NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Chicago Bulls	83		Excitement	7.0 [453]		MVP	Al Jefferson (BOS): +18.8%
Boston Celtics	92		Comeback	3.3 [698]		LVP	Kirk Hinrich (CHI): -22.1%

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Antonio Davis	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.00	0.00	4	75%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Eric Piatkowski	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01	-0.00	-0.01	-0.02	6	42%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Adrian Griffin	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Duhon	-0.04	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	4	58%	0.02	2	-0.06	4	100%	0.02
Othella Harrington	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.06	-0.02	-0.05	5	42%	-0.03	2	-0.01	2	50%	-0.01
Eddy Curry	-0.05	0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.07,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	0.01	-0.01	0.05	16	67%	0.11	5	-0.16	7	86%	0.03
Tyson Chandler	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.04,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	5	53%	0.01	2	-0.07	5	80%	0.01
Andres Nocioni	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.08	-0.04	0.00	5	0%	-0.12	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ben Gordon	-0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.08	-0.05	0.00	7	29%	-0.09	1	-0.05	3	100%	0.02
Luol Deng	-0.20	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2	-0.12	-0.06	0.02	11	36%	-0.15	3	-0.05	3	67%	-0.00
Kirk Hinrich	-0.22	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.17,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22	-0.11	-0.12	-0.01	17	32%	-0.20	1	-0.02	3	100%	0.02

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Al Jefferson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.19	0.11	0.08	0.01	8	81%	0.19	0	0.00	5	100%	0.05
Raef LaFrentz	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.08	0.00	0.02	10	65%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Walter McCarty	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tom Gugliotta	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tony Allen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	0.00	3	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marcus Banks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.00	2	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Paul Pierce	0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.05	0.02	0.01	26	46%	0.00	1	-0.03	9	89%	0.03
Kendrick Perkins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	0.00	2	50%	-0.01	1	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Jiri Welsch	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.08	-0.00	-0.01	7	33%	-0.05	1	-0.01	4	100%	0.02
Gary Payton	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.11	0.00	-0.04	10	38%	-0.01	2	-0.06	6	33%	-0.00
Ricky Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.08	-0.01	-0.00	10	50%	0.06	4	-0.14	2	50%	-0.01
Mark Blount	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.11	-0.04	-0.00	3	0%	-0.07	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.5	2.0	30.2	15.8	25.2	2.4	33.6	136.6
league avg	51.6	2.4	28.6	12.7	25.1	2.1	30.4	153.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

BOS +52.3%

CHI -4.8%

BOS +4.9%

BOS +1.2%

CHI -3.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHI	BOS	NBA	CHI	BOS	NBA
this game	15.8	14.4	15.5	86.5	96.8	104.0
season	15.1	14.4		100.1	104.7
opponent	16.0	15.4		104.1	98.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHI	13.8	17.1	15.3	17.2	15.8
BOS	13.4	15.6	14.7	14.1	14.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Antonio Davis	35	35	0.32	-0.82	1.14	-0.06	13	-22	35	15.3	16.0	-0.78	16.2	13.4	2.80
Adrian Griffin	9	8	0.13	-0.63	0.76	-0.08	7	-16	23	13.7	16.0	-2.30	13.1	14.5	-1.39
Chris Duhon	69	67	-0.02	-0.48	0.45	-0.23	7	-16	23	16.0	15.0	0.99	15.3	12.1	3.20
Othella Harrington	27	28	-0.10	-0.40	0.29	-0.02	-3	-6	3	15.7	15.8	-0.01	12.5	15.2	-2.74
Luol Deng	46	46	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	-0.21	2	-11	13	15.0	16.5	-1.52	15.3	13.6	1.67
Eric Piatkowski	25	25	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	-0.02	-7	-2	-5	16.1	15.6	0.50	12.6	15.0	-2.44
Andres Nocioni	34	34	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	0.16	-15	6	-21	16.7	15.2	1.48	13.3	15.0	-1.72
Ben Gordon	30	31	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.13	-9	0	-9	15.1	16.0	-0.95	13.3	14.9	-1.65
Eddy Curry	68	67	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	-0.24	-6	-3	-3	16.0	15.2	0.81	15.2	12.5	2.74
Kirk Hinrich	76	74	-0.53	0.03	-0.55	-0.18	-12	3	-15	15.7	15.8	-0.13	14.7	13.2	1.49
Tyson Chandler	61	60	-0.82	0.32	-1.14	-0.18	-22	13	-35	16.0	15.3	0.78	13.4	16.2	-2.80

