NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New Orleans Pelicans	105		Excitement	7.9 [280]		MVP	Richard Jefferson (UTA): +37.2%
Utah Jazz	111		Comeback	10.7 [87]		LVP	Diante Garrett (UTA): -16.3%

New Orleans Pelicans
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Anthony Davis	0.27	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.12,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.2,0.2,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.27	0.13	0.14	0.01	21	62%	0.29	1	-0.02	5	100%	0.04
Tyreke Evans	0.20	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.19,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2	0.10	0.10	0.00	13	66%	0.22	1	-0.02	3	100%	0.02
Jrue Holiday	0.16	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.23,0.23,0.16	0.05	0.11	0.00	12	76%	0.30	5	-0.14	1	100%	0.01
Jeff Withey	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.00	0.01	-0.01	2	50%	0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Anthony Morrow	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02	-0.00	0.00	-0.02	4	36%	0.02	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.00
Jason Smith	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	0.00	0.01	9	56%	0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Lou Amundson	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.00	3	62%	0.04	2	-0.06	2	50%	-0.01
Eric Gordon	-0.04	0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.05,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04	0.01	-0.04	0.01	13	53%	0.02	2	-0.06	4	75%	-0.00
Al-Farouq Aminu	-0.06	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.08	0.00	-0.02	5	0%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Austin Rivers	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.07	-0.01	-0.02	3	0%	-0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Richard Jefferson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.25,0.25,0.37	0.37	0.16	0.22	0.00	11	79%	0.39	1	-0.02	6	83%	0.09
Gordon Hayward	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.12,-0.07,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.11,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.24	0.24	0.08	0.16	0.00	12	71%	0.39	5	-0.14	14	86%	0.05
Marvin Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.05,0.02,0.02,0.21,0.21	0.21	0.03	0.17	-0.01	9	67%	0.32	2	-0.11	0	0%	0.00
Enes Kanter	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.10	0.06	0.01	10	81%	0.23	3	-0.08	6	83%	0.00
Derrick Favors	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02	0.02	-0.01	0.05	0.02	7	55%	0.09	3	-0.07	8	25%	-0.07
Michael Harris	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.00	1	50%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Alec Burks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.07	-0.02	-0.01	10	32%	-0.06	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
John Lucas III	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.15	-0.02	-0.02	7	7%	-0.10	2	-0.05	1	100%	0.00
Diante Garrett	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.16,-0.16	-0.16	-0.04	-0.13	0.00	5	70%	0.07	4	-0.23	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.4	1.8	31.3	14.7	27.6	1.7	33.3	134.7
league avg	24.7	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.4	136.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

UTA +35.9%

UTA +13.7%

UTA +34.7%

NOP -37.6%

UTA +3.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NOP	UTA	NBA	NOP	UTA	NBA
this game	15.1	15.3	15.1	110.5	116.8	105.2
season	15.5	16.2		105.6	102.1
opponent	14.8	15.3		109.6	108.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NOP	13.8	15.6	14.9	16.1	15.1
UTA	16.2	15.7	14.5	14.6	15.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Orleans Pelicans
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Austin Rivers	26	24	0.31	-0.81	1.12	0.05	9	-15	24	14.5	15.3	-0.76	18.5	14.2	4.28
Lou Amundson	35	36	0.22	-0.72	0.93	0.01	7	-13	20	15.2	15.0	0.19	15.9	14.9	1.01
Al-Farouq Aminu	41	44	0.18	-0.68	0.86	0.01	6	-12	18	14.4	15.6	-1.21	15.6	15.0	0.65
Jeff Withey	19	17	0.16	-0.66	0.82	0.01	5	-11	16	13.6	15.4	-1.78	17.5	14.8	2.76
Anthony Morrow	27	27	-0.13	-0.37	0.23	0.04	-6	0	-6	16.0	14.7	1.32	14.8	15.4	-0.63
Tyreke Evans	57	54	-0.60	0.10	-0.70	-0.34	-9	3	-12	15.4	14.5	0.88	15.4	15.1	0.29
Eric Gordon	67	69	-0.61	0.11	-0.72	-0.32	-10	4	-14	15.2	14.6	0.58	14.3	17.7	-3.34
Jrue Holiday	68	69	-0.66	0.16	-0.82	-0.40	-9	3	-12	14.7	16.0	-1.27	14.6	17.0	-2.39
Jason Smith	66	65	-0.67	0.17	-0.84	-0.35	-11	5	-16	15.3	14.5	0.77	14.6	16.6	-1.95
Anthony Davis	69	70	-0.70	0.20	-0.89	-0.34	-12	6	-18	15.3	14.4	0.92	15.3	15.2	0.03

