NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Clippers	96		Excitement	7.0 [415]		MVP	Jamal Crawford (LAC): +26.3%
Boston Celtics	88		Comeback	3.0 [644]		LVP	Jordan Crawford (BOS): -10.3%

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jamal Crawford	0.26	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.01,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.05,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.26,0.26,0.26	0.09	0.17	0.00	14	62%	0.32	2	-0.06	6	83%	0.02
Willie Green	0.10	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.05	0.04	-0.01	6	67%	0.10	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Darren Collison	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	-0.02	0.06	-0.03	7	50%	0.11	2	-0.04	6	67%	-0.03
Chris Paul	0.01	0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	0.03	16	55%	0.09	3	-0.08	8	75%	-0.01
Ryan Hollins	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
DeAndre Jordan	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	3	42%	-0.02	0	0.00	6	17%	-0.09
Jared Dudley	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	0.01	-0.01	0.04	9	45%	-0.05	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Blake Griffin	-0.05	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	-0.00	16	50%	0.08	4	-0.12	4	100%	0.02
Antawn Jamison	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	2	50%	-0.00	2	-0.04	2	0%	-0.06
Stephen Jackson	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.02	-0.00	3	0%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jeff Green	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.09	0.06	-0.00	23	56%	0.20	1	-0.04	6	100%	0.06
Avery Bradley	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	-0.02	0.06	0.00	8	50%	0.09	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Brandon Bass	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.04	-0.02	0.01	12	55%	0.04	1	-0.02	7	71%	-0.01
Vitor Faverani	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Gerald Wallace	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.02	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Jared Sullinger	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	0.00	-0.00	13	38%	-0.01	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Phil Pressey	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	-0.00	1	0%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Courtney Lee	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.07	-0.01	-0.00	2	0%	-0.04	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
MarShon Brooks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.04	-0.06	0.00	1	100%	0.05	3	-0.15	0	0%	0.00
Jordan Crawford	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.02	-0.07	0.02	17	50%	-0.05	3	-0.05	6	83%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.1	1.7	33.1	15.5	26.6	2.6	34.3	135.0
league avg	24.7	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.4	136.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAC +30.0%

LAC +1.1%

LAC +4.0%

LAC +14.8%

BOS -0.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAC	BOS	NBA	LAC	BOS	NBA
this game	14.4	16.3	15.1	103.2	92.6	105.2
season	14.3	15.4		111.0	101.2
opponent	15.0	15.4		106.0	104.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAC	14.4	14.1	14.1	14.8	14.4
BOS	14.4	15.9	20.1	15.2	16.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Darren Collison	43	44	0.62	-0.12	0.74	0.21	14	-6	20	14.2	14.5	-0.27	16.4	16.2	0.23
Jamal Crawford	54	55	0.59	-0.09	0.69	0.27	11	-3	14	13.9	15.1	-1.20	16.3	16.3	-0.02
Blake Griffin	80	82	0.47	0.03	0.43	0.20	9	-1	10	14.6	12.8	1.75	16.2	16.5	-0.32
Jared Dudley	72	72	0.36	0.14	0.23	0.25	4	4	0	14.6	13.5	1.13	16.0	17.1	-1.09
Chris Paul	70	72	0.32	0.18	0.14	0.11	7	1	6	14.8	13.0	1.80	15.8	17.6	-1.78
Stephen Jackson	23	25	0.13	0.37	-0.23	0.11	1	7	-6	13.4	14.7	-1.22	17.3	15.9	1.38
Antawn Jamison	16	18	0.12	0.38	-0.26	0.06	2	6	-4	13.4	14.6	-1.18	17.4	16.0	1.46
Ryan Hollins	6	6	0.02	0.48	-0.47	0.02	0	8	-8	13.7	14.4	-0.74	20.3	16.0	4.34
DeAndre Jordan	63	62	-0.05	0.55	-0.60	0.04	-3	11	-14	14.7	13.6	1.16	15.7	17.3	-1.64
Willie Green	38	39	-0.08	0.58	-0.66	0.06	-5	13	-18	13.9	14.7	-0.82	16.6	16.0	0.55

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Vitor Faverani	12	10	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	0.04	-2	-6	4	14.7	16.5	-1.83	13.4	14.5	-1.07
Jared Sullinger	61	63	-0.08	-0.42	0.33	-0.20	4	-12	16	15.6	17.5	-1.88	15.1	12.8	2.25
Courtney Lee	30	27	-0.12	-0.38	0.27	-0.06	-2	-6	4	16.6	16.1	0.49	13.9	14.5	-0.66
MarShon Brooks	9	9	-0.12	-0.38	0.25	-0.09	-1	-7	6	14.8	16.4	-1.64	12.2	14.6	-2.36
Phil Pressey	17	18	-0.13	-0.37	0.25	-0.07	-2	-6	4	17.2	16.1	1.11	13.8	14.5	-0.72
Gerald Wallace	36	33	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.05	-7	-1	-6	17.3	15.6	1.68	12.9	15.2	-2.29
Jordan Crawford	78	75	-0.37	-0.13	-0.25	-0.20	-6	-2	-4	16.1	17.2	-1.11	14.5	13.8	0.72
Avery Bradley	65	66	-0.38	-0.12	-0.27	-0.21	-6	-2	-4	16.1	16.6	-0.49	14.5	13.9	0.66
Brandon Bass	81	79	-0.50	0.00	-0.51	-0.24	-9	1	-10	16.6	14.4	2.15	14.4	14.0	0.42
Jeff Green	86	85	-0.51	0.01	-0.52	-0.25	-9	1	-10	16.4	15.1	1.27	14.7	11.0	3.67

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.48,0.53,0.54,0.55,0.53,0.61,0.53,0.58,0.54,0.57,0.58,0.66,0.58,0.51,0.54,0.58,0.61,0.59,0.64,0.7,0.73,0.67,0.63,0.55,0.58,0.45,0.45,0.55,0.52,0.66,0.59,0.56,0.48,0.42,0.3,0.29,0.28,0.37,0.26,0.12,0.1,0.19,0.22,0.02,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
NOK 96, MIN 94	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.57,0.59,0.61,0.59,0.57,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.54,0.54,0.51,0.58,0.62,0.62,0.58,0.63,0.59,0.64,0.66,0.72,0.7,0.67,0.54,0.51,0.58,0.58,0.7,0.58,0.48,0.62,0.56,0.56,0.48,0.3,0.34,0.38,0.29,0.32,0.26,0.15,0.12,0.19,0.36,0.15,0.04,0	93.3%
WAS 103, PHI 94	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.49,0.5,0.45,0.5,0.49,0.55,0.57,0.53,0.58,0.6,0.63,0.51,0.53,0.6,0.6,0.65,0.54,0.48,0.51,0.54,0.64,0.73,0.58,0.69,0.57,0.52,0.48,0.52,0.52,0.59,0.62,0.63,0.67,0.52,0.34,0.26,0.33,0.29,0.27,0.14,0.12,0.07,0.03,0.05,0.09,0.02,0	93.0%
SEA 101, TOR 94	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.5,0.54,0.54,0.6,0.56,0.55,0.51,0.53,0.55,0.63,0.6,0.49,0.49,0.42,0.42,0.54,0.54,0.56,0.61,0.64,0.73,0.63,0.58,0.55,0.49,0.58,0.45,0.62,0.55,0.59,0.44,0.56,0.44,0.42,0.38,0.33,0.41,0.23,0.08,0.09,0.03,0.05,0.01,0,0,0	92.3%