NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Cleveland Cavaliers	74		Excitement	8.4 [188]		MVP	Shawn Marion (PHX): +7.4%
Phoenix Suns	78		Comeback	4.6 [537]		LVP	Darius Miles (CLE): -48.6%

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
DeSagana Diop	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Carlos Boozer	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bimbo Coles	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	3	56%	0.01	1	-0.03	3	100%	0.04
Michael Stewart	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.01	0	0%	0.00	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Milt Palacio	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.08	-0.01	-0.03	2	0%	-0.04	1	-0.02	2	0%	-0.03
Jumaine Jones	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.04	-0.04	0.00	8	37%	-0.04	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Tyrone Hill	-0.17	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.14,-0.14,-0.18,-0.17	-0.04	-0.12	0.01	10	59%	-0.01	4	-0.17	2	50%	-0.04
Ricky Davis	-0.19	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,0.01,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.18,-0.18,-0.19	-0.10	-0.11	-0.02	14	51%	-0.02	4	-0.17	13	85%	0.02
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	-0.34	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.14,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27,-0.33,-0.33,-0.33,-0.34	-0.22	-0.13	-0.01	22	33%	-0.28	3	-0.06	8	62%	-0.03
Darius Miles	-0.49	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.11,-0.13,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.27,-0.32,-0.32,-0.41,-0.41,-0.41,-0.49	-0.20	-0.29	0.00	18	33%	-0.18	6	-0.30	0	0%	0.00

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Shawn Marion	0,0,0,0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.01,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.03	0.05	0.00	16	58%	0.20	2	-0.12	4	100%	0.02
Bo Outlaw	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.00	0.05	0.00	3	67%	0.08	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Jake Tsakalidis	0,0,0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.04	-0.02	0.01	10	43%	-0.06	1	-0.01	3	67%	-0.01
Scott Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.04,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08	-0.08	-0.08	-0.02	-0.01	6	43%	0.01	3	-0.10	2	100%	0.02
Tom Gugliotta	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.05	-0.04	0.00	7	43%	-0.03	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Anfernee Hardaway	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.16	-0.13	-0.03	-0.01	6	21%	-0.06	3	-0.10	2	50%	-0.01
Joe Johnson	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.18	-0.15	-0.04	-0.01	10	14%	-0.16	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Amar'e Stoudemire	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.13,-0.11,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.19,-0.19	-0.19	-0.10	-0.09	0.00	15	30%	-0.19	0	0.00	3	67%	0.01
Stephon Marbury	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.11,-0.14,-0.08,-0.08,-0.13,-0.2,-0.31,-0.36,-0.36,-0.36,-0.41	-0.41	-0.18	-0.24	-0.00	17	37%	-0.27	4	-0.14	7	71%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.8	2.7	27.1	14.7	26.1	2.6	41.5	142.5
league avg	46.1	2.3	28.0	14.7	24.5	2.3	29.9	149.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHX +5.0%

PHX +2.1%

PHX +16.3%

PHX +32.2%

CLE -5.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CLE	PHX	NBA	CLE	PHX	NBA
this game	14.4	14.7	15.5	74.7	78.8	101.6
season	15.1	15.0		94.6	101.1
opponent	15.9	14.9		100.1	104.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CLE	14.2	14.0	16.0	13.3	14.4
PHX	16.5	14.2	14.6	13.8	14.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Carlos Boozer	1	0	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	0.02	-2	-2	0	8.0	14.4	-6.42	0.0	14.7	-14.74
DeSagana Diop	9	9	-0.08	-0.42	0.35	0.07	-5	1	-6	13.7	14.4	-0.76	15.4	14.7	0.78
Milt Palacio	32	32	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	0.03	-4	0	-4	13.0	15.0	-1.95	15.5	14.4	1.08
Jumaine Jones	48	49	-0.11	-0.39	0.27	0.09	-7	3	-10	13.1	15.5	-2.38	14.9	14.5	0.40
Michael Stewart	10	9	-0.16	-0.34	0.17	0.01	-6	2	-8	13.8	14.4	-0.62	12.7	14.9	-2.28
Darius Miles	87	88	-0.27	-0.23	-0.05	-0.39	4	-8	12	14.6	12.9	1.64	14.5	17.0	-2.55
Bimbo Coles	58	58	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.42	3	-7	10	15.8	12.3	3.52	14.9	14.5	0.43
Tyrone Hill	73	73	-0.40	-0.10	-0.31	-0.40	0	-4	4	14.5	13.8	0.74	14.7	14.8	-0.04
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	84	84	-0.45	-0.05	-0.39	-0.53	3	-7	10	14.6	13.1	1.52	14.8	14.3	0.55
Ricky Davis	93	93	-0.56	0.06	-0.62	-0.38	-6	2	-8	14.2	17.0	-2.82	14.6	16.8	-2.23

