NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Cleveland Cavaliers	98		Excitement	8.2 [239]		MVP	Mehmet Okur (UTA): +43.2%
Utah Jazz	99		Comeback	3.6 [519]		LVP	LeBron James (CLE): -13.2%

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Larry Hughes	0.42	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.3,0.3,0.41,0.48,0.42,0.42,0.42	0.22	0.21	0.01	19	69%	0.45	1	-0.03	10	100%	0.12
Daniel Gibson	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.00	0.00	1	150%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Donyell Marshall	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	-0.00	-0.02	7	56%	0.04	1	-0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Scot Pollard	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Anderson Varejao	0.01	0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01	-0.03	0.02	-0.02	10	41%	0.02	1	-0.01	2	50%	-0.02
David Wesley	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sasha Pavlovic	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.02	-0.10	0.07	-0.01	3	50%	0.11	5	-0.13	2	50%	-0.01
Drew Gooden	-0.04	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.01,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.00	-0.04	-0.00	11	58%	0.05	3	-0.09	4	75%	0.00
Eric Snow	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.09	-0.02	-0.00	3	0%	-0.06	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
LeBron James	-0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.12,-0.15,-0.13,-0.13	-0.03	-0.09	0.02	25	39%	-0.13	0	0.00	9	56%	-0.04

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Mehmet Okur	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.1,0.1,0.24,0.31,0.43,0.43,0.43	0.43	0.16	0.28	0.01	13	76%	0.47	1	-0.03	3	100%	0.05
Deron Williams	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.11,0.16,0.21,0.27,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.3	0.30	0.14	0.15	-0.02	23	61%	0.37	2	-0.07	8	50%	-0.07
Andrei Kirilenko	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.06	0.06	0.00	6	83%	0.14	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Matt Harpring	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.01	-0.00	10	45%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jarron Collins	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	4	42%	-0.00	0	0.00	4	75%	0.00
Rafael Araujo	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.01	0.00	1	100%	0.02	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Gordan Giricek	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.03	-0.01	8	44%	-0.02	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Paul Millsap	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.11	-0.11	-0.08	-0.02	-0.00	7	39%	0.02	3	-0.12	4	25%	-0.05
Derek Fisher	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.10	-0.03	-0.01	7	19%	-0.08	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.0	2.8	28.2	14.7	27.5	1.8	33.7	132.6
league avg	28.7	2.4	29.9	15.9	26.5	2.4	34.0	141.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

UTA +54.0%

CLE -13.8%

UTA +8.2%

CLE -3.4%

UTA +5.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CLE	UTA	NBA	CLE	UTA	NBA
this game	16.1	18.0	15.4	115.3	117.9	104.5
season	16.0	15.9		103.2	107.4
opponent	15.0	15.6		104.9	99.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CLE	16.3	14.4	16.6	17.2	16.1
UTA	18.9	18.3	18.5	16.3	18.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Donyell Marshall	25	27	0.35	-0.85	1.21	0.09	9	-10	19	16.9	15.8	1.10	17.0	18.5	-1.46
Daniel Gibson	20	20	0.18	-0.68	0.85	-0.09	9	-10	19	16.2	16.1	0.12	19.2	17.6	1.59
Scot Pollard	12	13	0.04	-0.54	0.59	0.04	0	-1	1	16.7	16.0	0.75	17.5	18.1	-0.62
LeBron James	74	73	-0.12	-0.38	0.27	-0.41	10	-11	21	16.4	14.3	2.11	18.2	16.8	1.35
David Wesley	12	11	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	-0.12	0	-1	1	14.7	16.3	-1.58	17.6	18.0	-0.40
Sasha Pavlovic	32	32	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	-0.28	3	-4	7	15.5	16.5	-1.02	16.6	18.9	-2.30
Anderson Varejao	68	66	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	-0.54	3	-4	7	16.1	16.2	-0.16	17.7	19.2	-1.57
Eric Snow	49	48	-0.51	0.01	-0.51	-0.01	-17	16	-33	16.7	15.2	1.48	17.7	18.3	-0.60
Larry Hughes	68	68	-0.74	0.24	-0.99	-0.51	-8	7	-15	15.9	17.1	-1.19	18.4	16.4	1.92
Drew Gooden	65	62	-0.94	0.44	-1.39	-0.53	-14	13	-27	15.7	17.3	-1.63	18.9	15.5	3.43

