NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Denver Nuggets	81		Excitement	7.8 [300]		MVP	Gordon Hayward (UTA): +14.8%
Utah Jazz	85		Comeback	2.5 [729]		LVP	Emmanuel Mudiay (DEN): -33.2%

Denver Nuggets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Danilo Gallinari	0.07	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.12,0.1,0.07,0.08,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.07	0.03	0.04	-0.00	16	52%	0.13	2	-0.06	14	86%	0.05
Gary Harris	0.04	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.02	0.00	-0.02	9	55%	0.12	1	-0.09	2	100%	0.02
Kenneth Faried	0.01	0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.05,0.01	0.05	-0.02	0.02	8	67%	0.10	2	-0.09	5	80%	-0.04
Will Barton	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.01,-0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.01	0.02	0.00	8	62%	0.15	3	-0.14	0	0%	0.00
Jusuf Nurkic	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.07,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.03	-0.02	0.00	3	50%	0.00	2	-0.06	4	75%	0.01
Nikola Jokic	-0.06	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06	-0.02	-0.05	-0.01	9	40%	-0.06	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.05
Randy Foye	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.05	-0.02	-0.00	3	0%	-0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Joffrey Lauvergne	-0.16	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.08	-0.08	0.00	4	0%	-0.14	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Emmanuel Mudiay	-0.33	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.24,-0.24,-0.33,-0.33,-0.33	-0.12	-0.20	0.02	10	35%	-0.20	3	-0.13	6	50%	-0.04

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Gordon Hayward	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.11,0.11,0.15	0.15	0.03	0.12	-0.00	12	53%	0.17	1	-0.02	6	100%	0.08
Trevor Booker	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.06	0.06	0.00	5	73%	0.12	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.01
Trey Lyles	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.06	0.04	0.00	4	78%	0.10	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Rudy Gobert	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.08,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01	0.01	0.05	-0.03	0.01	8	60%	0.01	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.03
Erick Green	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Derrick Favors	0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.05,-0.05,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.02	0.01	14	50%	0.07	3	-0.09	4	50%	-0.03
Joe Ingles	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Raul Neto	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,0,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.03	-0.01	9	50%	0.02	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.03
Trey Burke	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.05	-0.02	0.00	4	25%	-0.04	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Chris Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.03	-0.06	0.00	5	60%	0.00	3	-0.10	0	0%	0.00
Rodney Hood	0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16	-0.17	-0.12	-0.04	0.01	12	31%	-0.09	3	-0.07	2	50%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.0	2.0	31.2	15.4	24.2	1.8	46.3	144.1
league avg	24.5	2.3	29.5	15.8	26.7	2.3	33.5	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

UTA +34.2%

DEN -3.4%

UTA +4.5%

UTA +16.2%

DEN -1.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DEN	UTA	NBA	DEN	UTA	NBA
this game	15.5	17.0	14.9	92.0	95.5	105.1
season	14.9	16.3		104.3	104.6
opponent	15.0	14.9		102.8	107.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DEN	16.5	13.3	18.8	14.1	15.5
UTA	16.3	19.5	16.4	15.9	17.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Denver Nuggets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jusuf Nurkic	28	29	0.01	-0.51	0.53	-0.01	1	-5	6	14.8	15.9	-1.11	17.1	16.9	0.17
Will Barton	44	45	-0.18	-0.32	0.13	-0.15	-1	-3	2	15.3	15.8	-0.55	16.6	17.4	-0.74
Randy Foye	29	29	-0.20	-0.30	0.09	-0.09	-4	0	-4	14.8	15.9	-1.12	17.0	17.0	0.02
Joffrey Lauvergne	34	37	-0.22	-0.28	0.07	-0.10	-4	0	-4	15.4	15.6	-0.27	16.9	17.0	-0.07
Kenneth Faried	50	48	-0.23	-0.27	0.05	-0.14	-3	-1	-2	15.7	15.4	0.27	17.2	16.7	0.48
Gary Harris	77	76	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.27	0	-4	4	15.3	17.2	-1.87	17.4	14.8	2.60
Emmanuel Mudiay	59	60	-0.30	-0.20	-0.09	-0.30	0	-4	4	15.9	14.8	1.12	17.0	17.0	-0.02
Nikola Jokic	53	53	-0.55	0.05	-0.59	-0.46	-3	-1	-2	15.8	15.2	0.62	17.0	16.9	0.07
Danilo Gallinari	66	68	-0.57	0.07	-0.65	-0.40	-6	2	-8	16.1	13.8	2.30	16.6	18.2	-1.64

