NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Cleveland Cavaliers	91		Excitement	8.3 [207]		MVP	Kosta Koufos (DEN): +27.2%
Denver Nuggets	98		Comeback	5.2 [655]		LVP	Tyler Zeller (CLE): -22.1%

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tristan Thompson	0.09	0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.06	0.06	0.02	13	62%	0.11	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Luke Walton	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.02	0.04	-0.01	4	89%	0.13	3	-0.05	1	100%	0.01
Dion Waiters	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.11,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.07	-0.01	0.00	13	58%	0.07	1	-0.02	5	100%	0.02
Kevin Jones	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kyrie Irving	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.07,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.16,0.26,0.18,0.18,0.23,0.17,0.09,0,-0.01	0.04	-0.05	0.00	26	49%	0.02	1	-0.04	5	80%	0.01
Shaun Livingston	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.00	0.00	6	50%	0.03	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
CJ Miles	-0.08	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.05	-0.06	-0.03	10	48%	0.01	3	-0.10	3	67%	0.03
Alonzo Gee	-0.20	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2	-0.14	-0.09	-0.02	7	12%	-0.16	2	-0.05	2	0%	-0.12
Tyler Zeller	-0.22	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.22	-0.10	-0.12	-0.00	6	17%	-0.16	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00

Denver Nuggets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kosta Koufos	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.21,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27	0.27	0.11	0.16	-0.01	17	60%	0.27	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Danilo Gallinari	0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.18	0.18	0.12	0.09	0.03	13	77%	0.27	4	-0.09	4	100%	0.01
Kenneth Faried	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.10	-0.00	0.02	7	81%	0.16	3	-0.08	7	71%	-0.02
Timofey Mozgov	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	25%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Evan Fournier	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
JaVale McGee	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.06	-0.02	0.00	4	17%	-0.08	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.03
Andre Iguodala	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0,0,0,0,-0.06,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.04	-0.08	-0.00	11	52%	-0.02	4	-0.10	3	67%	-0.02
Andre Miller	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.03,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.09,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.08	-0.06	-0.01	10	40%	-0.02	3	-0.11	0	0%	0.00
Corey Brewer	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.16	-0.11	-0.05	-0.00	6	0%	-0.14	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Ty Lawson	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.24,-0.3,-0.22,-0.22,-0.21,-0.21	-0.20	-0.15	-0.05	0.00	11	41%	-0.03	6	-0.18	10	70%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.7	1.7	28.1	15.6	27.3	1.8	33.3	133.4
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.5	14.0	26.8	2.3	33.1	134.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DEN +15.5%

DEN +14.7%

DEN +39.0%

CLE -20.6%

DEN +1.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CLE	DEN	NBA	CLE	DEN	NBA
this game	15.8	14.1	15.4	94.8	101.0	104.1
season	15.5	14.4		102.5	108.4
opponent	15.4	15.2		104.0	107.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CLE	13.3	15.8	17.3	17.2	15.8
DEN	12.9	16.2	11.5	16.3	14.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Luke Walton	46	47	0.20	-0.70	0.89	-0.10	10	-17	27	14.9	16.6	-1.69	15.0	13.2	1.86
Kevin Jones	6	6	0.01	-0.51	0.53	0.01	0	-7	7	15.2	15.8	-0.67	19.3	13.7	5.62
Shaun Livingston	41	43	0.01	-0.51	0.52	0.01	0	-7	7	16.0	15.6	0.45	16.1	12.5	3.61
CJ Miles	71	69	-0.14	-0.36	0.23	-0.02	-4	-3	-1	15.4	16.9	-1.47	12.6	17.6	-5.03
Kyrie Irving	79	80	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	-0.30	-4	-3	-1	15.7	16.1	-0.32	13.3	17.8	-4.56
Dion Waiters	58	58	-0.48	-0.02	-0.46	-0.24	-8	1	-9	16.1	15.3	0.79	13.8	14.4	-0.63
Alonzo Gee	39	41	-0.48	-0.02	-0.47	-0.34	-5	-2	-3	15.9	15.7	0.13	16.3	12.4	3.91
Tristan Thompson	76	76	-0.53	0.03	-0.57	-0.18	-12	5	-17	15.4	17.2	-1.84	12.9	18.3	-5.39
Tyler Zeller	64	65	-0.68	0.18	-0.85	-0.32	-12	5	-17	16.9	13.5	3.44	14.2	13.7	0.56

