NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Miami Heat	77		Excitement	6.1 [615]		MVP	Donyell Marshall (PHI): +21.6%
Philadelphia 76ers	85		Comeback	4.6 [430]		LVP	Willie Green (PHI): -20.6%

Miami Heat
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jermaine O'Neal	0.08	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.06	0.03	0.01	13	62%	0.16	2	-0.07	6	100%	0.04
Chris Quinn	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	150%	0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Luther Head	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.00	3	37%	0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Jamario Moon	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	-0.01	0.01	2	75%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Yakhouba Diawara	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	-0.00	0.00	3	50%	0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Michael Beasley	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	0.01	-0.00	8	50%	0.04	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Jamaal Magloire	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Mario Chalmers	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05	-0.03	-0.05	-0.03	9	40%	-0.03	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Dwyane Wade	-0.14	0,0,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.07,-0.04,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.14	-0.09	-0.06	-0.01	21	40%	-0.06	3	-0.07	3	67%	0.01
Udonis Haslem	-0.18	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,0.01,0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.13,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.08	-0.10	0.00	8	42%	-0.04	3	-0.14	8	50%	-0.04

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Donyell Marshall	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.23,0.23,0.22,0.22,0.22	0.22	0.05	0.15	-0.02	6	71%	0.28	1	-0.06	2	50%	-0.00
Marreese Speights	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.06	0.03	0.00	5	80%	0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andre Iguodala	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.01	0.01	-0.03	14	52%	0.13	3	-0.08	12	58%	-0.01
Andre Miller	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.00	0.01	-0.01	9	48%	0.02	1	-0.01	3	67%	-0.01
Thaddeus Young	0,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.04	-0.01	0.01	16	50%	0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Theo Ratliff	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Reggie Evans	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Samuel Dalembert	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0	-0.00	0.03	-0.02	0.02	7	57%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Royal Ivey	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lou Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.03,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.13,-0.13,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.10	0.01	-0.01	8	39%	0.05	4	-0.13	2	100%	0.02
Willie Green	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.05,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21	-0.21	-0.12	-0.08	0.00	11	18%	-0.17	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.3	1.8	29.0	13.8	29.1	2.4	32.6	134.0
league avg	26.4	2.4	30.1	16.5	27.1	2.4	33.3	140.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHI +25.5%

MIA -0.1%

PHI +11.0%

PHI +13.0%

PHI +0.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIA	PHI	NBA	MIA	PHI	NBA
this game	18.0	17.1	15.5	93.9	103.7	106.4
season	16.0	15.5		105.9	105.3
opponent	15.9	15.7		105.5	105.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIA	18.2	18.1	17.8	17.9	18.0
PHI	16.0	16.9	18.2	17.3	17.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Miami Heat
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Chris Quinn	7	6	0.12	-0.62	0.73	-0.06	6	-14	20	20.3	17.8	2.50	21.0	16.8	4.18
Michael Beasley	24	26	0.03	-0.53	0.57	0.03	0	-8	8	18.9	17.6	1.30	18.0	16.7	1.34
Luther Head	34	35	-0.19	-0.31	0.13	0.02	-7	-1	-6	18.2	17.9	0.30	17.7	16.7	1.08
Yakhouba Diawara	37	36	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	-0.14	-2	-6	4	17.5	18.4	-0.98	16.3	17.7	-1.41
Jamaal Magloire	20	19	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	-0.06	-5	-3	-2	18.1	18.0	0.20	16.8	17.2	-0.36
Jermaine O'Neal	54	54	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	-0.21	-1	-7	6	17.8	18.4	-0.65	17.7	15.9	1.81
Jamario Moon	44	45	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	-0.14	-5	-3	-2	18.8	17.1	1.72	17.0	17.3	-0.37
Dwyane Wade	59	59	-0.36	-0.14	-0.21	-0.18	-6	-2	-4	17.8	18.4	-0.54	17.2	17.0	0.11
Udonis Haslem	65	63	-0.58	0.08	-0.66	-0.29	-10	2	-12	17.9	18.3	-0.37	16.5	19.2	-2.65
Mario Chalmers	66	67	-0.59	0.09	-0.67	-0.29	-10	2	-12	17.5	20.2	-2.80	16.8	18.7	-1.97

