NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Washington Wizards	97		Excitement	9.1 [127]		MVP	Carlos Boozer (UTA): +59.6%
Utah Jazz	103		Comeback	4.1 [574]		LVP	Deron Williams (UTA): -10.0%

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Gilbert Arenas	0.20	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.21,0.21,0.26,0.21,0.21,0.15,0.22,0.22,0.2	0.07	0.12	-0.00	20	56%	0.27	3	-0.07	17	82%	-0.01
DeShawn Stevenson	0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.1,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.09	0.05	0.00	11	70%	0.20	2	-0.05	8	75%	0.02
Etan Thomas	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.01	-0.00	2	86%	0.08	2	-0.06	3	67%	-0.01
Donell Taylor	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jarvis Hayes	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.17,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,0.01,0.01	-0.09	0.09	-0.01	8	19%	0.06	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Michael Ruffin	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	50%	0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Antawn Jamison	-0.02	0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.04,0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02	0.03	-0.05	0.01	17	47%	-0.02	0	0.00	9	67%	-0.06
Antonio Daniels	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Darius Songaila	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.08	0.02	-0.01	10	45%	0.05	4	-0.11	2	100%	0.01
Brendan Haywood	-0.10	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.09	-0.02	-0.01	3	20%	-0.06	2	-0.03	4	50%	-0.02

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Carlos Boozer	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.14,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.28,0.28,0.33,0.38,0.44,0.5,0.5,0.59,0.59,0.6	0.60	0.24	0.36	0.00	21	73%	0.65	3	-0.06	14	79%	0.00
Derek Fisher	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.16	0.16	-0.07	0.18	-0.05	10	37%	0.18	1	-0.02	7	57%	0.01
Rafael Araujo	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
CJ Miles	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jarron Collins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Matt Harpring	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.22,-0.14,-0.14,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.09	0.06	-0.00	8	30%	0.02	2	-0.05	4	100%	0.05
Andrei Kirilenko	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	3	50%	0.02	2	-0.06	6	100%	0.03
Mehmet Okur	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.18,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.00	0.02	14	42%	-0.04	0	0.00	10	40%	-0.08
Paul Millsap	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.03,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.01	-0.05	0.00	7	57%	0.02	2	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Dee Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.05	-0.03	-0.00	2	0%	-0.04	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Deron Williams	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0,0,0,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	0.00	-0.09	0.01	12	57%	0.05	3	-0.15	4	100%	0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.9	1.7	29.3	15.0	32.0	1.5	39.7	147.1
league avg	28.7	2.4	29.9	15.9	26.5	2.4	34.0	141.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

UTA +18.8%

UTA +6.2%

UTA +30.7%

WAS -9.5%

UTA +3.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	WAS	UTA	NBA	WAS	UTA	NBA
this game	14.2	15.3	15.4	99.0	106.2	104.5
season	14.8	15.9		107.8	107.4
opponent	15.0	15.3		104.9	108.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
WAS	13.3	15.8	14.6	13.3	14.2
UTA	16.0	17.7	14.8	13.4	15.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Darius Songaila	55	54	0.37	-0.87	1.23	0.01	12	-18	30	14.1	14.4	-0.32	16.0	14.5	1.43
Antonio Daniels	22	20	0.09	-0.59	0.68	0.06	1	-7	8	14.4	14.2	0.25	16.8	14.9	1.91
Brendan Haywood	43	42	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	0.00	-1	-5	4	14.4	14.0	0.41	16.0	14.8	1.14
Donell Taylor	5	6	-0.08	-0.42	0.33	0.03	-4	-2	-2	20.6	13.9	6.73	17.5	15.2	2.31
Michael Ruffin	21	20	-0.11	-0.39	0.27	0.00	-4	-2	-2	16.1	13.7	2.39	16.7	15.0	1.79
DeShawn Stevenson	80	78	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	-0.34	-2	-4	2	13.9	15.4	-1.51	15.4	14.8	0.61
Etan Thomas	44	44	-0.54	0.04	-0.58	-0.36	-6	0	-6	13.7	14.6	-0.88	14.0	16.5	-2.52
Antawn Jamison	85	85	-0.59	0.09	-0.68	-0.30	-10	4	-14	14.2	14.3	-0.11	14.9	18.2	-3.24
Jarvis Hayes	46	46	-0.59	0.09	-0.69	-0.33	-9	3	-12	13.8	14.6	-0.77	15.4	15.2	0.20
Gilbert Arenas	89	90	-0.60	0.10	-0.71	-0.40	-7	1	-8	14.1	15.8	-1.72	14.7	22.9	-8.11

