NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Golden State Warriors	101		Excitement	7.5 [306]		MVP	Lorenzen Wright (MEM): +8.9%
Memphis Grizzlies	106		Comeback	5.4 [379]		LVP	Erick Dampier (GSW): -12.9%

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Calbert Cheaney	0.09	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.02	0.03	8	76%	0.09	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Brian Cardinal	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.1,0.16,0.16,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.03	-0.02	-0.03	9	64%	0.11	1	-0.07	4	100%	0.03
Avery Johnson	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.00	0.02	-0.00	5	67%	0.06	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Mickael Pietrus	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Adonal Foyle	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jason Richardson	-0.04	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.04	-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	15	47%	-0.04	0	0.00	10	70%	0.01
Speedy Claxton	-0.08	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.08	-0.05	-0.02	0.01	12	39%	-0.08	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.03
Nick Van Exel	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.07	-0.02	0.00	4	33%	-0.07	1	-0.02	4	50%	-0.02
Clifford Robinson	-0.09	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.13,-0.14,-0.08,-0.09	-0.04	-0.06	-0.00	16	47%	-0.05	2	-0.04	4	75%	0.00
Erick Dampier	-0.13	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.07	-0.06	-0.00	12	50%	-0.02	3	-0.11	6	50%	-0.05

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Lorenzen Wright	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.2,0.2,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.09	0.01	0.01	13	64%	0.09	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Pau Gasol	0,0,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.09,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.05	0.05	-0.04	0.07	-0.02	13	58%	0.13	4	-0.08	5	80%	0.01
Earl Watson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.05,0.1,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.02	0.00	-0.03	7	69%	0.17	2	-0.12	2	100%	0.02
Jason Williams	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.05	0.00	0.01	6	83%	0.08	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Jake Tsakalidis	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
James Posey	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	0.00	4	64%	0.03	1	-0.05	3	100%	0.02
Shane Battier	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	0.00	9	57%	0.00	1	-0.03	5	80%	-0.00
Stromile Swift	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	0.00	6	56%	0.01	2	-0.07	4	75%	0.00
Bonzi Wells	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06	-0.06	-0.04	-0.01	0.01	8	45%	-0.03	1	-0.04	4	75%	-0.02
Bo Outlaw	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.04	-0.05	-0.00	3	37%	-0.04	1	-0.04	2	50%	-0.02
Mike Miller	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.06	-0.05	0.00	10	40%	-0.04	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.2	2.5	28.7	15.7	29.0	1.8	38.1	141.9
league avg	47.8	2.4	27.9	14.3	24.8	2.1	29.8	150.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MEM +33.4%

MEM +10.8%

MEM +32.9%

GSW -28.0%

MEM +0.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	GSW	MEM	NBA	GSW	MEM	NBA
this game	15.3	15.5	15.7	107.4	114.0	100.5
season	16.1	15.3		100.8	102.3
opponent	15.7	15.3		100.5	101.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
GSW	15.5	17.6	12.7	15.6	15.3
MEM	18.0	15.1	15.0	14.4	15.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Calbert Cheaney	68	69	0.13	-0.63	0.76	-0.40	18	-23	41	14.6	16.9	-2.24	16.0	14.1	1.96
Avery Johnson	24	23	0.12	-0.62	0.73	0.06	2	-7	9	14.1	15.7	-1.53	16.7	15.2	1.48
Clifford Robinson	65	65	0.00	-0.50	0.51	-0.41	14	-19	33	15.1	15.6	-0.41	16.4	13.5	2.86
Erick Dampier	75	75	-0.01	-0.49	0.47	-0.28	9	-14	23	14.6	18.0	-3.43	16.6	11.2	5.35
Adonal Foyle	5	4	-0.13	-0.37	0.23	0.07	-7	2	-9	21.8	14.9	6.90	11.7	15.7	-3.96
Nick Van Exel	28	28	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	0.03	-13	8	-21	17.2	14.5	2.72	13.4	16.5	-3.12
Mickael Pietrus	8	7	-0.35	-0.15	-0.21	0.03	-13	8	-21	14.9	15.3	-0.43	12.4	15.8	-3.36
Jason Richardson	81	80	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	-0.37	-4	-1	-3	15.1	16.4	-1.30	15.6	14.8	0.80
Speedy Claxton	71	70	-0.63	0.13	-0.76	-0.43	-7	2	-9	15.6	14.2	1.39	15.2	16.7	-1.48
Brian Cardinal	45	44	-0.78	0.28	-1.06	-0.08	-24	19	-43	16.1	14.5	1.58	13.7	17.2	-3.44

