NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Oklahoma City Thunder	99		Excitement	7.8 [266]		MVP	Dirk Nowitzki (DAL): +26.3%
Dallas Mavericks	103		Comeback	3.6 [741]		LVP	Brandon Bass (DAL): -12.7%

Oklahoma City Thunder
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Joe Smith	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.01	0.03	0.00	4	50%	0.07	1	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Earl Watson	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.03	0.01	-0.02	10	35%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Desmond Mason	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.14,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0,0,0	0.02	-0.03	-0.00	10	55%	0.05	1	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Damien Wilkins	-0.01	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.04	0.01	-0.02	9	44%	0.05	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Durant	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.05,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.02	-0.04	-0.00	18	54%	0.04	2	-0.06	5	100%	0.03
Nick Collison	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	3	33%	0.01	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Russell Westbrook	-0.05	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.01,-0.12,-0.12,-0.05,-0.05	0.03	-0.06	0.02	14	58%	0.06	3	-0.10	5	100%	0.03
Jeff Green	-0.07	0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.16,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.08,-0.07	0.10	-0.15	0.02	16	68%	0.11	3	-0.18	5	80%	-0.02
Johan Petro	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.09	-0.03	-0.01	3	0%	-0.06	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Dirk Nowitzki	0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.04,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.13,0.07,0.14,0.28,0.25,0.26	0.26	0.17	0.11	0.02	30	66%	0.38	5	-0.12	10	100%	0.11
Jason Terry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.18,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.21,0.29,0.29,0.23,0.17	0.17	0.13	0.04	0.00	21	67%	0.22	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Jason Kidd	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06	0.06	0.06	0.01	0.01	3	100%	0.09	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.00
DeSagana Diop	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jose Juan Barea	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.02	0.02	0.00	7	43%	0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Erick Dampier	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.06	0.00	-0.01	0	0%	-0.03	1	-0.02	4	0%	-0.04
Shawne Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	4	30%	-0.05	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Devean George	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.06	-0.02	-0.01	6	29%	-0.05	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Brandon Bass	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.07,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.06	-0.10	-0.03	9	33%	-0.10	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.5	2.7	27.5	16.7	26.2	1.7	32.0	128.1
league avg	26.4	2.4	30.1	16.5	27.1	2.4	33.3	140.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DAL +16.4%

DAL +0.2%

OKC -0.5%

DAL +30.9%

DAL +3.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	OKC	DAL	NBA	OKC	DAL	NBA
this game	15.5	15.3	15.5	105.3	110.8	106.4
season	14.9	15.6		100.5	108.9
opponent	15.4	15.1		107.1	106.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
OKC	14.4	14.4	17.2	16.5	15.5
DAL	15.0	14.4	17.1	14.8	15.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Oklahoma City Thunder
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Damien Wilkins	46	45	0.16	-0.66	0.81	-0.05	7	-11	18	15.9	15.2	0.77	16.0	14.5	1.52
Johan Petro	33	33	0.13	-0.63	0.75	0.01	4	-8	12	15.3	15.7	-0.37	17.1	14.2	2.84
Earl Watson	33	32	-0.22	-0.28	0.05	0.01	-8	4	-12	16.0	15.3	0.70	14.1	15.9	-1.82
Nick Collison	55	54	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.15	-4	0	-4	16.0	14.9	1.01	14.9	15.7	-0.75
Russell Westbrook	68	68	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.37	3	-7	10	15.0	17.1	-2.12	15.7	14.1	1.56
Jeff Green	75	75	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.37	1	-5	6	15.1	17.3	-2.22	15.4	14.7	0.66
Kevin Durant	78	78	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.39	1	-5	6	15.1	17.5	-2.36	15.2	15.4	-0.17
Desmond Mason	45	43	-0.61	0.11	-0.73	-0.38	-8	4	-12	15.6	15.5	0.02	15.0	15.5	-0.48
Joe Smith	37	37	-0.70	0.20	-0.89	-0.23	-16	12	-28	17.1	14.6	2.49	13.5	16.4	-2.94

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jason Terry	65	65	0.84	-0.34	1.17	0.43	14	-10	24	14.3	17.5	-3.26	16.3	13.9	2.38
Brandon Bass	65	66	0.82	-0.32	1.13	0.41	14	-10	24	14.5	17.1	-2.59	16.1	14.2	1.84
Dirk Nowitzki	76	77	0.51	-0.01	0.52	0.33	6	-2	8	15.7	13.5	2.19	15.6	15.2	0.38
Jason Kidd	70	73	0.36	0.14	0.22	0.33	1	3	-2	15.6	14.1	1.56	15.5	15.6	-0.10
Devean George	68	70	0.29	0.21	0.08	0.35	-2	6	-8	15.6	14.2	1.45	15.5	15.8	-0.33
Shawne Williams	30	30	0.19	0.31	-0.13	0.07	4	0	4	13.8	16.0	-2.15	15.7	15.5	0.28
DeSagana Diop	12	12	-0.03	0.53	-0.56	0.03	-2	6	-8	14.2	15.4	-1.25	14.7	15.7	-0.91
Jose Juan Barea	51	49	-0.17	0.67	-0.83	-0.02	-5	9	-14	16.0	14.4	1.60	14.7	16.5	-1.77
Erick Dampier	28	28	-0.30	0.80	-1.11	-0.01	-10	14	-24	17.1	14.5	2.59	14.2	16.1	-1.84

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.46,0.41,0.42,0.35,0.39,0.35,0.35,0.35,0.38,0.37,0.38,0.34,0.42,0.47,0.51,0.41,0.51,0.56,0.49,0.42,0.39,0.42,0.46,0.43,0.39,0.36,0.36,0.32,0.25,0.22,0.3,0.38,0.52,0.46,0.48,0.52,0.53,0.42,0.49,0.54,0.33,0.45,0.72,0.93,0.84,1
Game		Similarity Score
DEN 93, ORL 103	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.43,0.4,0.41,0.43,0.43,0.47,0.4,0.39,0.36,0.4,0.43,0.41,0.42,0.4,0.47,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.53,0.54,0.46,0.33,0.25,0.29,0.25,0.3,0.22,0.33,0.26,0.25,0.3,0.37,0.4,0.36,0.38,0.48,0.57,0.48,0.42,0.47,0.35,0.4,0.38,0.72,0.97,1,1	92.3%
PHX 104, DAL 107	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.49,0.44,0.44,0.45,0.43,0.37,0.35,0.42,0.42,0.43,0.38,0.42,0.47,0.47,0.44,0.44,0.49,0.56,0.56,0.51,0.46,0.42,0.48,0.43,0.45,0.45,0.48,0.45,0.45,0.41,0.41,0.52,0.6,0.5,0.52,0.57,0.53,0.53,0.47,0.49,0.34,0.38,0.54,0.68,0.73,1	91.5%
PHX 99, MEM 104	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.5,0.44,0.47,0.43,0.37,0.32,0.35,0.32,0.4,0.4,0.44,0.41,0.45,0.47,0.46,0.44,0.44,0.39,0.34,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.41,0.28,0.33,0.27,0.3,0.29,0.29,0.34,0.34,0.41,0.42,0.5,0.34,0.38,0.29,0.32,0.36,0.46,0.4,0.39,0.55,0.9,0.96,1	91.3%