NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Orlando Magic	82		Excitement	8.0 [209]		MVP	Matt Maloney (ATL): +20.9%
Atlanta Hawks	83		Comeback	3.9 [216]		LVP	Tracy McGrady (ORL): -36.6%

Orlando Magic
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Andrew DeClercq	0.14	0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.09	0.04	0.00	9	75%	0.14	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Pat Garrity	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.02	0.00	-0.03	10	60%	0.08	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Mike Miller	0.02	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,0.02	-0.06	0.08	0.00	14	32%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Troy Hudson	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	5	40%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Don Reid	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Bo Outlaw	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.04	-0.02	-0.00	1	0%	-0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Michael Doleac	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	5	20%	-0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Monty Williams	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.07	-0.02	-0.01	2	0%	-0.04	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
John Amaechi	-0.09	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.10	-0.01	-0.01	3	0%	-0.08	1	-0.02	2	0%	-0.02
Darrell Armstrong	-0.21	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.17,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.38,-0.38,-0.21,-0.21	-0.16	-0.07	-0.02	13	33%	-0.05	4	-0.15	4	75%	-0.00
Tracy McGrady	-0.37	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.37	0.01	-0.35	0.03	23	51%	-0.37	0	0.00	13	85%	0.04

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Matt Maloney	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.21	0.21	0.06	0.14	0.00	4	87%	0.21	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Roshown McLeod	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	-0.01	0.07	-0.00	7	67%	0.12	3	-0.06	4	100%	0.04
Alan Henderson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.07,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.01	-0.01	0.00	9	50%	0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Hanno Mottola	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brevin Knight	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.08	-0.03	-0.00	2	17%	-0.06	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.02
Dikembe Mutombo	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.12	-0.02	-0.01	6	29%	-0.05	3	-0.07	2	0%	-0.04
Jason Terry	0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.08,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.2,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.09	-0.04	-0.00	21	45%	-0.03	3	-0.10	5	80%	0.01
Dion Glover	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.05,-0.13	-0.13	-0.12	-0.05	-0.04	5	37%	-0.05	3	-0.08	6	67%	0.00
Lorenzen Wright	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.15,-0.21,-0.21,-0.14,-0.14,-0.19,-0.19	-0.19	-0.06	-0.11	0.02	21	48%	-0.05	3	-0.15	4	50%	-0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.8	1.8	33.8	14.8	27.5	2.5	34.3	141.6
league avg	28.8	2.2	28.9	16.6	26.2	2.2	33.1	139.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ATL +56.1%

ATL +5.5%

ATL +2.7%

ORL -17.1%

ATL +2.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ORL	ATL	NBA	ORL	ATL	NBA
this game	14.9	16.6	15.5	89.1	91.2	100.9
season	14.6	15.4		101.6	96.0
opponent	15.1	15.8		101.6	100.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ORL	11.8	16.1	13.8	19.0	14.9
ATL	15.4	13.9	18.9	18.9	16.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Orlando Magic
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Andrew DeClercq	64	62	0.31	-0.81	1.12	-0.13	15	-16	31	13.2	18.7	-5.48	17.5	14.7	2.73
John Amaechi	30	30	0.13	-0.63	0.76	-0.05	6	-7	13	14.5	15.1	-0.65	18.1	15.8	2.26
Pat Garrity	35	37	0.06	-0.56	0.62	-0.12	6	-7	13	13.5	15.8	-2.24	14.5	18.0	-3.58
Mike Miller	69	71	-0.05	-0.45	0.41	-0.43	13	-14	27	14.0	17.5	-3.43	16.6	16.3	0.30
Darrell Armstrong	74	73	-0.25	-0.25	0.01	-0.42	6	-7	13	14.6	16.1	-1.43	17.4	13.1	4.33
Tracy McGrady	79	78	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	-0.50	7	-8	15	14.9	14.6	0.33	17.1	13.5	3.55
Troy Hudson	20	19	-0.32	-0.18	-0.13	-0.08	-8	7	-15	15.6	14.7	0.89	12.6	17.6	-5.06
Don Reid	15	13	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	0.00	-11	10	-21	19.0	14.1	4.90	15.8	16.7	-0.86
Monty Williams	23	22	-0.48	-0.02	-0.47	-0.07	-14	13	-27	17.1	14.2	2.91	16.4	16.7	-0.29
Michael Doleac	32	32	-0.58	0.08	-0.65	-0.40	-6	5	-11	16.9	13.8	3.07	16.8	16.5	0.35
Bo Outlaw	19	18	-0.72	0.22	-0.94	-0.16	-19	18	-37	17.8	14.2	3.64	14.1	17.2	-3.08

