NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New Jersey Nets	94		Excitement	7.2 [359]		MVP	Aaron Williams (NJN): +14.4%
Philadelphia 76ers	102		Comeback	4.6 [543]		LVP	Stephon Marbury (NJN): -35.7%

New Jersey Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Aaron Williams	0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.05	0.10	0.01	6	69%	0.14	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Keith Van Horn	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.05	0.04	-0.00	14	66%	0.17	3	-0.09	4	100%	0.02
Evan Eschmeyer	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.03	0.01	-0.00	4	70%	0.05	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Sherman Douglas	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Stephen Jackson	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kenyon Martin	-0.02	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	-0.04	13	50%	0.05	2	-0.07	2	100%	0.01
Lucious Harris	-0.04	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	7	56%	0.01	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Johnny Newman	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.00	-0.06	0.00	6	71%	0.08	3	-0.14	2	50%	-0.01
Stephon Marbury	-0.36	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.17,-0.17,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.23,-0.23,-0.18,-0.18,-0.29,-0.29,-0.34,-0.34,-0.34,-0.36	-0.19	-0.18	-0.01	24	40%	-0.18	7	-0.18	2	100%	0.01

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jumaine Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.12	0.02	0.00	4	125%	0.13	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tyrone Hill	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.01	0.01	8	65%	0.07	2	-0.05	4	75%	0.00
Aaron McKie	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	-0.01	-0.01	11	50%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Dikembe Mutombo	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.02	0.04	0.01	8	52%	0.03	1	-0.02	5	100%	0.03
Todd MacCulloch	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Allen Iverson	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.07,-0.05,-0.12,-0.07,-0.1,-0.13,-0.16,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.16,-0.14,-0.06,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.11	0.04	-0.05	32	49%	0.16	5	-0.19	14	93%	0.11
George Lynch	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.07	0.02	-0.01	8	61%	0.10	5	-0.14	2	50%	-0.02
Eric Snow	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2	-0.20	-0.07	-0.10	0.03	5	58%	-0.05	4	-0.14	2	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.2	2.6	28.2	15.4	29.4	1.7	28.2	128.8
league avg	28.8	2.2	28.9	16.6	26.2	2.2	33.1	139.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHI +0.3%

PHI +25.2%

PHI +25.3%

PHI +2.4%

NJN -3.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NJN	PHI	NBA	NJN	PHI	NBA
this game	15.0	16.1	15.5	101.1	110.9	100.9
season	15.5	15.7		97.8	101.4
opponent	15.5	15.1		97.1	103.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NJN	13.7	16.2	14.1	16.2	15.0
PHI	19.0	15.8	13.1	17.2	16.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Jersey Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Sherman Douglas	13	12	0.09	-0.59	0.69	0.01	3	-11	14	17.5	14.6	2.94	17.2	16.0	1.19
Lucious Harris	47	46	-0.05	-0.45	0.41	-0.05	0	-8	8	15.3	14.7	0.62	16.4	15.9	0.48
Stephen Jackson	2	2	-0.10	-0.40	0.31	-0.04	-2	-6	4	10.5	15.1	-4.61	6.0	16.4	-10.36
Evan Eschmeyer	51	49	-0.11	-0.39	0.29	-0.25	5	-13	18	15.2	14.8	0.41	14.7	17.8	-3.12
Keith Van Horn	84	85	-0.21	-0.29	0.09	-0.21	0	-8	8	14.7	18.0	-3.31	16.3	14.4	1.84
Johnny Newman	45	45	-0.46	-0.04	-0.43	-0.08	-13	5	-18	15.0	15.1	-0.11	16.6	15.7	0.92
Stephon Marbury	85	84	-0.47	-0.03	-0.43	-0.26	-7	-1	-6	14.8	17.7	-3.00	16.0	17.4	-1.36
Kenyon Martin	88	87	-0.53	0.03	-0.56	-0.24	-10	2	-12	14.9	17.8	-2.95	16.1	16.4	-0.29
Aaron Williams	50	50	-0.68	0.18	-0.86	-0.21	-16	8	-24	15.4	14.6	0.76	17.1	15.0	2.04

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Aaron McKie	54	56	0.67	-0.17	0.84	0.23	15	-7	22	16.3	15.9	0.36	14.9	15.1	-0.21
Allen Iverson	86	86	0.53	-0.03	0.56	0.24	10	-2	12	16.0	17.7	-1.64	14.7	18.7	-4.00
Tyrone Hill	66	65	0.44	0.06	0.39	0.27	6	2	4	16.0	16.4	-0.35	14.7	15.7	-1.01
Jumaine Jones	37	38	0.36	0.14	0.22	0.07	10	-2	12	15.7	16.4	-0.67	15.8	14.5	1.27
Dikembe Mutombo	75	76	0.22	0.28	-0.05	0.16	2	6	-4	16.1	16.1	0.02	14.7	16.2	-1.43
Eric Snow	70	71	0.20	0.30	-0.10	0.29	-3	11	-14	16.2	16.0	0.11	14.6	16.5	-1.89
George Lynch	66	66	0.10	0.40	-0.30	0.04	2	6	-4	16.3	15.7	0.61	15.7	13.3	2.47
Todd MacCulloch	6	7	-0.03	0.53	-0.56	0.03	-2	10	-12	17.7	16.0	1.64	18.7	14.7	4.00

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.46,0.45,0.47,0.41,0.37,0.32,0.34,0.34,0.3,0.36,0.42,0.43,0.36,0.4,0.42,0.4,0.44,0.42,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.33,0.41,0.42,0.4,0.4,0.42,0.45,0.48,0.52,0.35,0.41,0.27,0.37,0.25,0.34,0.3,0.3,0.47,0.63,0.53,0.54,0.67,0.74,0.79,0.84,0.98,1
Game		Similarity Score
DET 94, CHI 95	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.38,0.3,0.32,0.29,0.3,0.28,0.3,0.31,0.34,0.4,0.32,0.34,0.36,0.35,0.37,0.3,0.31,0.27,0.28,0.36,0.33,0.42,0.43,0.34,0.27,0.36,0.36,0.35,0.26,0.28,0.37,0.4,0.32,0.38,0.3,0.34,0.53,0.53,0.59,0.6,0.61,0.81,0.85,0.85,0.84,1	92.8%
UTA 107, SAC 117	0.5,0.49,0.55,0.54,0.5,0.52,0.44,0.38,0.36,0.43,0.39,0.42,0.38,0.34,0.32,0.36,0.38,0.38,0.4,0.39,0.36,0.41,0.44,0.42,0.33,0.46,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.39,0.39,0.32,0.29,0.34,0.37,0.4,0.29,0.38,0.3,0.38,0.52,0.53,0.59,0.47,0.53,0.61,0.78,0.85,0.96,1	92.6%
SAS 80, LAL 86	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.44,0.42,0.41,0.38,0.38,0.39,0.35,0.35,0.31,0.37,0.4,0.42,0.45,0.47,0.45,0.42,0.37,0.36,0.36,0.44,0.39,0.33,0.33,0.43,0.34,0.41,0.48,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.45,0.31,0.3,0.42,0.34,0.34,0.38,0.33,0.51,0.57,0.46,0.46,0.69,0.63,0.85,0.84,1	92.6%