NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Orlando Magic	81		Excitement	7.1 [393]		MVP	Mike Scott (ATL): +8.5%
Atlanta Hawks	87		Comeback	5.6 [473]		LVP	Willie Green (ORL): -21.3%

Orlando Magic
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Evan Fournier	0.06	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.14,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.09,0.09,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.08	-0.01	0.01	14	64%	0.08	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Victor Oladipo	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.07,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0	0.10	-0.07	0.03	12	75%	0.16	3	-0.15	4	50%	-0.02
Channing Frye	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.02	0.01	6	53%	0.06	2	-0.06	3	67%	-0.01
Devyn Marble	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ben Gordon	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	-0.00	6	42%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kyle O'Quinn	-0.04	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04	-0.00	-0.01	0.02	10	56%	0.04	3	-0.08	5	80%	0.02
Tobias Harris	-0.09	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09	-0.08	-0.02	-0.01	14	41%	-0.01	3	-0.08	4	100%	0.02
Dewayne Dedmon	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.09	-0.03	-0.01	2	0%	-0.05	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Elfrid Payton	-0.16	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.09	-0.07	0.00	5	20%	-0.09	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Willie Green	-0.21	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.13,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21	-0.15	-0.07	-0.01	8	0%	-0.17	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Mike Scott	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.04	0.05	0.00	5	57%	0.09	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.01
Kyle Korver	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.01	0.06	0.00	5	60%	0.10	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Paul Millsap	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.02	0.02	0.05	-0.01	0.03	15	57%	0.09	2	-0.07	10	60%	-0.07
Al Horford	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.02	0.01	16	53%	0.07	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
DeMarre Carroll	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0	0.00	-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	11	44%	0.01	1	-0.01	5	100%	0.03
Kent Bazemore	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Thabo Sefolosha	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	4	25%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Elton Brand	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	0	50%	0.02	1	-0.05	2	50%	-0.03
Shelvin Mack	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jeff Teague	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.14,-0.17,-0.17,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.09,-0.12,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.02	-0.02	13	46%	0.03	3	-0.08	2	100%	0.03
Dennis Schroder	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.10	-0.04	-0.00	7	28%	-0.07	2	-0.06	4	75%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.5	2.4	29.4	15.7	30.2	1.8	33.3	135.2
league avg	24.6	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ATL +21.1%

ATL +5.0%

ORL -1.0%

ATL +24.8%

ATL +0.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ORL	ATL	NBA	ORL	ATL	NBA
this game	15.6	15.4	15.1	87.1	93.5	104.2
season	14.9	14.9		100.4	106.7
opponent	15.4	15.3		101.8	105.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ORL	14.3	15.7	15.7	16.7	15.6
ATL	17.0	14.3	15.6	14.7	15.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Orlando Magic
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Evan Fournier	63	64	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	-0.29	9	-15	24	16.4	13.9	2.45	15.7	14.6	1.20
Tobias Harris	64	64	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	-0.38	9	-15	24	15.7	15.4	0.31	16.0	13.9	2.15
Kyle O'Quinn	63	64	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	-0.34	4	-10	14	15.7	15.3	0.38	15.1	16.1	-1.01
Channing Frye	71	72	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	-0.25	1	-7	8	15.2	17.0	-1.79	16.3	12.1	4.24
Dewayne Dedmon	39	39	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	0.00	-9	3	-12	14.9	16.1	-1.15	14.3	16.2	-1.93
Elfrid Payton	45	42	-0.31	-0.19	-0.13	0.07	-13	7	-20	15.7	15.5	0.23	13.5	16.9	-3.38
Victor Oladipo	63	64	-0.35	-0.15	-0.21	-0.29	-2	-4	2	15.8	15.2	0.63	16.1	13.8	2.35
Willie Green	20	21	-0.43	-0.07	-0.37	-0.05	-13	7	-20	14.8	15.8	-0.94	15.1	15.5	-0.36
Ben Gordon	37	35	-0.52	0.02	-0.53	-0.10	-14	8	-22	15.3	15.8	-0.49	14.4	16.0	-1.61

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Mike Scott	30	32	0.44	0.06	0.39	0.12	11	-5	16	14.3	15.9	-1.64	17.3	14.7	2.67
Thabo Sefolosha	45	44	0.41	0.09	0.32	0.15	9	-3	12	13.8	16.8	-3.01	15.1	16.0	-0.86
Jeff Teague	63	64	0.40	0.10	0.29	0.37	1	5	-4	16.0	14.1	1.83	15.6	15.5	0.11
Dennis Schroder	38	38	0.33	0.17	0.16	-0.02	12	-6	18	14.6	15.9	-1.26	15.9	15.4	0.56
Paul Millsap	64	64	0.31	0.19	0.12	0.31	0	6	-6	15.9	14.2	1.70	15.0	16.8	-1.75
Elton Brand	23	24	0.30	0.20	0.10	-0.02	11	-5	16	14.8	15.6	-0.79	15.8	15.5	0.27
DeMarre Carroll	63	62	0.23	0.27	-0.04	0.29	-2	8	-10	15.5	15.2	0.31	15.5	15.7	-0.23
Kyle Korver	55	55	0.18	0.32	-0.13	0.18	0	6	-6	16.6	13.6	2.95	16.2	14.7	1.58
Al Horford	68	66	0.02	0.48	-0.46	0.23	-7	13	-20	15.8	14.3	1.44	15.2	16.6	-1.36
Shelvin Mack	14	16	-0.02	0.52	-0.54	-0.02	0	6	-6	15.4	15.4	0.06	14.0	15.9	-1.92
Kent Bazemore	3	2	-0.08	0.58	-0.66	0.01	-3	9	-12	1.7	15.8	-14.17	5.0	15.8	-10.82

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.52,0.54,0.54,0.53,0.51,0.56,0.6,0.51,0.46,0.57,0.55,0.51,0.58,0.6,0.6,0.61,0.59,0.59,0.64,0.56,0.61,0.5,0.41,0.42,0.33,0.24,0.24,0.21,0.23,0.21,0.15,0.29,0.36,0.5,0.52,0.43,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.59,0.72,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.96,1
Game		Similarity Score
CHI 109, DEN 113	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.56,0.57,0.55,0.57,0.6,0.62,0.56,0.65,0.62,0.64,0.58,0.58,0.49,0.53,0.49,0.56,0.61,0.54,0.51,0.5,0.4,0.4,0.25,0.15,0.16,0.13,0.17,0.16,0.17,0.26,0.32,0.58,0.62,0.47,0.53,0.72,0.47,0.71,0.83,0.86,0.84,1,1,1	92.9%
POR 79, PHI 88	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.44,0.45,0.41,0.47,0.45,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.56,0.61,0.58,0.56,0.54,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.55,0.4,0.39,0.3,0.33,0.23,0.26,0.22,0.27,0.26,0.21,0.42,0.43,0.43,0.42,0.37,0.53,0.59,0.74,0.81,0.84,0.97,1,1	92.6%
DEN 83, MIN 96	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.56,0.55,0.6,0.62,0.55,0.6,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.58,0.6,0.6,0.6,0.61,0.65,0.66,0.64,0.59,0.54,0.51,0.54,0.62,0.57,0.42,0.25,0.29,0.35,0.2,0.11,0.06,0.19,0.25,0.38,0.43,0.53,0.47,0.63,0.53,0.71,0.73,0.75,0.93,0.98,1,1	92.1%