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Richard Jefferson	63	65	0.81	-0.31	1.12	0.43	13	-7	20	15.2	15.4	-0.26	14.9	15.3	-0.41
Marvin Williams	50	51	0.72	-0.22	0.95	0.34	13	-7	20	15.8	14.6	1.18	15.4	14.7	0.65
Gordon Hayward	85	83	0.48	0.02	0.46	0.36	4	2	2	14.9	18.5	-3.62	15.1	15.0	0.06
Diante Garrett	42	43	0.47	0.03	0.44	0.33	5	1	4	14.7	15.7	-0.98	16.0	14.3	1.69
Derrick Favors	64	64	0.30	0.20	0.09	0.38	-3	9	-12	14.9	16.1	-1.24	14.7	15.8	-1.17
Michael Harris	10	13	0.04	0.46	-0.42	-0.02	2	4	-2	18.5	14.9	3.62	14.4	15.2	-0.77
Enes Kanter	76	74	-0.03	0.53	-0.57	-0.09	2	4	-2	15.2	15.4	-0.13	15.3	14.2	1.05
Alec Burks	53	52	-0.06	0.56	-0.61	-0.14	3	3	0	15.3	15.2	0.13	15.2	14.9	0.31
John Lucas III	32	30	-0.23	0.73	-0.95	0.04	-9	15	-24	16.1	14.9	1.21	13.8	15.6	-1.88

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.46,0.51,0.5,0.45,0.45,0.43,0.38,0.34,0.32,0.35,0.32,0.34,0.34,0.33,0.35,0.28,0.29,0.36,0.31,0.2,0.18,0.22,0.12,0.09,0.15,0.22,0.24,0.35,0.22,0.31,0.48,0.48,0.4,0.34,0.25,0.25,0.2,0.19,0.3,0.41,0.53,0.38,0.61,0.69,0.73,1
Game		Similarity Score
HOU 103, WAS 105	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.46,0.44,0.47,0.47,0.43,0.41,0.44,0.38,0.32,0.3,0.34,0.38,0.38,0.27,0.24,0.18,0.17,0.29,0.28,0.3,0.33,0.2,0.19,0.18,0.11,0.19,0.24,0.29,0.35,0.45,0.52,0.48,0.44,0.26,0.22,0.29,0.29,0.37,0.36,0.27,0.47,0.38,0.63,0.78,0.73,1	93.0%
WAS 97, UTA 103	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.48,0.46,0.49,0.47,0.45,0.4,0.43,0.38,0.36,0.37,0.45,0.42,0.43,0.35,0.37,0.39,0.34,0.31,0.33,0.25,0.23,0.33,0.24,0.2,0.25,0.22,0.26,0.26,0.29,0.31,0.41,0.33,0.44,0.46,0.26,0.33,0.34,0.28,0.36,0.47,0.39,0.45,0.54,0.69,0.72,1	93.0%
CLE 91, DEN 98	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.47,0.49,0.45,0.38,0.38,0.32,0.35,0.36,0.3,0.31,0.35,0.28,0.28,0.34,0.34,0.26,0.27,0.22,0.2,0.21,0.23,0.2,0.22,0.28,0.42,0.35,0.31,0.37,0.37,0.36,0.34,0.38,0.38,0.47,0.32,0.36,0.47,0.6,0.45,0.63,0.57,0.72,1	92.7%