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Al Jefferson	58	58	0.76	-0.26	1.03	0.24	18	-9	27	13.3	16.1	-2.75	16.2	15.1	1.15
Ricky Davis	48	48	0.76	-0.26	1.02	0.29	16	-7	23	13.0	15.9	-2.91	16.5	15.0	1.46
Paul Pierce	79	81	0.50	-0.00	0.50	0.18	11	-2	13	14.7	13.0	1.68	15.2	18.5	-3.22
Gary Payton	70	71	0.37	0.13	0.25	0.08	10	-1	11	14.5	14.2	0.27	15.5	16.6	-1.10
Mark Blount	44	44	0.29	0.21	0.08	0.32	-1	10	-11	15.1	13.8	1.37	15.3	16.1	-0.80
Marcus Banks	25	25	0.13	0.37	-0.25	0.15	-1	10	-11	14.2	14.5	-0.27	16.6	15.5	1.10
Kendrick Perkins	30	29	0.11	0.39	-0.28	-0.09	7	2	5	13.7	14.7	-0.97	17.3	15.1	2.24
Raef LaFrentz	42	42	-0.01	0.51	-0.51	0.02	-1	10	-11	15.5	13.5	1.93	15.9	15.6	0.32
Tony Allen	18	18	-0.03	0.53	-0.56	0.03	-2	11	-13	13.6	14.6	-1.04	17.7	15.3	2.43
Tom Gugliotta	12	12	-0.03	0.53	-0.56	-0.03	0	9	-9	15.6	14.2	1.35	15.6	15.8	-0.19
Walter McCarty	4	6	-0.11	0.61	-0.71	0.04	-5	14	-19	12.0	14.5	-2.51	8.7	16.2	-7.56
Jiri Welsch	45	46	-0.26	0.76	-1.01	-0.05	-7	16	-23	15.8	13.2	2.62	14.8	16.7	-1.90

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.46,0.45,0.41,0.4,0.41,0.43,0.45,0.49,0.58,0.56,0.5,0.49,0.44,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.45,0.53,0.56,0.56,0.64,0.54,0.54,0.6,0.46,0.49,0.38,0.3,0.23,0.35,0.38,0.41,0.4,0.36,0.46,0.43,0.38,0.33,0.44,0.59,0.71,0.87,0.89,0.79,0.97,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
SAS 76, NOK 89	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.6,0.62,0.62,0.54,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.66,0.56,0.61,0.56,0.56,0.5,0.52,0.43,0.42,0.39,0.39,0.26,0.35,0.44,0.52,0.37,0.32,0.42,0.34,0.43,0.48,0.58,0.7,0.76,0.95,0.97,0.89,1,1,1	93.2%
MIN 102, ORL 108	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.43,0.47,0.44,0.41,0.48,0.45,0.43,0.47,0.44,0.5,0.5,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.46,0.47,0.53,0.52,0.44,0.48,0.42,0.5,0.49,0.48,0.39,0.37,0.45,0.35,0.32,0.41,0.48,0.33,0.44,0.42,0.34,0.43,0.43,0.47,0.64,0.66,0.67,0.89,0.85,0.97,0.98,1	92.8%
POR 79, PHI 88	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.44,0.45,0.41,0.47,0.45,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.56,0.61,0.58,0.56,0.54,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.55,0.4,0.39,0.3,0.33,0.23,0.26,0.22,0.27,0.26,0.21,0.42,0.43,0.43,0.42,0.37,0.53,0.59,0.74,0.81,0.84,0.97,1,1	92.6%