NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Phoenix Suns	99		Excitement	8.0 [266]		MVP	Mike Conley (MEM): +36.6%
Memphis Grizzlies	104		Comeback	3.1 [478]		LVP	Channing Frye (PHX): -25.9%

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Goran Dragic	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1	0.16	0.01	0.07	10	84%	0.13	1	-0.03	5	100%	0.03
Markieff Morris	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.02,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08	0.00	0.06	-0.02	17	46%	0.10	1	-0.02	3	67%	0.00
PJ Tucker	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05	0.06	-0.00	0.00	9	61%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ish Smith	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.01	0.02	-0.00	4	50%	0.04	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Gerald Green	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.05,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03	0.04	-0.00	0.01	10	60%	0.06	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Miles Plumlee	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.01	0.03	0.00	6	50%	0.05	1	-0.04	4	50%	-0.03
Alex Len	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.01	-0.01	3	33%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Leandro Barbosa	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.04	-0.08	-0.00	7	29%	-0.12	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marcus Morris	-0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.05	-0.08	-0.00	11	37%	-0.10	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.03
Channing Frye	-0.26	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.14,-0.18,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.26	-0.07	-0.18	0.00	15	33%	-0.23	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Mike Conley	0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.17,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.18,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.07,0.07,0.14,0.32,0.35,0.37	0.37	0.21	0.17	0.02	19	70%	0.37	0	0.00	6	100%	0.03
Mike Miller	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07	0.07	0.09	0.01	0.03	6	79%	0.07	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Kosta Koufos	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.03	0.04	0.00	7	57%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
James Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.06,0.06	0.06	-0.01	0.07	0.00	7	64%	0.14	3	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Nick Calathes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.02	0.00	1	50%	0.02	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.05
Ed Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.1,-0.1,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.02	0.00	9	50%	0.01	1	-0.04	2	0%	-0.09
Tayshaun Prince	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.06	-0.02	-0.01	5	21%	-0.07	0	0.00	4	0%	-0.08
Jon Leuer	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.04	-0.03	0.00	5	20%	-0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Zach Randolph	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.05,-0.03,0,-0.04,-0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,-0.01,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.03	-0.06	-0.01	21	44%	0.03	2	-0.12	3	67%	-0.02
Courtney Lee	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13	-0.13	-0.03	-0.09	0.02	6	50%	0.00	2	-0.13	4	100%	0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	20.6	1.8	27.1	15.5	24.5	2.6	38.2	130.4
league avg	24.7	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.4	136.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MEM +74.8%

PHX -16.8%

MEM +18.4%

PHX -23.5%

PHX -2.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHX	MEM	NBA	PHX	MEM	NBA
this game	15.6	16.2	15.1	108.8	115.6	105.2
season	14.7	16.4		107.7	104.5
opponent	15.2	14.9		103.4	105.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHX	14.5	17.6	16.1	14.5	15.6
MEM	17.5	15.1	16.6	15.5	16.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Miles Plumlee	61	62	0.22	-0.72	0.94	-0.02	8	-13	21	15.9	15.2	0.62	17.1	14.2	2.90
PJ Tucker	45	46	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	-0.10	3	-8	11	14.3	17.0	-2.65	15.9	16.5	-0.59
Alex Len	10	10	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	0.07	-6	1	-7	15.4	15.7	-0.28	15.4	16.3	-0.88
Leandro Barbosa	41	39	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	0.07	-9	4	-13	16.5	14.9	1.62	16.2	16.1	0.09
Ish Smith	30	28	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	0.06	-9	4	-13	16.9	15.0	1.87	16.5	16.0	0.52
Goran Dragic	63	64	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	-0.39	3	-8	11	15.4	16.3	-0.92	15.9	16.8	-0.94
Gerald Green	48	49	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	-0.45	5	-10	15	14.5	17.0	-2.47	16.3	16.0	0.24
Marcus Morris	46	44	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	-0.26	-8	3	-11	17.0	14.3	2.65	16.5	15.9	0.59
Channing Frye	57	56	-0.51	0.01	-0.52	-0.36	-5	0	-5	14.9	16.9	-2.06	16.1	16.4	-0.33
Markieff Morris	54	52	-0.60	0.10	-0.70	-0.40	-7	2	-9	16.3	14.7	1.55	15.4	17.3	-1.88

