NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Cleveland Cavaliers	102		Excitement	6.8 [425]		MVP	LeBron James (CLE): +35.1%
Oklahoma City Thunder	89		Comeback	3.6 [459]		LVP	Shaquille O'Neal (CLE): -18.9%

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
LeBron James	0.35	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.07,0.09,0.12,0.06,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.17,0.2,0.2,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.15,0.15,0.2,0.36,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.35,0.35,0.35,0.35	0.26	0.11	0.02	29	65%	0.38	1	-0.03	10	70%	-0.01
Mo Williams	0.10	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.13,-0.03,0.04,0,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.03	0.08	0.02	18	58%	0.24	4	-0.14	2	100%	0.01
Jamario Moon	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.02,-0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.05	0.03	0.00	6	75%	0.12	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
JJ Hickson	0.02	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.04	-0.00	0.02	8	53%	0.02	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Delonte West	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.01	0.02	-0.00	4	50%	0.06	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Jawad Williams	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Parker	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	5	50%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Anderson Varejao	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.06	-0.01	0.00	4	50%	0.02	3	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.05	-0.02	0.00	3	0%	-0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shaquille O'Neal	-0.19	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.09,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.14,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19	-0.11	-0.08	-0.00	7	31%	-0.06	3	-0.13	2	50%	-0.01

Oklahoma City Thunder
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jeff Green	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.17,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.26,0.36,0.32,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24	0.24	0.18	0.06	0.01	13	70%	0.24	0	0.00	11	91%	0.04
Serge Ibaka	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.04	0.06	-0.00	4	100%	0.14	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Shaun Livingston	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.00	0.04	-0.01	3	67%	0.07	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Nick Collison	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	0.00	0	75%	0.02	1	-0.02	4	75%	0.00
James Harden	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	-0.01	3	37%	-0.00	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01
Nenad Krstic	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.02	-0.03	0.03	8	37%	-0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Durant	0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.02,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.01	-0.11	-0.02	19	60%	0.12	7	-0.22	10	90%	0.02
Thabo Sefolosha	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.08	-0.03	-0.01	4	0%	-0.07	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Russell Westbrook	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.12	-0.05	-0.02	15	31%	-0.10	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	28.6	2.0	32.2	15.7	29.2	2.7	26.2	136.5
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.5	27.2	2.4	33.7	141.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CLE +47.9%

OKC -11.2%

CLE +25.7%

OKC -6.5%

OKC -5.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CLE	OKC	NBA	CLE	OKC	NBA
this game	17.0	14.4	15.3	110.9	97.8	106.0
season	16.1	15.0		109.5	106.2
opponent	15.5	15.0		103.1	103.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CLE	16.8	14.6	16.5	21.1	17.0
OKC	14.5	14.2	14.1	14.9	14.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Anderson Varejao	57	57	0.61	-0.11	0.73	0.06	19	-6	25	17.3	16.6	0.65	14.1	14.9	-0.77
Jamario Moon	47	46	0.52	-0.02	0.55	0.23	10	3	7	17.6	16.4	1.15	13.7	15.2	-1.44
LeBron James	75	72	0.45	0.05	0.40	0.07	13	0	13	17.2	16.2	1.05	14.1	15.6	-1.52
Delonte West	40	41	0.29	0.21	0.07	0.08	7	6	1	16.7	17.3	-0.54	13.5	15.2	-1.62
Mo Williams	69	69	0.27	0.23	0.03	0.09	6	7	-1	17.0	17.1	-0.13	15.3	11.7	3.56
Shaquille O'Neal	35	35	0.26	0.24	0.03	0.12	5	8	-3	17.0	17.1	-0.10	15.1	14.0	1.02
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	40	40	0.23	0.27	-0.03	0.09	5	8	-3	16.3	17.6	-1.30	13.9	14.8	-0.85
Anthony Parker	52	52	0.01	0.49	-0.48	-0.20	7	6	1	17.0	17.0	-0.03	14.7	14.0	0.71
Jawad Williams	2	1	-0.04	0.54	-0.58	0.02	-2	15	-17	17.5	17.0	0.48	6.0	14.5	-8.52
JJ Hickson	43	42	-0.11	0.61	-0.71	0.04	-5	18	-23	16.8	17.2	-0.41	15.4	13.6	1.72

Oklahoma City Thunder
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Russell Westbrook	66	66	-0.13	-0.37	0.25	-0.01	-4	-9	5	14.1	15.2	-1.06	16.8	17.5	-0.71
Jeff Green	76	78	-0.14	-0.36	0.21	-0.05	-3	-10	7	14.7	12.8	1.95	16.6	19.4	-2.74
Thabo Sefolosha	53	53	-0.14	-0.36	0.21	-0.03	-4	-9	5	15.4	13.1	2.32	16.8	17.4	-0.61
Nenad Krstic	58	59	-0.23	-0.27	0.03	-0.03	-7	-6	-1	14.9	13.6	1.24	16.7	17.6	-0.85
Nick Collison	33	33	-0.27	-0.23	-0.03	-0.09	-6	-7	1	13.6	14.9	-1.24	17.6	16.7	0.85
James Harden	40	41	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	-0.10	-7	-6	-1	13.1	15.5	-2.42	17.4	16.7	0.65
Serge Ibaka	24	23	-0.33	-0.17	-0.17	-0.10	-8	-5	-3	13.7	14.7	-0.98	16.3	17.3	-0.91
Shaun Livingston	26	27	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	-0.10	-9	-4	-5	15.0	14.2	0.80	17.9	16.7	1.21
Kevin Durant	79	80	-0.58	0.08	-0.67	-0.09	-17	4	-21	14.4	14.4	0.01	17.5	13.9	3.58

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.55,0.54,0.52,0.52,0.55,0.6,0.59,0.59,0.55,0.62,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.58,0.61,0.61,0.61,0.58,0.73,0.59,0.63,0.58,0.58,0.51,0.39,0.42,0.52,0.52,0.62,0.7,0.67,0.64,0.42,0.38,0.43,0.47,0.42,0.41,0.29,0.22,0.1,0.01,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
DEN 100, MEM 85	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.47,0.54,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.54,0.52,0.56,0.58,0.6,0.65,0.65,0.66,0.73,0.76,0.76,0.72,0.59,0.46,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.39,0.39,0.48,0.55,0.66,0.66,0.7,0.56,0.46,0.38,0.52,0.46,0.42,0.36,0.24,0.18,0.02,0,0,0,0	93.3%
CHI 97, POR 84	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.61,0.58,0.59,0.53,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.53,0.54,0.53,0.58,0.6,0.64,0.63,0.63,0.64,0.73,0.75,0.7,0.65,0.63,0.59,0.58,0.52,0.48,0.45,0.48,0.48,0.62,0.73,0.67,0.75,0.62,0.57,0.57,0.53,0.37,0.36,0.29,0.13,0.01,0,0,0,0	92.9%
LAC 96, BOS 88	0.5,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.48,0.53,0.54,0.55,0.53,0.61,0.53,0.58,0.54,0.57,0.58,0.66,0.58,0.51,0.54,0.58,0.61,0.59,0.64,0.7,0.73,0.67,0.63,0.55,0.58,0.45,0.45,0.55,0.52,0.66,0.59,0.56,0.48,0.42,0.3,0.29,0.28,0.37,0.26,0.12,0.1,0.19,0.22,0.02,0,0	92.0%