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Bo Outlaw	47	47	0.82	-0.32	1.14	0.41	14	-10	24	14.9	14.6	0.30	14.4	14.3	0.06
Scott Williams	32	33	0.73	-0.23	0.96	0.41	11	-7	18	13.6	15.3	-1.69	13.1	15.0	-1.85
Amar'e Stoudemire	61	61	0.58	-0.08	0.65	0.37	7	-3	10	14.9	14.5	0.43	13.5	15.7	-2.25
Stephon Marbury	93	93	0.49	0.01	0.48	0.37	4	0	4	14.6	16.3	-1.70	14.1	18.5	-4.41
Shawn Marion	92	92	0.30	0.20	0.10	0.36	-2	6	-8	14.6	16.4	-1.82	14.4	14.0	0.38
Anfernee Hardaway	40	38	0.02	0.48	-0.46	-0.04	2	2	0	15.8	14.0	1.82	13.4	15.0	-1.60
Joe Johnson	46	47	-0.06	0.56	-0.63	-0.03	-1	5	-6	14.8	14.7	0.04	16.2	12.7	3.54
Tom Gugliotta	36	36	-0.07	0.57	-0.65	0.01	-3	7	-10	14.2	15.0	-0.77	16.1	13.4	2.72
Jake Tsakalidis	48	48	-0.30	0.80	-1.10	0.05	-12	16	-28	15.0	14.5	0.55	14.4	14.3	0.08

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.5,0.42,0.43,0.41,0.37,0.33,0.29,0.27,0.34,0.34,0.38,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.39,0.44,0.39,0.36,0.36,0.3,0.42,0.42,0.4,0.39,0.36,0.42,0.43,0.38,0.28,0.21,0.22,0.27,0.22,0.3,0.43,0.43,0.47,0.47,0.6,0.61,0.45,0.72,0.91,0.99,1
Game		Similarity Score
CLE 98, UTA 99	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.45,0.46,0.42,0.41,0.43,0.41,0.43,0.34,0.29,0.3,0.36,0.4,0.34,0.3,0.33,0.3,0.34,0.39,0.44,0.39,0.27,0.3,0.34,0.34,0.31,0.27,0.36,0.32,0.29,0.24,0.37,0.4,0.32,0.34,0.3,0.3,0.33,0.42,0.53,0.47,0.53,0.55,0.72,0.97,0.92,1	92.5%
UTA 107, SAC 117	0.5,0.49,0.55,0.54,0.5,0.52,0.44,0.38,0.36,0.43,0.39,0.42,0.38,0.34,0.32,0.36,0.38,0.38,0.4,0.39,0.36,0.41,0.44,0.42,0.33,0.46,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.39,0.39,0.32,0.29,0.34,0.37,0.4,0.29,0.38,0.3,0.38,0.52,0.53,0.59,0.47,0.53,0.61,0.78,0.85,0.96,1	92.4%
MEM 78, ORL 81	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.47,0.43,0.43,0.41,0.33,0.38,0.4,0.37,0.4,0.42,0.4,0.42,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.45,0.4,0.34,0.42,0.45,0.42,0.38,0.25,0.24,0.23,0.21,0.19,0.3,0.33,0.38,0.53,0.59,0.71,0.73,0.71,0.84,0.91,0.95,1	92.2%