.9	16.0	14.8	13.7	14.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Orleans Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Hilton Armstrong	10	11	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	0.02	-3	0	-3	13.6	14.1	-0.53	16.8	14.3	2.51
Mike James	12	12	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	0.05	-5	2	-7	15.4	13.9	1.52	15.8	14.4	1.42
Julian Wright	12	12	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	0.05	-5	2	-7	15.4	13.9	1.52	15.8	14.4	1.42
Morris Peterson	61	60	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	-0.38	9	-12	21	13.8	14.6	-0.82	14.9	14.1	0.84
Tyson Chandler	86	84	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	-0.23	2	-5	7	14.1	14.2	-0.14	14.3	16.1	-1.84
Peja Stojakovic	81	81	-0.17	-0.33	0.15	-0.41	8	-11	19	13.7	15.7	-2.02	14.7	14.2	0.46
Chris Paul	89	88	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	-0.46	2	-5	7	13.9	15.4	-1.52	14.4	15.8	-1.42
David West	90	88	-0.41	-0.09	-0.33	-0.44	1	-4	5	13.9	15.5	-1.65	14.4	16.1	-1.71
Bonzi Wells	38	39	-0.46	-0.04	-0.41	-0.10	-12	9	-21	14.6	13.8	0.84	14.1	14.9	-0.78
Jannero Pargo	26	25	-0.50	-0.00	-0.50	-0.15	-12	9	-21	15.6	13.6	2.02	14.4	14.7	-0.29

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Francisco Garcia	60	60	0.79	-0.29	1.08	0.47	11	-8	19	14.4	14.9	-0.49	13.5	14.9	-1.43
John Salmons	96	97	0.50	-0.00	0.51	0.41	3	0	3	14.6	13.5	1.13	14.1	13.7	0.34
Shelden Williams	51	50	0.45	0.05	0.40	0.10	12	-9	21	15.1	14.1	0.98	13.4	14.8	-1.42
Metta World Peace	93	93	0.42	0.08	0.34	0.45	-1	4	-5	14.5	15.1	-0.61	13.8	16.7	-2.90
Beno Udrih	53	55	0.33	0.17	0.15	0.38	-2	5	-7	14.0	15.2	-1.19	14.7	13.3	1.38
Quincy Douby	44	43	0.19	0.31	-0.12	0.01	6	-3	9	15.2	14.1	1.12	13.4	14.6	-1.19
Mikki Moore	55	58	0.07	0.43	-0.36	0.22	-5	8	-13	14.1	15.1	-1.01	15.0	12.9	2.08
Spencer Hawes	48	49	-0.24	0.74	-0.99	0.02	-9	12	-21	14.9	14.3	0.57	14.8	13.4	1.35

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.58,0.57,0.55,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.6,0.58,0.48,0.53,0.54,0.53,0.56,0.61,0.61,0.61,0.64,0.61,0.61,0.59,0.54,0.57,0.54,0.49,0.45,0.33,0.23,0.35,0.31,0.34,0.3,0.32,0.3,0.26,0.34,0.42,0.53,0.59,0.76,0.58,0.75,0.84,0.94,0.91,1
Game		Similarity Score
LAC 101, SAC 116	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.54,0.54,0.53,0.49,0.51,0.43,0.38,0.49,0.5,0.49,0.47,0.51,0.53,0.44,0.54,0.56,0.54,0.61,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.58,0.52,0.48,0.42,0.45,0.52,0.38,0.41,0.27,0.38,0.32,0.3,0.18,0.24,0.33,0.47,0.64,0.76,0.61,0.69,0.89,0.99,1,1	92.1%
TOR 83, CLE 90	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.54,0.54,0.51,0.57,0.55,0.49,0.53,0.54,0.48,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.56,0.61,0.73,0.64,0.54,0.56,0.59,0.54,0.52,0.55,0.61,0.61,0.52,0.45,0.38,0.38,0.34,0.4,0.36,0.34,0.37,0.53,0.52,0.47,0.64,0.54,0.54,0.68,0.93,0.96,0.98,1	92.0%
MIA 77, PHI 85	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.6,0.65,0.62,0.64,0.65,0.64,0.58,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.54,0.56,0.47,0.54,0.54,0.51,0.57,0.55,0.42,0.36,0.32,0.35,0.31,0.28,0.26,0.28,0.22,0.22,0.21,0.28,0.37,0.63,0.64,0.67,0.9,0.93,0.98,1,1	92.0%