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Gordan Giricek	48	48	0.64	-0.14	0.78	0.49	5	-4	9	17.6	18.5	-0.90	17.2	14.7	2.48
Deron Williams	76	77	0.63	-0.13	0.76	0.42	7	-6	13	18.0	18.2	-0.29	16.0	17.4	-1.40
Andrei Kirilenko	45	47	0.56	-0.06	0.62	0.62	-2	3	-5	18.5	17.4	1.03	16.8	15.3	1.52
Paul Millsap	50	53	0.51	-0.01	0.51	0.48	1	0	1	17.7	18.5	-0.81	16.3	15.8	0.52
Mehmet Okur	64	65	0.47	0.03	0.44	0.56	-3	4	-7	18.1	17.7	0.38	16.0	16.6	-0.65
Matt Harpring	44	43	0.03	0.47	-0.43	-0.17	7	-6	13	17.1	19.0	-1.88	15.6	16.6	-1.06
Jarron Collins	30	30	-0.03	0.53	-0.55	0.03	-2	3	-5	19.9	16.9	3.03	15.2	16.6	-1.40
Rafael Araujo	19	17	-0.05	0.55	-0.59	-0.11	2	-1	3	16.4	18.4	-2.03	17.1	15.9	1.26
Derek Fisher	44	45	-0.27	0.77	-1.04	0.03	-10	11	-21	18.5	17.5	0.98	15.2	17.1	-1.97

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.45,0.46,0.42,0.41,0.43,0.41,0.43,0.34,0.29,0.3,0.36,0.4,0.34,0.3,0.33,0.3,0.34,0.39,0.44,0.39,0.27,0.3,0.34,0.34,0.31,0.27,0.36,0.32,0.29,0.24,0.37,0.4,0.32,0.34,0.3,0.3,0.33,0.42,0.53,0.47,0.53,0.55,0.72,0.97,0.92,1
Game		Similarity Score
GSW 78, MIN 89	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.42,0.39,0.41,0.38,0.41,0.43,0.39,0.39,0.37,0.32,0.35,0.32,0.29,0.27,0.31,0.31,0.32,0.31,0.29,0.39,0.39,0.41,0.42,0.34,0.33,0.36,0.3,0.42,0.32,0.32,0.31,0.37,0.37,0.28,0.34,0.26,0.25,0.2,0.27,0.41,0.53,0.73,0.69,0.88,0.98,1,1	92.9%
VAN 93, BOS 97	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.43,0.43,0.41,0.42,0.41,0.39,0.35,0.33,0.29,0.29,0.23,0.26,0.28,0.25,0.27,0.37,0.35,0.3,0.31,0.31,0.33,0.3,0.27,0.31,0.26,0.39,0.48,0.45,0.26,0.35,0.31,0.41,0.37,0.32,0.34,0.34,0.52,0.38,0.37,0.41,0.54,0.6,0.55,0.78,0.9,0.98,1	92.7%
CLE 74, PHX 78	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.5,0.42,0.43,0.41,0.37,0.33,0.29,0.27,0.34,0.34,0.38,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.39,0.44,0.39,0.36,0.36,0.3,0.42,0.42,0.4,0.39,0.36,0.42,0.43,0.38,0.28,0.21,0.22,0.27,0.22,0.3,0.43,0.43,0.47,0.47,0.6,0.61,0.45,0.72,0.91,0.99,1	92.5%