NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Portland Trail Blazers	83		Excitement	8.4 [192]		MVP	Steve Francis (HOU): +46.9%
Houston Rockets	86		Comeback	3.5 [437]		LVP	Rasheed Wallace (POR): -30.9%

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Dale Davis	0.18	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.10	0.10	0.01	7	86%	0.18	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ruben Patterson	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.02	0.06	-0.00	4	75%	0.11	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Antonio Daniels	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.00	0.03	-0.00	2	50%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Zach Randolph	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.00	0.01	-0.00	2	50%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Damon Stoudamire	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	-0.01	7	53%	0.04	1	-0.04	1	100%	0.01
Scottie Pippen	-0.01	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.02	-0.01	0.01	7	75%	0.07	3	-0.08	2	100%	0.01
Arvydas Sabonis	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.02,0.03,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,-0.05	-0.00	-0.04	0.00	10	57%	0.01	2	-0.06	1	0%	-0.11
Jeff McInnis	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.04	-0.08	-0.01	7	44%	-0.03	1	-0.08	4	100%	0.05
Bonzi Wells	-0.30	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.2,-0.3,-0.3,-0.3,-0.3	-0.14	-0.18	-0.01	15	35%	-0.15	3	-0.15	4	100%	0.02
Rasheed Wallace	-0.31	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.16,-0.16,-0.2,-0.07,-0.07,-0.16,-0.25,-0.31	-0.13	-0.18	-0.00	14	28%	-0.28	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.03

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Steve Francis	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0.01,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.3,0.47	0.47	0.03	0.42	-0.01	22	56%	0.50	1	-0.03	10	70%	-0.02
Yao Ming	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.02	0.01	2	100%	0.08	2	-0.05	3	100%	0.02
Glen Rice	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.01	0.00	5	50%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Juaquin Hawkins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	-0.01	-0.01	5	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jason Collier	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Moochie Norris	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	3	67%	0.04	2	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Kenny Thomas	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	-0.05	-0.00	11	55%	0.03	2	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Maurice Taylor	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.06	-0.03	-0.00	6	17%	-0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Cuttino Mobley	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.16	-0.12	-0.05	-0.01	12	28%	-0.12	2	-0.04	1	100%	0.01
Eddie Griffin	0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.1,-0.1,-0.22	-0.22	-0.02	-0.19	0.01	14	47%	-0.19	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.1	2.0	25.2	15.7	29.0	2.5	31.6	128.0
league avg	46.1	2.3	28.0	14.7	24.5	2.3	29.9	149.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

HOU +30.6%

POR -7.2%

HOU +18.9%

HOU +6.2%

HOU +1.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	POR	HOU	NBA	POR	HOU	NBA
this game	17.8	16.4	15.5	98.8	102.4	101.6
season	16.0	16.3		104.3	101.7
opponent	15.4	15.7		100.4	101.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
POR	16.4	18.4	18.5	18.1	17.8
HOU	17.9	17.6	14.2	16.2	16.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Damon Stoudamire	39	39	0.30	-0.80	1.09	-0.06	12	-15	27	16.7	18.9	-2.20	16.6	16.3	0.33
Zach Randolph	16	14	0.13	-0.63	0.76	0.07	2	-5	7	15.2	18.5	-3.21	15.6	16.6	-1.04
Arvydas Sabonis	36	36	0.04	-0.54	0.59	0.13	-3	0	-3	17.5	18.1	-0.60	14.0	18.3	-4.32
Ruben Patterson	25	24	0.03	-0.53	0.57	0.15	-4	1	-5	18.9	17.4	1.47	16.8	16.3	0.55
Antonio Daniels	34	32	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	0.02	-6	3	-9	18.4	17.4	1.00	14.3	17.8	-3.49
Scottie Pippen	50	52	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.43	3	-6	9	17.4	18.4	-1.00	17.8	14.3	3.49
Bonzi Wells	58	60	-0.52	0.02	-0.55	-0.55	1	-4	5	17.7	18.2	-0.56	16.3	16.8	-0.55
Dale Davis	55	56	-0.59	0.09	-0.67	-0.50	-3	0	-3	18.2	17.1	1.08	17.3	14.6	2.70
Rasheed Wallace	62	62	-0.60	0.10	-0.70	-0.54	-2	-1	-1	18.1	17.0	1.08	17.3	14.1	3.12
Jeff McInnis	45	45	-0.80	0.30	-1.09	-0.36	-15	12	-27	18.9	16.7	2.20	16.3	16.6	-0.33