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Mehmet Okur	66	67	0.66	-0.16	0.82	0.37	10	-4	14	14.7	16.8	-2.12	14.2	14.3	-0.06
Deron Williams	85	87	0.55	-0.05	0.61	0.32	8	-2	10	15.3	15.5	-0.19	14.3	13.7	0.55
Carlos Boozer	77	77	0.51	-0.01	0.52	0.39	4	2	2	14.5	18.4	-3.87	13.8	15.8	-2.03
Matt Harpring	62	61	0.48	0.02	0.46	0.19	10	-4	14	15.9	14.4	1.50	14.3	14.1	0.26
Derek Fisher	54	54	0.32	0.18	0.15	0.12	7	-1	8	15.1	15.6	-0.54	13.1	15.5	-2.37
Paul Millsap	36	37	0.06	0.44	-0.37	-0.02	3	3	0	16.3	14.8	1.55	15.5	13.5	2.00
Rafael Araujo	0	1	0.02	0.48	-0.46	0.02	0	6	-6	0.0	15.3	-15.33	6.0	14.3	-8.30
CJ Miles	0	1	0.02	0.48	-0.46	0.02	0	6	-6	0.0	15.3	-15.33	6.0	14.3	-8.30
Andrei Kirilenko	53	55	-0.02	0.52	-0.54	0.27	-10	16	-26	14.8	16.0	-1.27	14.4	13.9	0.51
Jarron Collins	24	23	-0.04	0.54	-0.58	-0.01	-1	7	-8	17.0	14.8	2.27	15.3	13.9	1.37
Dee Brown	28	27	-0.07	0.57	-0.64	-0.04	-1	7	-8	16.8	14.7	2.10	14.8	14.0	0.78

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.48,0.46,0.49,0.47,0.45,0.4,0.43,0.38,0.36,0.37,0.45,0.42,0.43,0.35,0.37,0.39,0.34,0.31,0.33,0.25,0.23,0.33,0.24,0.2,0.25,0.22,0.26,0.26,0.29,0.31,0.41,0.33,0.44,0.46,0.26,0.33,0.34,0.28,0.36,0.47,0.39,0.45,0.54,0.69,0.72,1
Game		Similarity Score
NOP 105, UTA 111	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.46,0.51,0.5,0.45,0.45,0.43,0.38,0.34,0.32,0.35,0.32,0.34,0.34,0.33,0.35,0.28,0.29,0.36,0.31,0.2,0.18,0.22,0.12,0.09,0.15,0.22,0.24,0.35,0.22,0.31,0.48,0.48,0.4,0.34,0.25,0.25,0.2,0.19,0.3,0.41,0.53,0.38,0.61,0.69,0.73,1	93.0%
CLE 91, DEN 98	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.47,0.49,0.45,0.38,0.38,0.32,0.35,0.36,0.3,0.31,0.35,0.28,0.28,0.34,0.34,0.26,0.27,0.22,0.2,0.21,0.23,0.2,0.22,0.28,0.42,0.35,0.31,0.37,0.37,0.36,0.34,0.38,0.38,0.47,0.32,0.36,0.47,0.6,0.45,0.63,0.57,0.72,1	92.9%
PHX 99, MEM 104	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.5,0.44,0.47,0.43,0.37,0.32,0.35,0.32,0.4,0.4,0.44,0.41,0.45,0.47,0.46,0.44,0.44,0.39,0.34,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.41,0.28,0.33,0.27,0.3,0.29,0.29,0.34,0.34,0.41,0.42,0.5,0.34,0.38,0.29,0.32,0.36,0.46,0.4,0.39,0.55,0.9,0.96,1	92.7%