Memphis Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Earl Watson	44	44	0.85	-0.35	1.20	0.35	17	-12	29	15.0	16.0	-1.06	15.5	15.0	0.53
Bo Outlaw	35	37	0.64	-0.14	0.77	0.14	17	-12	29	14.3	16.3	-2.01	16.3	14.6	1.66
Bonzi Wells	55	56	0.62	-0.12	0.74	0.32	10	-5	15	16.0	14.9	1.04	15.6	14.8	0.80
Shane Battier	56	55	0.42	0.08	0.34	0.33	3	2	1	16.2	14.5	1.70	14.3	16.6	-2.22
Pau Gasol	60	60	0.36	0.14	0.23	0.36	0	5	-5	15.5	15.6	-0.11	15.8	14.3	1.48
Lorenzen Wright	57	56	0.13	0.37	-0.25	0.30	-6	11	-17	16.6	13.9	2.69	14.6	16.2	-1.59
James Posey	39	40	0.11	0.39	-0.29	0.02	3	2	1	13.8	16.8	-3.00	16.2	14.5	1.71
Jake Tsakalidis	3	4	0.03	0.47	-0.44	-0.03	2	3	-1	20.0	15.4	4.61	15.2	15.3	-0.02
Mike Miller	38	38	-0.12	0.62	-0.74	0.03	-5	10	-15	14.9	16.0	-1.04	14.8	15.6	-0.80
Stromile Swift	29	30	-0.18	0.68	-0.86	-0.06	-4	9	-13	15.7	15.5	0.17	14.5	15.6	-1.08
Jason Williams	49	50	-0.35	0.85	-1.20	-0.00	-12	17	-29	16.0	15.0	1.06	15.0	15.5	-0.53

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.46,0.42,0.4,0.47,0.44,0.47,0.39,0.39,0.38,0.38,0.36,0.43,0.4,0.44,0.38,0.44,0.46,0.53,0.53,0.52,0.46,0.49,0.56,0.63,0.62,0.66,0.52,0.55,0.45,0.44,0.38,0.35,0.34,0.26,0.25,0.3,0.43,0.48,0.53,0.37,0.42,0.53,0.78,0.81,0.93,1,0.91,1
Game		Similarity Score
ORL 82, ATL 83	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.41,0.35,0.37,0.35,0.36,0.29,0.32,0.32,0.36,0.35,0.42,0.46,0.46,0.48,0.46,0.49,0.48,0.56,0.5,0.49,0.45,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.45,0.32,0.31,0.37,0.26,0.25,0.38,0.48,0.52,0.48,0.47,0.41,0.65,0.73,0.68,0.85,0.91,0.73,1	92.8%
WAS 86, SAC 98	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.46,0.38,0.37,0.37,0.37,0.45,0.42,0.36,0.32,0.34,0.34,0.42,0.44,0.44,0.47,0.45,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.52,0.51,0.48,0.36,0.23,0.28,0.24,0.27,0.3,0.36,0.38,0.34,0.38,0.57,0.47,0.57,0.53,0.77,0.69,0.9,0.94,1,1	92.3%
SEA 90, MIN 98	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.46,0.46,0.49,0.45,0.4,0.34,0.35,0.37,0.32,0.34,0.4,0.38,0.4,0.36,0.4,0.4,0.49,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.58,0.59,0.57,0.55,0.45,0.39,0.48,0.35,0.25,0.34,0.26,0.29,0.3,0.38,0.47,0.57,0.63,0.64,0.76,0.93,0.97,1,1,1,1	91.9%