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kenny Thomas	56	57	0.73	-0.23	0.96	0.47	9	-6	15	17.0	15.3	1.68	17.7	18.1	-0.34
Eddie Griffin	60	61	0.59	-0.09	0.69	0.53	2	1	1	16.4	16.4	0.03	17.9	17.7	0.21
Glen Rice	35	32	0.51	-0.01	0.53	0.49	1	2	-1	15.6	17.1	-1.49	19.2	17.0	2.27
Steve Francis	78	77	0.51	-0.01	0.53	0.46	2	1	1	16.6	13.8	2.81	17.9	17.4	0.45
Cuttino Mobley	68	66	0.51	-0.01	0.52	0.42	3	0	3	15.7	19.4	-3.70	17.4	19.4	-1.96
Juaquin Hawkins	40	42	0.07	0.43	-0.36	-0.14	7	-4	11	16.3	16.5	-0.17	17.8	17.9	-0.02
Moochie Norris	22	25	-0.02	0.52	-0.55	-0.05	1	2	-1	17.9	15.9	1.99	18.8	17.4	1.42
Jason Collier	9	10	-0.08	0.58	-0.67	0.06	-5	8	-13	20.2	16.0	4.24	13.4	18.4	-5.05
Maurice Taylor	25	24	-0.14	0.64	-0.78	-0.11	-1	4	-5	16.8	16.3	0.45	17.0	18.2	-1.24
Yao Ming	27	26	-0.19	0.69	-0.87	-0.07	-4	7	-11	15.0	17.1	-2.18	18.8	17.4	1.34

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.45,0.51,0.52,0.46,0.46,0.36,0.34,0.35,0.31,0.29,0.24,0.28,0.26,0.3,0.34,0.33,0.37,0.32,0.32,0.36,0.36,0.33,0.25,0.22,0.31,0.42,0.36,0.27,0.33,0.29,0.31,0.41,0.48,0.52,0.44,0.46,0.34,0.33,0.38,0.37,0.36,0.35,0.6,0.53,0.64,0.45,0.58,1
Game		Similarity Score
DAL 71, DEN 75	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.45,0.41,0.45,0.4,0.4,0.37,0.32,0.26,0.29,0.31,0.29,0.35,0.28,0.27,0.31,0.34,0.36,0.3,0.3,0.29,0.34,0.39,0.36,0.29,0.23,0.28,0.41,0.56,0.6,0.6,0.54,0.43,0.25,0.38,0.27,0.22,0.46,0.6,0.55,0.55,0.67,0.72,1	92.5%
CLE 91, DEN 98	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.47,0.49,0.45,0.38,0.38,0.32,0.35,0.36,0.3,0.31,0.35,0.28,0.28,0.34,0.34,0.26,0.27,0.22,0.2,0.21,0.23,0.2,0.22,0.28,0.42,0.35,0.31,0.37,0.37,0.36,0.34,0.38,0.38,0.47,0.32,0.36,0.47,0.6,0.45,0.63,0.57,0.72,1	91.8%
UTA 72, MIA 74	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.42,0.4,0.36,0.4,0.41,0.45,0.45,0.4,0.35,0.36,0.34,0.32,0.36,0.36,0.33,0.31,0.37,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.33,0.3,0.33,0.35,0.34,0.34,0.36,0.39,0.35,0.35,0.45,0.41,0.48,0.6,0.46,0.38,0.25,0.43,0.53,0.53,0.6,0.47,0.68,0.61,0.65,0.58,1	91.2%