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Matt Maloney	49	51	0.56	-0.06	0.63	0.50	2	-1	3	18.7	14.2	4.49	17.2	12.0	5.19
Dikembe Mutombo	70	70	0.51	-0.01	0.51	0.53	-1	2	-3	17.1	14.8	2.30	15.5	13.0	2.56
Roshown McLeod	52	55	0.47	0.03	0.43	0.23	8	-7	15	17.7	15.2	2.50	17.6	10.9	6.71
Jason Terry	90	90	0.44	0.06	0.38	0.44	0	1	-1	16.7	3.0	13.73	15.0	11.5	3.48
Lorenzen Wright	69	71	0.30	0.20	0.10	0.42	-4	5	-9	17.8	12.6	5.20	15.2	13.9	1.29
Hanno Mottola	4	4	0.16	0.34	-0.18	0.01	5	-4	9	9.7	16.9	-7.15	12.7	15.0	-2.25
Alan Henderson	39	39	0.04	0.46	-0.42	-0.02	2	-1	3	14.1	18.4	-4.34	13.5	15.9	-2.46
Dion Glover	39	37	0.03	0.47	-0.43	0.24	-7	8	-15	15.2	17.7	-2.50	10.9	17.6	-6.71
Brevin Knight	43	43	-0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.00	0	1	-1	13.9	19.0	-5.07	12.0	17.4	-5.45

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.41,0.35,0.37,0.35,0.36,0.29,0.32,0.32,0.36,0.35,0.42,0.46,0.46,0.48,0.46,0.49,0.48,0.56,0.5,0.49,0.45,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.45,0.32,0.31,0.37,0.26,0.25,0.38,0.48,0.52,0.48,0.47,0.41,0.65,0.73,0.68,0.85,0.91,0.73,1
Game		Similarity Score
GSW 101, MEM 106	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.42,0.4,0.47,0.44,0.47,0.39,0.39,0.38,0.38,0.36,0.43,0.4,0.44,0.38,0.44,0.46,0.53,0.53,0.52,0.46,0.49,0.56,0.63,0.62,0.66,0.52,0.55,0.45,0.44,0.38,0.35,0.34,0.26,0.25,0.3,0.43,0.48,0.53,0.37,0.42,0.53,0.78,0.81,0.93,1,0.91,1	92.8%
DET 87, ORL 95	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.42,0.38,0.31,0.33,0.31,0.35,0.38,0.35,0.4,0.34,0.36,0.38,0.44,0.48,0.44,0.48,0.46,0.36,0.46,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.42,0.42,0.33,0.38,0.32,0.31,0.3,0.26,0.33,0.54,0.57,0.66,0.62,0.47,0.59,0.65,0.69,0.68,0.9,0.92,0.87,1	92.7%
MEM 78, ORL 81	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.47,0.43,0.43,0.41,0.33,0.38,0.4,0.37,0.4,0.42,0.4,0.42,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.45,0.4,0.34,0.42,0.45,0.42,0.38,0.25,0.24,0.23,0.21,0.19,0.3,0.33,0.38,0.53,0.59,0.71,0.73,0.71,0.84,0.91,0.95,1	91.9%