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Gordon Hayward	70	70	0.57	-0.07	0.64	0.39	6	-2	8	16.3	19.7	-3.43	16.0	13.8	2.15
Derrick Favors	65	62	0.44	0.06	0.38	0.44	0	4	-4	17.4	15.8	1.64	15.9	14.8	1.05
Joe Ingles	18	18	0.41	0.09	0.31	0.23	6	-2	8	17.2	16.9	0.29	14.9	15.7	-0.76
Raul Neto	49	49	0.39	0.11	0.29	0.25	5	-1	6	16.4	17.6	-1.20	16.3	14.6	1.72
Trey Lyles	17	18	0.21	0.29	-0.08	0.06	5	-1	6	17.2	16.9	0.30	15.0	15.7	-0.69
Trey Burke	30	29	0.17	0.33	-0.15	0.12	2	2	0	17.7	16.6	1.12	15.9	15.4	0.58
Trevor Booker	39	38	0.17	0.33	-0.16	0.14	1	3	-2	17.5	16.6	0.98	15.7	15.4	0.34
Rodney Hood	63	63	0.11	0.39	-0.29	0.19	-3	7	-10	17.6	15.4	2.21	15.1	16.7	-1.58
Rudy Gobert	56	57	0.07	0.43	-0.36	0.07	0	4	-4	16.3	18.2	-1.85	15.5	15.7	-0.25
Erick Green	4	4	0.05	0.45	-0.41	-0.04	3	1	2	16.2	17.0	-0.77	12.2	15.7	-3.45
Chris Johnson	34	32	-0.09	0.59	-0.69	0.05	-5	9	-14	16.9	17.0	-0.12	14.3	16.2	-1.89

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.54,0.52,0.46,0.47,0.51,0.45,0.51,0.47,0.42,0.46,0.47,0.42,0.47,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.44,0.51,0.46,0.36,0.39,0.33,0.31,0.34,0.33,0.36,0.36,0.38,0.41,0.31,0.44,0.37,0.4,0.42,0.43,0.43,0.48,0.32,0.41,0.53,0.61,0.55,0.63,0.9,0.95,1
Game		Similarity Score
DEN 82, NYK 89	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.53,0.53,0.48,0.43,0.43,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.46,0.48,0.51,0.53,0.58,0.56,0.54,0.52,0.52,0.54,0.49,0.46,0.37,0.34,0.25,0.27,0.36,0.29,0.38,0.38,0.41,0.34,0.33,0.4,0.42,0.48,0.48,0.33,0.47,0.41,0.6,0.61,0.62,0.79,0.94,0.92,1	93.4%
SAS 93, POR 98	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.57,0.57,0.52,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.45,0.4,0.42,0.46,0.47,0.44,0.53,0.51,0.46,0.52,0.58,0.56,0.49,0.41,0.44,0.46,0.32,0.4,0.39,0.36,0.39,0.42,0.38,0.41,0.52,0.48,0.48,0.42,0.57,0.57,0.42,0.37,0.31,0.47,0.54,0.54,0.64,0.69,0.92,1	93.3%
DAL 85, SAS 87	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.54,0.55,0.56,0.56,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.42,0.43,0.44,0.45,0.45,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.42,0.44,0.39,0.36,0.33,0.33,0.34,0.31,0.36,0.48,0.45,0.42,0.38,0.41,0.37,0.37,0.4,0.46,0.48,0.48,0.47,0.53,0.53,0.65,0.67,0.62,0.45,0.76,0.9,1	93.2%