inpredictable
Powered by Blogger.
NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Chicago Bulls 97 Excitement6.9 [469] MVPKirk Hinrich (CHI): +8.1%
Portland Trail Blazers 84 Comeback3.4 [185] LVPJoel Przybilla (POR): -20.5%


Chicago Bulls
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Kirk Hinrich0.080,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,0.01,0.06,0.02,0.08,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08-0.020.09-0.001755%0.183-0.10667%-0.01
Chris Duhon0.040,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.030.01-0.00560%0.0400.0000%0.00
Antonio Davis0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.000.00567%0.0400.002100%0.02
Eddy Curry0.010,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.10-0.020.061962%0.021-0.01250%-0.01
Frank Williams-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.030.00-0.0220%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Andres Nocioni-0.040,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.03-0.000.011347%-0.021-0.024100%0.02
Adrian Griffin-0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.00-0.0030%-0.0500.0000%0.00
Tyson Chandler-0.090,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.1,-0.1,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.10-0.01-0.02941%-0.013-0.08425%-0.04
Othella Harrington-0.130,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13-0.07-0.050.00636%-0.042-0.09250%-0.01
Ben Gordon-0.140,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14-0.08-0.06-0.001233%-0.062-0.0800%0.00

Portland Trail Blazers
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Travis Outlaw0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.040.030.02971%0.112-0.06683%0.01
Ha Seung-Jin00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Richie Frahm0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.010.000.000.01370%0.041-0.05475%0.01
Viktor Khryapa0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.05-0.00-0.0220%-0.021-0.0200%0.00
Darius Miles0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.04-0.03-0.01560%0.043-0.0900%0.00
Damon Stoudamire0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.08-0.04-0.05-0.011054%0.033-0.114100%0.02
Shareef Abdur-Rahim0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.090.01-0.090.011463%0.053-0.14786%0.02
Theo Ratliff0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1-0.10-0.06-0.05-0.00350%-0.032-0.08475%-0.02
Sebastian Telfair0,0,0,0.01,0,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.17,-0.17,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19-0.19-0.11-0.080.001146%-0.104-0.10683%0.01
Joel Przybilla0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21-0.21-0.18-0.04-0.0276%-0.123-0.09250%-0.01
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game24.52.628.415.427.31.828.2128.2
league avg51.62.428.612.725.12.130.4153.9
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
CHI +15.7%
POR -14.8%
CHI +13.0%
CHI +38.0%
POR -1.8%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsCHIPORNBACHIPORNBA
this game15.315.715.5104.390.3104.0
season15.115.8100.1101.2
opponent15.615.4105.498.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
CHI16.015.014.815.415.3
POR15.315.016.515.915.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Chicago Bulls
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Andres Nocioni78770.53-0.030.560.0616-31914.618.7-4.0915.914.41.48
Kirk Hinrich81810.52-0.020.540.0516-31914.818.9-4.1515.914.11.82
Chris Duhon53510.490.010.480.20103716.613.62.9415.915.40.43
Tyson Chandler61620.410.090.330.12103715.415.20.1715.116.8-1.66
Othella Harrington32310.410.090.330.1885314.315.8-1.5116.415.31.03
Eddy Curry61620.090.41-0.33-0.0658-315.814.31.5115.316.4-1.03
Antonio Davis32310.090.41-0.33-0.00310-715.215.4-0.1716.815.11.66
Ben Gordon42420.010.49-0.48-0.1149-514.016.4-2.4615.415.9-0.43
Frank Williams1012-0.020.52-0.550.09-417-2118.614.93.7014.115.9-1.82
Adrian Griffin1516-0.030.53-0.560.06-316-1918.714.64.0914.415.9-1.48

Portland Trail Blazers
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Travis Outlaw51490.09-0.590.670.17-3-10715.116.4-1.3014.915.8-0.90
Ha Seung-Jin100.00-0.500.500.06-2-11912.015.7-3.710.015.3-15.30
Viktor Khryapa1717-0.03-0.470.44-0.061-141516.115.60.4816.215.11.07
Richie Frahm2121-0.11-0.390.27-0.06-2-11913.616.3-2.7115.015.4-0.45
Sebastian Telfair6967-0.22-0.280.07-0.01-7-6-115.715.50.2215.614.60.95
Joel Przybilla7579-0.38-0.12-0.26-0.06-11-2-915.914.81.0315.315.20.10
Shareef Abdur-Rahim6867-0.39-0.11-0.27-0.06-11-2-916.014.91.0815.315.4-0.17
Darius Miles4749-0.47-0.03-0.43-0.29-6-7115.715.60.0715.814.81.00
Theo Ratliff4846-0.47-0.03-0.44-0.15-11-2-915.515.8-0.2614.915.7-0.77
Damon Stoudamire6870-0.520.02-0.54-0.14-130-1316.214.22.0115.215.7-0.47


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.61,0.58,0.59,0.53,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.53,0.54,0.53,0.58,0.6,0.64,0.63,0.63,0.64,0.73,0.75,0.7,0.65,0.63,0.59,0.58,0.52,0.48,0.45,0.48,0.48,0.62,0.73,0.67,0.75,0.62,0.57,0.57,0.53,0.37,0.36,0.29,0.13,0.01,0,0,0,0
GameSimilarity Score
DEN 100, MEM 850.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.47,0.54,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.54,0.52,0.56,0.58,0.6,0.65,0.65,0.66,0.73,0.76,0.76,0.72,0.59,0.46,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.39,0.39,0.48,0.55,0.66,0.66,0.7,0.56,0.46,0.38,0.52,0.46,0.42,0.36,0.24,0.18,0.02,0,0,0,093.2%
CLE 102, OKC 890.5,0.49,0.55,0.54,0.52,0.52,0.55,0.6,0.59,0.59,0.55,0.62,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.58,0.61,0.61,0.61,0.58,0.73,0.59,0.63,0.58,0.58,0.51,0.39,0.42,0.52,0.52,0.62,0.7,0.67,0.64,0.42,0.38,0.43,0.47,0.42,0.41,0.29,0.22,0.1,0.01,0,0,092.9%
GSW 91, VAN 830.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.56,0.63,0.62,0.64,0.6,0.63,0.6,0.58,0.57,0.54,0.56,0.49,0.53,0.56,0.68,0.66,0.71,0.69,0.58,0.64,0.54,0.55,0.54,0.58,0.64,0.52,0.55,0.59,0.68,0.79,0.67,0.68,0.54,0.62,0.57,0.62,0.53,0.41,0.3,0.33,0.14,0.04,0.03,0,092.7%