NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Utah Jazz	107		Excitement	8.3 [184]		MVP	John Salmons (SAC): +46.1%
Sacramento Kings	117		Comeback	3.1 [270]		LVP	Matt Harpring (UTA): -8.5%

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ronnie Brewer	0.16	0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.16,0.16	0.12	0.05	0.02	9	78%	0.18	1	-0.02	5	80%	0.01
Carlos Boozer	0.07	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.07,-0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.06	0.02	0.01	14	61%	0.23	3	-0.16	3	100%	0.03
Gordan Giricek	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.01	-0.00	2	100%	0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jason Hart	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Deron Williams	0.02	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.07,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.07,-0.09,-0.05,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.05,0.06,0.19,0.19,0.11,0.03,0.02	0.05	0.00	0.04	22	59%	0.16	4	-0.14	7	100%	0.06
Andrei Kirilenko	0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.03	0.05	-0.00	6	50%	0.05	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Paul Millsap	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.05	0.03	-0.00	5	42%	0.05	2	-0.07	2	50%	-0.01
Mehmet Okur	-0.03	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.08,0.04,-0.03,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	-0.00	-0.01	21	39%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Jarron Collins	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.05	-0.02	-0.00	2	17%	-0.03	1	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Matt Harpring	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.08	-0.02	-0.01	7	33%	-0.05	2	-0.04	1	100%	0.00

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
John Salmons	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.15,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.4,0.4,0.46,0.46,0.46,0.46,0.46	0.46	0.18	0.28	-0.00	9	72%	0.46	0	0.00	11	82%	0.07
Metta World Peace	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.16,-0.1,-0.03,0.06,0.15,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.02	0.13	0.02	17	55%	0.29	4	-0.16	8	75%	-0.07
Kevin Martin	0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.11	0.01	0.01	14	61%	0.14	1	-0.03	13	69%	-0.03
Francisco Garcia	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.08,0.09	0.09	0.05	0.07	0.03	6	83%	0.13	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Mikki Moore	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.01	0.04	-0.01	8	55%	0.10	1	-0.03	4	75%	0.01
Quincy Douby	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.04	0.03	0.02	0	100%	0.05	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
Kenny Thomas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Spencer Hawes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.05	-0.02	-0.01	3	0%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brad Miller	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	0.00	-0.04	0.03	9	57%	-0.00	2	-0.06	5	80%	-0.00
Beno Udrih	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.18,-0.18,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.08	-0.08	-0.03	-0.03	0.02	10	45%	0.02	2	-0.10	2	50%	-0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.1	2.4	32.2	15.4	25.7	1.0	42.3	143.1
league avg	27.9	2.4	30.0	16.2	26.6	2.4	33.3	140.1

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAC +30.7%

SAC +18.7%

UTA -5.3%

SAC +6.6%

UTA -0.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	UTA	SAC	NBA	UTA	SAC	NBA
this game	15.3	14.0	15.4	109.2	119.4	105.7
season	15.5	14.9		111.2	105.6
opponent	15.0	15.0		108.0	105.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
UTA	14.2	16.6	15.6	15.1	15.3
SAC	14.6	14.7	12.7	14.3	14.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jarron Collins	18	19	0.02	-0.52	0.53	0.04	-1	-9	8	16.4	15.1	1.34	12.4	14.4	-2.01
Jason Hart	10	12	0.00	-0.50	0.51	0.03	-1	-9	8	15.8	15.3	0.50	11.5	14.4	-2.90
Gordan Giricek	13	14	-0.05	-0.45	0.39	0.09	-5	-5	0	16.8	15.1	1.64	16.4	13.6	2.79
Carlos Boozer	71	70	-0.14	-0.36	0.23	-0.28	5	-15	20	13.8	19.5	-5.71	14.3	13.3	1.01
Ronnie Brewer	77	76	-0.19	-0.31	0.13	-0.16	-1	-9	8	14.7	17.8	-3.13	13.6	15.7	-2.12
Paul Millsap	30	31	-0.37	-0.13	-0.23	0.01	-13	3	-16	19.1	13.7	5.36	13.7	14.2	-0.53
Matt Harpring	35	35	-0.37	-0.13	-0.25	-0.11	-9	-1	-8	17.0	14.4	2.53	12.7	14.8	-2.06
Andrei Kirilenko	71	71	-0.39	-0.11	-0.27	-0.18	-7	-3	-4	15.0	16.2	-1.21	14.7	12.2	2.51
Deron Williams	84	82	-0.48	-0.02	-0.47	-0.22	-9	-1	-8	15.1	16.6	-1.51	14.4	12.4	1.99
Mehmet Okur	81	80	-0.53	0.03	-0.57	-0.27	-9	-1	-8	15.3	15.7	-0.43	14.4	12.6	1.75

