NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New Orleans/Oklahoma City Hornets	96		Excitement	8.2 [240]		MVP	Ricky Davis (MIN): +20.1%
Minnesota Timberwolves	94		Comeback	2.8 [200]		LVP	Bobby Jackson (NOK): -29.3%

New Orleans/Oklahoma City Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Rasual Butler	0.08	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0.11,0.08,0.08	-0.03	0.11	-0.00	19	39%	0.08	0	0.00	6	67%	0.01
Hilton Armstrong	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.02	0.05	-0.00	2	75%	0.10	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.03
Chris Paul	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.02,0.08,0.16,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.04	0.09	0.02	0.07	12	60%	0.08	1	-0.04	6	50%	-0.04
Brandon Bass	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marcus Vinicius	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.00	0.00	2	67%	0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
David West	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0	0.02	-0.01	0.01	14	44%	0.00	0	0.00	6	83%	0.02
Jannero Pargo	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.01	8	40%	0.01	1	-0.04	4	50%	0.02
Devin Brown	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.01	-0.02	0.01	9	38%	-0.04	0	0.00	3	100%	0.02
Marc Jackson	-0.08	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.02,0.05,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.03	-0.05	-0.01	13	48%	0.03	3	-0.11	5	100%	0.03
Bobby Jackson	-0.29	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.16,-0.21,-0.21,-0.17,-0.17,-0.19,-0.23,-0.26,-0.29,-0.29,-0.29,-0.29,-0.29,-0.29,-0.29,-0.29	-0.20	-0.10	0.00	11	12%	-0.18	3	-0.11	2	50%	-0.01

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ricky Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2	0.20	0.07	0.14	0.00	6	92%	0.25	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Trenton Hassell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.07	0.02	0.00	8	67%	0.09	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Marko Jaric	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.01	0.04	-0.01	5	60%	0.08	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Justin Reed	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mark Madsen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	0.00	2	50%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mark Blount	0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	3	67%	0.02	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Mike James	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	0.01	-0.05	0.01	13	54%	0.02	2	-0.07	2	100%	0.01
Rashad McCants	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.05,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.08,-0.12,-0.08	-0.08	0.03	-0.11	-0.00	14	57%	-0.02	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Craig Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.15	-0.15	-0.05	-0.10	0.00	2	0%	-0.11	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Randy Foye	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.09,-0.09,-0.16,-0.16	-0.16	-0.01	-0.14	0.00	8	70%	0.07	5	-0.23	4	50%	-0.03
Kevin Garnett	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.1,-0.1,-0.18,-0.18,-0.19	-0.19	-0.04	-0.10	0.06	14	41%	-0.16	1	-0.03	4	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.9	2.5	30.2	15.0	27.3	2.6	37.0	139.4
league avg	28.7	2.4	29.9	15.9	26.5	2.4	34.0	141.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIN -33.5%

NOK +23.3%

NOK +38.9%

NOK +20.8%

NOK +0.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NOK	MIN	NBA	NOK	MIN	NBA
this game	16.7	14.0	15.4	102.1	100.0	104.5
season	16.0	15.4		102.8	101.9
opponent	15.6	15.3		105.8	104.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NOK	18.9	18.5	14.4	15.5	16.7
MIN	14.7	14.9	13.8	12.8	14.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Orleans/Oklahoma City Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Rasual Butler	83	84	0.59	-0.09	0.69	0.42	6	-4	10	16.3	19.0	-2.65	13.7	16.1	-2.37
Chris Paul	74	73	0.59	-0.09	0.68	0.45	5	-3	8	16.4	17.6	-1.26	13.4	16.0	-2.66
David West	81	79	0.51	-0.01	0.52	0.42	3	-1	4	16.5	17.5	-1.02	13.6	16.1	-2.48
Hilton Armstrong	50	49	0.42	0.08	0.34	0.51	-3	5	-8	15.3	18.2	-2.90	14.1	13.9	0.21
Bobby Jackson	40	41	0.22	0.28	-0.05	0.08	5	-3	8	14.3	18.4	-4.02	15.2	13.0	2.16
Jannero Pargo	37	38	0.22	0.28	-0.06	0.37	-5	7	-12	16.9	16.5	0.43	13.7	14.1	-0.41
Marc Jackson	49	51	0.13	0.37	-0.24	-0.04	6	-4	10	17.9	15.4	2.50	14.3	13.6	0.78
Devin Brown	37	36	-0.03	0.53	-0.57	-0.01	-1	3	-4	19.4	14.9	4.57	14.1	13.9	0.12
Brandon Bass	8	9	-0.06	0.56	-0.62	-0.00	-2	4	-6	19.2	16.4	2.83	14.9	13.9	1.01
Marcus Vinicius	11	10	-0.09	0.59	-0.69	0.02	-4	6	-10	19.0	16.3	2.65	16.1	13.7	2.37