Memphis Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Courtney Lee	54	54	0.69	-0.19	0.89	0.34	12	-7	19	15.5	17.1	-1.60	15.8	15.5	0.27
Ed Davis	54	55	0.65	-0.15	0.80	0.30	12	-7	19	16.4	15.8	0.57	16.5	14.3	2.22
James Johnson	54	55	0.63	-0.13	0.77	0.40	8	-3	11	16.0	16.4	-0.44	16.2	14.8	1.35
Mike Conley	74	75	0.34	0.16	0.19	0.37	-1	6	-7	16.0	17.1	-1.15	15.2	17.6	-2.32
Zach Randolph	70	71	0.33	0.17	0.15	0.38	-2	7	-9	16.6	14.7	1.90	15.0	18.0	-3.08
Nick Calathes	16	16	0.16	0.34	-0.19	-0.02	6	-1	7	17.1	16.0	1.15	17.6	15.2	2.32
Jon Leuer	25	24	0.04	0.46	-0.43	-0.11	5	0	5	14.7	16.7	-2.02	17.2	15.1	2.18
Kosta Koufos	26	27	-0.04	0.54	-0.58	0.08	-4	9	-13	17.9	15.5	2.45	15.3	15.8	-0.45
Tayshaun Prince	45	45	-0.14	0.64	-0.77	0.04	-6	11	-17	15.9	16.5	-0.62	14.8	16.4	-1.59
Mike Miller	32	33	-0.16	0.66	-0.83	-0.02	-5	10	-15	16.4	16.1	0.35	14.8	16.2	-1.40

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.5,0.44,0.47,0.43,0.37,0.32,0.35,0.32,0.4,0.4,0.44,0.41,0.45,0.47,0.46,0.44,0.44,0.39,0.34,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.41,0.28,0.33,0.27,0.3,0.29,0.29,0.34,0.34,0.41,0.42,0.5,0.34,0.38,0.29,0.32,0.36,0.46,0.4,0.39,0.55,0.9,0.96,1
Game		Similarity Score
WAS 97, UTA 103	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.48,0.46,0.49,0.47,0.45,0.4,0.43,0.38,0.36,0.37,0.45,0.42,0.43,0.35,0.37,0.39,0.34,0.31,0.33,0.25,0.23,0.33,0.24,0.2,0.25,0.22,0.26,0.26,0.29,0.31,0.41,0.33,0.44,0.46,0.26,0.33,0.34,0.28,0.36,0.47,0.39,0.45,0.54,0.69,0.72,1	92.7%
DEN 81, UTA 85	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.54,0.52,0.46,0.47,0.51,0.45,0.51,0.47,0.42,0.46,0.47,0.42,0.47,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.44,0.51,0.46,0.36,0.39,0.33,0.31,0.34,0.33,0.36,0.36,0.38,0.41,0.31,0.44,0.37,0.4,0.42,0.43,0.43,0.48,0.32,0.41,0.53,0.61,0.55,0.63,0.9,0.95,1	91.7%
CLE 98, UTA 99	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.45,0.46,0.42,0.41,0.43,0.41,0.43,0.34,0.29,0.3,0.36,0.4,0.34,0.3,0.33,0.3,0.34,0.39,0.44,0.39,0.27,0.3,0.34,0.34,0.31,0.27,0.36,0.32,0.29,0.24,0.37,0.4,0.32,0.34,0.3,0.3,0.33,0.42,0.53,0.47,0.53,0.55,0.72,0.97,0.92,1	91.7%