NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Indiana Pacers	76		Excitement	5.9 [604]		MVP	Chris Mullin (IND): +7.3%
New York Knicks	83		Comeback	3.8 [340]		LVP	Dale Davis (IND): -31.3%

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Chris Mullin	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.05	0.00	-0.02	9	73%	0.10	2	-0.03	4	100%	0.03
Rik Smits	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	-0.00	-0.01	7	56%	0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Reggie Miller	0.02	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.14,0.12,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.04	-0.00	0.02	13	66%	0.07	2	-0.05	9	89%	0.03
Travis Best	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	0.00	3	33%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Antonio Davis	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.05	-0.00	0.01	4	42%	-0.05	1	-0.02	4	25%	-0.04
Mark Jackson	-0.09	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.1,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.11	-0.02	-0.03	9	40%	0.02	4	-0.11	2	100%	0.01
Derrick McKey	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.05	-0.05	0.00	3	0%	-0.10	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jalen Rose	-0.17	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.07,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.03,-0.12,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.08	-0.11	-0.02	8	41%	-0.04	3	-0.13	1	100%	0.00
Dale Davis	-0.31	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.16,-0.21,-0.21,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.3,-0.3,-0.3,-0.3,-0.31,-0.31	-0.20	-0.11	0.01	5	30%	-0.16	4	-0.15	10	20%	-0.12

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
John Starks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.01	0.05	-0.00	12	50%	0.10	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Chris Childs	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	-0.00	0.02	-0.03	7	62%	0.11	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Charles Oakley	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	0	100%	0.01	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Patrick Ewing	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.04	0.01	-0.01	16	50%	0.02	2	-0.04	6	83%	0.03
Chris Mills	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.01	-0.03	0.00	6	69%	0.05	2	-0.07	4	100%	0.03
Terry Cummings	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	4	50%	0.03	2	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Charlie Ward	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	-0.01	3	50%	0.02	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Allan Houston	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.10	-0.02	-0.05	14	35%	-0.06	2	-0.02	3	100%	0.02
Larry Johnson	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.13,-0.11,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.17	-0.11	-0.09	-0.04	8	45%	0.01	4	-0.17	6	67%	0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.4	2.5	33.5	17.7	27.2	2.4	36.6	145.4
league avg	29.9	2.8	36.8	15.6	26.0	2.1	43.0	157.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NYK +17.8%

NYK +21.0%

NYK +17.7%

IND -8.2%

NYK +1.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	IND	NYK	NBA	IND	NYK	NBA
this game	16.2	16.3	15.6	86.4	93.3	102.5
season	16.0	15.7		105.3	100.4
opponent	16.3	16.1		98.6	99.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
IND	14.0	17.0	16.3	17.7	16.2
NYK	17.3	13.0	17.2	18.2	16.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Dale Davis	65	65	0.08	-0.58	0.66	-0.24	11	-18	29	15.0	19.5	-4.43	16.7	15.4	1.32
Rik Smits	40	42	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	-0.12	3	-10	13	15.9	16.5	-0.56	16.0	16.6	-0.59
Reggie Miller	72	73	-0.09	-0.41	0.31	-0.33	8	-15	23	15.3	20.2	-4.87	16.4	16.2	0.11
Mark Jackson	66	67	-0.17	-0.33	0.17	-0.40	8	-15	23	15.1	19.5	-4.45	16.4	16.2	0.21
Chris Mullin	70	72	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.34	2	-9	11	15.9	17.4	-1.49	16.5	15.8	0.71
Travis Best	22	22	-0.33	-0.17	-0.17	0.11	-15	8	-23	19.5	15.1	4.45	16.2	16.4	-0.21
Jalen Rose	26	25	-0.44	-0.06	-0.37	-0.03	-14	7	-21	18.2	15.4	2.88	16.1	16.4	-0.30
Derrick McKey	20	21	-0.51	0.01	-0.52	0.05	-19	12	-31	20.6	14.9	5.69	16.6	16.3	0.31
Antonio Davis	59	58	-0.73	0.23	-0.95	-0.17	-19	12	-31	16.7	15.1	1.64	16.0	17.0	-1.02

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Chris Childs	56	54	1.02	-0.52	1.54	0.17	29	-22	51	15.9	17.0	-1.05	17.2	14.7	2.49
Chris Mills	45	43	0.90	-0.40	1.30	0.25	22	-15	37	15.2	17.5	-2.26	17.0	15.4	1.60
Larry Johnson	74	73	0.67	-0.17	0.85	0.32	12	-5	17	16.9	13.4	3.53	16.2	16.0	0.25
Terry Cummings	27	28	0.28	0.22	0.07	-0.04	11	-4	15	15.4	16.7	-1.33	18.6	15.1	3.58
John Starks	45	47	0.27	0.23	0.04	-0.11	13	-6	19	16.2	16.5	-0.28	18.2	13.9	4.36
Patrick Ewing	62	60	0.22	0.28	-0.07	0.33	-4	11	-15	16.7	15.4	1.33	15.1	18.6	-3.58
Allan Houston	69	67	0.19	0.31	-0.12	0.30	-4	11	-15	16.4	16.0	0.43	15.0	19.9	-4.86
Charlie Ward	33	34	-0.52	1.02	-1.54	0.12	-22	29	-51	17.0	15.9	1.05	14.7	17.2	-2.49
Charles Oakley	34	34	-0.53	1.03	-1.56	0.12	-22	29	-51	16.5	16.2	0.26	14.6	17.2	-2.68

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.5,0.49,0.46,0.41,0.36,0.35,0.3,0.31,0.32,0.31,0.3,0.28,0.28,0.36,0.45,0.4,0.46,0.48,0.54,0.56,0.61,0.67,0.64,0.63,0.55,0.46,0.42,0.42,0.36,0.29,0.22,0.25,0.27,0.33,0.36,0.34,0.43,0.38,0.42,0.42,0.53,0.53,0.83,0.89,0.98,0.98,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
WAS 86, SAC 98	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.46,0.38,0.37,0.37,0.37,0.45,0.42,0.36,0.32,0.34,0.34,0.42,0.44,0.44,0.47,0.45,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.52,0.51,0.48,0.36,0.23,0.28,0.24,0.27,0.3,0.36,0.38,0.34,0.38,0.57,0.47,0.57,0.53,0.77,0.69,0.9,0.94,1,1	93.2%
IND 94, BKN 103	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.49,0.42,0.43,0.37,0.38,0.36,0.33,0.31,0.37,0.36,0.35,0.4,0.44,0.47,0.49,0.39,0.44,0.53,0.54,0.56,0.61,0.64,0.58,0.63,0.58,0.42,0.39,0.42,0.38,0.35,0.34,0.24,0.23,0.21,0.22,0.26,0.29,0.33,0.32,0.59,0.59,0.83,0.95,0.97,1,1,1	93.1%
SEA 90, MIN 98	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.46,0.46,0.49,0.45,0.4,0.34,0.35,0.37,0.32,0.34,0.4,0.38,0.4,0.36,0.4,0.4,0.49,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.58,0.59,0.57,0.55,0.45,0.39,0.48,0.35,0.25,0.34,0.26,0.29,0.3,0.38,0.47,0.57,0.63,0.64,0.76,0.93,0.97,1,1,1,1	91.6%