NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Washington Wizards	86		Excitement	8.3 [208]		MVP	Tyrone Corbin (SAC): +14.1%
Sacramento Kings	98		Comeback	3.7 [599]		LVP	Juwan Howard (WAS): -32.9%

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Richard Hamilton	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.01	0.00	2	100%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Don Reid	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	-0.00	2	83%	0.03	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Aaron Williams	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	-0.00	5	45%	-0.01	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Chris Whitney	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	10	55%	0.09	2	-0.10	2	100%	0.01
Rod Strickland	-0.01	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.01	4	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jahidi White	-0.13	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.08	-0.05	0.00	8	37%	-0.05	3	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Mitch Richmond	-0.14	0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14	-0.05	-0.13	-0.04	29	43%	-0.10	1	-0.04	3	67%	-0.02
Gerard King	-0.14	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.11	-0.04	-0.01	6	21%	-0.09	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01
Tracy Murray	-0.24	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.19,-0.19,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24	-0.18	-0.10	-0.04	10	0%	-0.24	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Juwan Howard	-0.33	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.23,-0.3,-0.24,-0.33,-0.33,-0.33,-0.33	-0.16	-0.22	-0.04	23	43%	-0.06	6	-0.27	3	33%	-0.05

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tyrone Corbin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.05	0.09	-0.00	2	117%	0.16	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Peja Stojakovic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	-0.00	-0.00	10	55%	0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jason Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.00	8	61%	0.06	3	-0.08	2	100%	0.01
Nick Anderson	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	7	31%	-0.06	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Lawrence Funderburke	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	4	25%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tony Delk	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.00	-0.05	0.02	9	60%	0.02	2	-0.08	2	0%	-0.07
Scot Pollard	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.06	-0.02	0.00	0	0%	0.00	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Vlade Divac	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.1,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.13,-0.13,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.11	-0.02	-0.00	13	55%	-0.01	4	-0.12	18	78%	0.02
Chris Webber	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.05,-0.13,-0.17,-0.17,-0.14,-0.08,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.06	-0.06	0.01	21	46%	-0.07	2	-0.06	6	100%	0.06
Corliss Williamson	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.06,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.07	-0.06	0.02	5	40%	-0.06	3	-0.09	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.0	1.8	26.1	15.8	25.8	1.8	35.4	128.6
league avg	26.0	2.2	28.8	16.5	26.3	2.2	33.7	137.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAC +33.5%

SAC +18.9%

SAC +4.9%

WAS -3.9%

WAS -3.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	WAS	SAC	NBA	WAS	SAC	NBA
this game	15.2	13.6	15.2	86.0	98.0	101.7
season	15.5	13.8		101.1	102.9
opponent	14.7	14.8		100.7	104.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
WAS	13.4	14.1	15.1	19.2	15.2
SAC	13.7	12.6	13.1	15.1	13.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jahidi White	45	46	0.21	-0.71	0.92	-0.05	9	-21	30	14.8	15.7	-0.90	13.4	13.7	-0.29
Rod Strickland	28	27	-0.01	-0.49	0.49	-0.01	0	-12	12	13.5	15.9	-2.43	12.9	13.8	-0.85
Aaron Williams	12	12	-0.07	-0.43	0.37	0.05	-4	-8	4	14.7	15.3	-0.66	12.9	13.6	-0.72
Mitch Richmond	84	83	-0.18	-0.32	0.15	-0.12	-2	-10	8	15.2	15.5	-0.30	13.3	14.9	-1.61
Gerard King	72	71	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	-0.18	0	-12	12	15.5	14.6	0.84	13.4	13.8	-0.39
Don Reid	35	35	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	-0.01	-6	-6	0	13.9	16.0	-2.05	13.8	13.4	0.43
Richard Hamilton	16	17	-0.32	-0.18	-0.15	-0.03	-10	-2	-8	15.5	15.2	0.30	14.9	13.3	1.61
Juwan Howard	88	88	-0.43	-0.07	-0.37	-0.20	-8	-4	-4	15.3	14.7	0.66	13.6	12.9	0.72
Chris Whitney	72	73	-0.49	-0.01	-0.49	-0.14	-12	0	-12	15.9	13.5	2.43	13.8	12.9	0.85
Tracy Murray	48	48	-0.84	0.34	-1.18	-0.05	-27	15	-42	16.3	14.2	2.08	13.7	13.4	0.22