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Trenton Hassell	37	38	0.01	-0.51	0.51	-0.14	5	-7	12	15.2	13.2	2.00	17.8	15.9	1.90
Justin Reed	1	1	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	-0.01	0	-2	2	15.0	14.0	1.03	16.0	16.7	-0.67
Mark Blount	45	45	-0.06	-0.44	0.37	-0.00	-2	0	-2	13.3	14.6	-1.28	17.8	15.6	2.19
Marko Jaric	40	40	-0.18	-0.32	0.15	-0.00	-6	4	-10	14.0	13.9	0.12	17.0	16.4	0.68
Mike James	45	45	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	-0.04	-5	3	-8	14.2	13.8	0.38	16.9	16.4	0.48
Mark Madsen	27	26	-0.22	-0.28	0.07	-0.13	-3	1	-4	16.4	13.0	3.41	16.3	16.8	-0.49
Randy Foye	51	50	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.40	4	-6	10	14.0	14.0	0.00	16.8	16.5	0.30
Kevin Garnett	65	66	-0.29	-0.21	-0.07	-0.31	1	-3	4	12.9	16.4	-3.57	16.6	16.7	-0.13
Rashad McCants	54	54	-0.32	-0.18	-0.15	-0.44	4	-6	10	13.9	14.0	-0.12	16.4	17.0	-0.68
Craig Smith	50	50	-0.42	-0.08	-0.35	-0.42	0	-2	2	14.7	13.2	1.50	15.9	17.5	-1.67
Ricky Davis	55	55	-0.54	0.04	-0.57	-0.30	-8	6	-14	13.0	15.4	-2.36	15.5	18.2	-2.69

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.57,0.59,0.61,0.59,0.57,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.54,0.54,0.51,0.58,0.62,0.62,0.58,0.63,0.59,0.64,0.66,0.72,0.7,0.67,0.54,0.51,0.58,0.58,0.7,0.58,0.48,0.62,0.56,0.56,0.48,0.3,0.34,0.38,0.29,0.32,0.26,0.15,0.12,0.19,0.36,0.15,0.04,0
Game		Similarity Score
LAC 96, BOS 88	0.5,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.48,0.53,0.54,0.55,0.53,0.61,0.53,0.58,0.54,0.57,0.58,0.66,0.58,0.51,0.54,0.58,0.61,0.59,0.64,0.7,0.73,0.67,0.63,0.55,0.58,0.45,0.45,0.55,0.52,0.66,0.59,0.56,0.48,0.42,0.3,0.29,0.28,0.37,0.26,0.12,0.1,0.19,0.22,0.02,0,0	93.3%
POR 100, BOS 94	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.6,0.61,0.63,0.59,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.58,0.62,0.62,0.65,0.68,0.71,0.64,0.64,0.58,0.56,0.54,0.58,0.63,0.48,0.55,0.52,0.65,0.65,0.59,0.44,0.52,0.48,0.46,0.43,0.33,0.29,0.19,0.21,0.15,0.26,0.14,0.15,0.06,0.02,0	91.9%
CHH 98, LAL 93	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.63,0.68,0.64,0.55,0.62,0.62,0.64,0.6,0.55,0.55,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.61,0.61,0.66,0.64,0.56,0.5,0.58,0.54,0.61,0.58,0.58,0.48,0.48,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.4,0.3,0.43,0.34,0.26,0.19,0.21,0.11,0.22,0.14,0.14,0.23,0.27,0	91.6%