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Donyell Marshall	17	18	0.78	-0.28	1.06	0.34	15	-7	22	17.8	16.9	0.89	18.1	18.0	0.07
Lou Williams	36	34	0.60	-0.10	0.70	0.40	7	1	6	18.7	15.9	2.80	18.8	17.4	1.41
Samuel Dalembert	51	53	0.42	0.08	0.34	0.16	9	-1	10	16.9	17.5	-0.63	17.7	18.6	-0.85
Andre Iguodala	74	76	0.38	0.12	0.27	0.12	9	-1	10	17.1	17.5	-0.42	18.1	16.7	1.44
Andre Miller	66	65	0.35	0.15	0.20	0.18	6	2	4	17.1	17.3	-0.24	18.1	17.6	0.45
Thaddeus Young	69	67	0.28	0.22	0.05	0.04	8	0	8	16.3	21.4	-5.07	17.5	20.1	-2.53
Marreese Speights	31	29	0.08	0.42	-0.34	0.11	-1	9	-10	17.5	16.9	0.63	18.6	17.7	0.85
Willie Green	40	42	-0.03	0.53	-0.56	-0.09	2	6	-4	15.6	18.5	-2.92	17.5	18.6	-1.12
Theo Ratliff	6	5	-0.08	0.58	-0.65	-0.05	-1	9	-10	20.7	16.8	3.82	22.2	17.7	4.47
Royal Ivey	10	11	-0.10	0.60	-0.70	0.04	-5	13	-18	17.5	17.1	0.43	15.4	18.4	-3.04
Reggie Evans	10	10	-0.19	0.69	-0.87	0.08	-9	17	-26	19.9	16.7	3.16	19.9	17.7	2.16

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.6,0.65,0.62,0.64,0.65,0.64,0.58,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.54,0.56,0.47,0.54,0.54,0.51,0.57,0.55,0.42,0.36,0.32,0.35,0.31,0.28,0.26,0.28,0.22,0.22,0.21,0.28,0.37,0.63,0.64,0.67,0.9,0.93,0.98,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
OKC 98, SAS 101	0.5,0.51,0.44,0.46,0.48,0.54,0.53,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.51,0.47,0.54,0.65,0.6,0.58,0.6,0.56,0.58,0.54,0.56,0.56,0.58,0.54,0.56,0.5,0.37,0.43,0.33,0.42,0.3,0.39,0.35,0.35,0.34,0.33,0.21,0.15,0.19,0.25,0.3,0.42,0.47,0.65,0.83,0.86,0.93,0.98,1,1	92.3%
CHI 69, BOS 71	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.52,0.55,0.57,0.67,0.69,0.67,0.64,0.68,0.7,0.66,0.62,0.6,0.6,0.56,0.51,0.45,0.46,0.44,0.49,0.5,0.37,0.43,0.45,0.52,0.48,0.45,0.52,0.38,0.28,0.26,0.21,0.26,0.22,0.21,0.33,0.42,0.59,0.6,0.78,0.62,0.85,0.95,0.96,1	92.0%
NOH 91, SAC 94	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.58,0.57,0.55,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.6,0.58,0.48,0.53,0.54,0.53,0.56,0.61,0.61,0.61,0.64,0.61,0.61,0.59,0.54,0.57,0.54,0.49,0.45,0.33,0.23,0.35,0.31,0.34,0.3,0.32,0.3,0.26,0.34,0.42,0.53,0.59,0.76,0.58,0.75,0.84,0.94,0.91,1	92.0%