Denver Nuggets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kosta Koufos	69	68	0.63	-0.13	0.76	0.28	12	-5	17	14.4	13.1	1.34	16.5	14.1	2.33
Andre Iguodala	83	79	0.58	-0.08	0.65	0.31	9	-2	11	13.6	16.6	-2.93	16.1	14.3	1.82
Danilo Gallinari	64	63	0.56	-0.06	0.61	0.32	8	-1	9	14.1	14.0	0.14	15.8	15.8	-0.09
Ty Lawson	68	71	0.51	-0.01	0.52	0.22	10	-3	13	13.5	15.3	-1.78	16.1	15.0	1.07
Andre Miller	45	42	0.34	0.16	0.17	0.19	5	2	3	15.2	13.0	2.21	15.3	16.1	-0.81
Kenneth Faried	68	68	0.27	0.23	0.04	0.18	3	4	-1	13.8	14.7	-0.94	15.5	16.4	-0.90
Timofey Mozgov	15	16	-0.02	0.52	-0.53	-0.08	2	5	-3	16.9	13.5	3.32	15.4	15.9	-0.50
JaVale McGee	24	25	-0.09	0.59	-0.69	0.05	-5	12	-17	11.7	14.8	-3.18	15.3	16.0	-0.69
Evan Fournier	15	14	-0.10	0.60	-0.70	-0.01	-3	10	-13	15.9	13.7	2.13	14.6	16.0	-1.43
Corey Brewer	34	34	-0.16	0.66	-0.82	0.01	-6	13	-19	13.9	14.1	-0.19	15.3	16.0	-0.72

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.47,0.49,0.45,0.38,0.38,0.32,0.35,0.36,0.3,0.31,0.35,0.28,0.28,0.34,0.34,0.26,0.27,0.22,0.2,0.21,0.23,0.2,0.22,0.28,0.42,0.35,0.31,0.37,0.37,0.36,0.34,0.38,0.38,0.47,0.32,0.36,0.47,0.6,0.45,0.63,0.57,0.72,1
Game		Similarity Score
WAS 97, UTA 103	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.48,0.46,0.49,0.47,0.45,0.4,0.43,0.38,0.36,0.37,0.45,0.42,0.43,0.35,0.37,0.39,0.34,0.31,0.33,0.25,0.23,0.33,0.24,0.2,0.25,0.22,0.26,0.26,0.29,0.31,0.41,0.33,0.44,0.46,0.26,0.33,0.34,0.28,0.36,0.47,0.39,0.45,0.54,0.69,0.72,1	92.9%
NOP 105, UTA 111	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.46,0.51,0.5,0.45,0.45,0.43,0.38,0.34,0.32,0.35,0.32,0.34,0.34,0.33,0.35,0.28,0.29,0.36,0.31,0.2,0.18,0.22,0.12,0.09,0.15,0.22,0.24,0.35,0.22,0.31,0.48,0.48,0.4,0.34,0.25,0.25,0.2,0.19,0.3,0.41,0.53,0.38,0.61,0.69,0.73,1	92.7%
POR 83, HOU 86	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.51,0.52,0.46,0.46,0.36,0.34,0.35,0.31,0.29,0.24,0.28,0.26,0.3,0.34,0.33,0.37,0.32,0.32,0.36,0.36,0.33,0.25,0.22,0.31,0.42,0.36,0.27,0.33,0.29,0.31,0.41,0.48,0.52,0.44,0.46,0.34,0.33,0.38,0.37,0.36,0.35,0.6,0.53,0.64,0.45,0.58,1	91.8%