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Francisco Garcia	38	36	0.79	-0.29	1.08	0.20	20	-10	30	13.2	14.6	-1.36	16.4	14.7	1.73
John Salmons	54	54	0.60	-0.10	0.70	0.25	12	-2	14	14.0	14.1	-0.05	15.9	14.6	1.29
Metta World Peace	90	91	0.57	-0.07	0.64	0.30	9	1	8	14.5	9.1	5.35	15.6	12.4	3.14
Quincy Douby	17	16	0.32	0.18	0.14	-0.00	11	-1	12	13.8	14.1	-0.33	17.8	14.9	2.95
Brad Miller	79	80	0.23	0.27	-0.03	0.03	7	3	4	14.3	12.8	1.55	14.6	18.6	-3.93
Beno Udrih	68	70	0.18	0.32	-0.14	0.09	3	7	-4	14.5	13.0	1.50	14.5	17.4	-2.91
Mikki Moore	59	58	0.10	0.40	-0.30	0.16	-2	12	-14	14.0	14.1	-0.06	15.0	15.8	-0.81
Kenny Thomas	7	8	-0.02	0.52	-0.54	-0.05	1	9	-8	12.1	14.2	-2.04	17.7	15.1	2.62
Spencer Hawes	13	12	-0.08	0.58	-0.66	0.01	-3	13	-16	12.8	14.2	-1.47	17.7	15.0	2.74
Kevin Martin	65	65	-0.20	0.70	-0.90	0.04	-8	18	-26	13.6	14.8	-1.17	14.7	16.7	-1.99

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.55,0.54,0.5,0.52,0.44,0.38,0.36,0.43,0.39,0.42,0.38,0.34,0.32,0.36,0.38,0.38,0.4,0.39,0.36,0.41,0.44,0.42,0.33,0.46,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.39,0.39,0.32,0.29,0.34,0.37,0.4,0.29,0.38,0.3,0.38,0.52,0.53,0.59,0.47,0.53,0.61,0.78,0.85,0.96,1
Game		Similarity Score
WAS 86, SAC 98	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.46,0.38,0.37,0.37,0.37,0.45,0.42,0.36,0.32,0.34,0.34,0.42,0.44,0.44,0.47,0.45,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.52,0.51,0.48,0.36,0.23,0.28,0.24,0.27,0.3,0.36,0.38,0.34,0.38,0.57,0.47,0.57,0.53,0.77,0.69,0.9,0.94,1,1	92.7%
NJN 94, PHI 102	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.45,0.47,0.41,0.37,0.32,0.34,0.34,0.3,0.36,0.42,0.43,0.36,0.4,0.42,0.4,0.44,0.42,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.33,0.41,0.42,0.4,0.4,0.42,0.45,0.48,0.52,0.35,0.41,0.27,0.37,0.25,0.34,0.3,0.3,0.47,0.63,0.53,0.54,0.67,0.74,0.79,0.84,0.98,1	92.6%
CLE 74, PHX 78	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.5,0.42,0.43,0.41,0.37,0.33,0.29,0.27,0.34,0.34,0.38,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.39,0.44,0.39,0.36,0.36,0.3,0.42,0.42,0.4,0.39,0.36,0.42,0.43,0.38,0.28,0.21,0.22,0.27,0.22,0.3,0.43,0.43,0.47,0.47,0.6,0.61,0.45,0.72,0.91,0.99,1	92.4%