NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Detroit Pistons	87		Excitement	7.1 [372]		MVP	Lindsey Hunter (DET): +24.6%
Orlando Magic	95		Comeback	3.3 [346]		LVP	Jerry Stackhouse (DET): -23.1%

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Lindsey Hunter	0.25	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.18,0.18,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.25,0.25	0.11	0.13	-0.01	11	77%	0.25	1	-0.00	4	100%	0.04
Don Reid	0.02	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.07,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.02,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.03	0.01	0.01	15	53%	0.05	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Rick Mahorn	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.03	-0.00	6	33%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Scot Pollard	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Malik Sealy	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Jerome Williams	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Joe Dumars	-0.03	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.06,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	16	49%	0.03	2	-0.06	3	100%	0.02
Bison Dele	-0.19	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19	-0.07	-0.12	0.01	8	39%	-0.12	2	-0.07	2	100%	0.01
Grant Hill	-0.23	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.16,-0.16,-0.2,-0.23	-0.07	-0.12	0.03	13	45%	-0.17	2	-0.05	7	71%	-0.01
Jerry Stackhouse	-0.23	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23	-0.14	-0.10	-0.01	10	29%	-0.08	4	-0.15	1	100%	0.01

Orlando Magic
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Nick Anderson	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.08,-0.01,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.18	0.01	0.13	-0.04	20	54%	0.23	2	-0.05	8	75%	0.01
Derek Strong	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.19,0.19,0.17,0.17	0.17	0.06	0.12	0.01	13	71%	0.26	3	-0.09	2	100%	0.00
Mark Price	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,-0.01,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	0.03	0.01	15	55%	0.08	2	-0.05	3	67%	0.01
David Benoit	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.02	0.00	7	50%	0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Bo Outlaw	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.01	-0.02	0.02	5	60%	0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Gerald Wilkins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	2	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Horace Grant	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	-0.00	0.05	10	50%	-0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Dan Schayes	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	-0.00	5	40%	-0.01	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Ollie	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.13,-0.08,-0.02,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.08	-0.03	0.00	5	33%	-0.02	2	-0.08	2	0%	-0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.5	2.0	27.0	16.5	24.5	2.3	35.4	129.2
league avg	29.9	2.8	36.8	15.6	26.0	2.1	43.0	157.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ORL +61.2%

DET -9.9%

DET -2.5%

DET -1.1%

ORL +2.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DET	ORL	NBA	DET	ORL	NBA
this game	16.2	16.9	15.6	100.0	109.2	102.5
season	15.9	16.7		102.8	100.3
opponent	15.6	15.9		101.4	101.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DET	17.1	15.1	16.6	16.1	16.2
ORL	17.2	15.5	16.1	19.1	16.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Scot Pollard	8	9	0.02	-0.52	0.54	0.02	0	-8	8	16.1	16.2	-0.09	12.9	17.4	-4.47
Malik Sealy	17	17	-0.13	-0.37	0.23	-0.02	-4	-4	0	15.3	16.4	-1.13	15.4	17.3	-1.85
Rick Mahorn	19	18	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	-0.11	-3	-5	2	12.9	17.1	-4.17	17.4	16.8	0.62
Don Reid	72	73	-0.23	-0.27	0.03	-0.17	-2	-6	4	15.4	19.9	-4.50	16.7	17.7	-0.97
Jerome Williams	13	12	-0.27	-0.23	-0.03	-0.00	-9	1	-10	22.4	15.1	7.26	18.2	16.7	1.57
Joe Dumars	57	56	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	-0.27	-1	-7	6	16.9	14.9	2.05	17.4	16.0	1.39
Bison Dele	58	58	-0.30	-0.20	-0.11	-0.28	-1	-7	6	17.6	13.4	4.24	17.8	15.1	2.69
Jerry Stackhouse	50	51	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	0.00	-12	4	-16	14.9	18.0	-3.07	15.4	19.0	-3.64
Grant Hill	72	72	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	-0.23	-4	-4	0	16.1	16.9	-0.80	17.1	15.8	1.33
Lindsey Hunter	69	69	-0.39	-0.11	-0.27	-0.27	-4	-4	0	16.3	15.8	0.47	17.3	15.3	1.97

Orlando Magic
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Derek Strong	64	63	0.81	-0.31	1.12	0.28	18	-10	28	17.0	16.7	0.21	15.7	17.4	-1.67
Nick Anderson	73	73	0.49	0.01	0.48	0.31	6	2	4	17.3	14.9	2.35	16.3	15.8	0.50
Bo Outlaw	64	65	0.46	0.04	0.42	0.28	6	2	4	17.6	14.9	2.70	16.5	15.3	1.25
Horace Grant	65	66	0.34	0.16	0.18	0.22	4	4	0	17.2	16.0	1.26	16.7	14.8	1.90
Mark Price	55	55	0.33	0.17	0.15	0.21	4	4	0	16.9	16.8	0.08	15.6	17.2	-1.60
David Benoit	36	35	0.18	0.32	-0.15	0.00	6	2	4	15.5	17.9	-2.38	15.2	16.9	-1.68
Kevin Ollie	32	32	0.17	0.33	-0.15	0.06	4	4	0	16.8	16.9	-0.08	17.2	15.6	1.60
Gerald Wilkins	14	14	0.01	0.49	-0.48	-0.05	2	6	-4	14.9	17.3	-2.35	15.8	16.3	-0.50
Dan Schayes	32	32	-0.29	0.79	-1.08	0.00	-10	18	-28	16.3	17.3	-0.97	16.6	16.0	0.66

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.42,0.38,0.31,0.33,0.31,0.35,0.38,0.35,0.4,0.34,0.36,0.38,0.44,0.48,0.44,0.48,0.46,0.36,0.46,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.42,0.42,0.33,0.38,0.32,0.31,0.3,0.26,0.33,0.54,0.57,0.66,0.62,0.47,0.59,0.65,0.69,0.68,0.9,0.92,0.87,1
Game		Similarity Score
ORL 82, ATL 83	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.41,0.35,0.37,0.35,0.36,0.29,0.32,0.32,0.36,0.35,0.42,0.46,0.46,0.48,0.46,0.49,0.48,0.56,0.5,0.49,0.45,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.45,0.32,0.31,0.37,0.26,0.25,0.38,0.48,0.52,0.48,0.47,0.41,0.65,0.73,0.68,0.85,0.91,0.73,1	92.7%
LAC 85, HOU 90	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.5,0.46,0.47,0.43,0.39,0.37,0.38,0.42,0.46,0.46,0.45,0.45,0.4,0.44,0.35,0.35,0.39,0.41,0.44,0.54,0.46,0.46,0.43,0.48,0.45,0.42,0.42,0.38,0.38,0.31,0.27,0.29,0.4,0.46,0.48,0.47,0.43,0.53,0.7,0.76,0.73,0.85,0.85,0.9,0.91,1	92.0%
BOS 100, ATL 103	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.41,0.44,0.45,0.39,0.39,0.37,0.38,0.32,0.26,0.28,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.37,0.34,0.36,0.39,0.42,0.42,0.39,0.5,0.4,0.4,0.28,0.33,0.33,0.29,0.32,0.31,0.3,0.26,0.27,0.38,0.52,0.62,0.47,0.42,0.64,0.71,0.72,0.9,0.85,0.87,0.95,1	92.0%