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tony Delk	40	41	0.86	-0.36	1.23	0.07	27	-15	42	14.1	13.2	0.87	16.7	14.2	2.51
Tyrone Corbin	40	41	0.86	-0.36	1.23	0.07	27	-15	42	14.1	13.2	0.87	16.7	14.2	2.51
Peja Stojakovic	50	50	0.54	-0.04	0.58	-0.02	19	-7	26	13.3	13.8	-0.50	16.0	14.5	1.42
Vlade Divac	70	71	0.31	0.19	0.11	0.19	4	8	-4	13.6	13.3	0.31	15.7	14.1	1.57
Chris Webber	76	74	0.27	0.23	0.04	0.21	2	10	-8	14.2	11.5	2.64	15.6	14.2	1.48
Scot Pollard	31	32	0.23	0.27	-0.04	-0.04	9	3	6	12.4	14.1	-1.73	14.0	15.8	-1.84
Lawrence Funderburke	20	21	0.19	0.31	-0.12	-0.01	7	5	2	12.3	13.9	-1.56	14.5	15.5	-0.98
Nick Anderson	68	67	0.04	0.46	-0.41	0.10	-2	14	-16	13.2	14.2	-1.03	14.7	16.4	-1.71
Jason Williams	60	59	-0.36	0.86	-1.23	0.08	-15	27	-42	13.2	14.1	-0.87	14.2	16.7	-2.51
Corliss Williamson	45	44	-0.44	0.94	-1.39	0.08	-18	30	-48	14.0	13.2	0.86	13.8	16.4	-2.56

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.46,0.38,0.37,0.37,0.37,0.45,0.42,0.36,0.32,0.34,0.34,0.42,0.44,0.44,0.47,0.45,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.52,0.51,0.48,0.36,0.23,0.28,0.24,0.27,0.3,0.36,0.38,0.34,0.38,0.57,0.47,0.57,0.53,0.77,0.69,0.9,0.94,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
IND 76, NYK 83	0.5,0.51,0.5,0.49,0.46,0.41,0.36,0.35,0.3,0.31,0.32,0.31,0.3,0.28,0.28,0.36,0.45,0.4,0.46,0.48,0.54,0.56,0.61,0.67,0.64,0.63,0.55,0.46,0.42,0.42,0.36,0.29,0.22,0.25,0.27,0.33,0.36,0.34,0.43,0.38,0.42,0.42,0.53,0.53,0.83,0.89,0.98,0.98,1,1	93.2%
UTA 107, SAC 117	0.5,0.49,0.55,0.54,0.5,0.52,0.44,0.38,0.36,0.43,0.39,0.42,0.38,0.34,0.32,0.36,0.38,0.38,0.4,0.39,0.36,0.41,0.44,0.42,0.33,0.46,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.39,0.39,0.32,0.29,0.34,0.37,0.4,0.29,0.38,0.3,0.38,0.52,0.53,0.59,0.47,0.53,0.61,0.78,0.85,0.96,1	92.7%
GSW 101, MEM 106	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.42,0.4,0.47,0.44,0.47,0.39,0.39,0.38,0.38,0.36,0.43,0.4,0.44,0.38,0.44,0.46,0.53,0.53,0.52,0.46,0.49,0.56,0.63,0.62,0.66,0.52,0.55,0.45,0.44,0.38,0.35,0.34,0.26,0.25,0.3,0.43,0.48,0.53,0.37,0.42,0.53,0.78,0.81,0.93,1,0.91,1	92.3%