NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Dallas Mavericks	71		Excitement	7.9 [274]		MVP	Carmelo Anthony (DEN): +21.9%
Denver Nuggets	75		Comeback	5.8 [175]		LVP	Jason Terry (DAL): -24.9%

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Devin Harris	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.08	0.05	0.00	5	91%	0.15	1	-0.03	1	0%	-0.01
Erick Dampier	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.06	0.05	0.01	5	79%	0.13	1	-0.03	4	75%	-0.00
DeSagana Diop	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.02	0.02	-0.00	1	67%	0.04	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.01
Austin Croshere	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Josh Howard	-0.03	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.00	0.00	4	25%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Greg Buckner	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.07	-0.03	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Devean George	-0.16	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.11	-0.05	0.00	10	20%	-0.14	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Dirk Nowitzki	-0.16	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.04,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.15,-0.16,-0.16	-0.12	-0.03	0.02	23	45%	0.05	6	-0.21	3	100%	0.06
Jerry Stackhouse	-0.24	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.18,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.24	-0.12	-0.13	-0.00	12	27%	-0.14	2	-0.10	2	100%	0.01
Jason Terry	-0.25	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.17,-0.17,-0.04,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.25	-0.14	-0.12	-0.02	20	32%	-0.06	3	-0.19	0	0%	0.00

Denver Nuggets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Carmelo Anthony	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.12,-0.15,-0.1,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.04,0.19,0.22	0.22	-0.02	0.25	0.01	21	43%	0.25	1	-0.03	11	82%	0.03
Nene	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.04	0.11	-0.01	12	62%	0.23	3	-0.07	2	100%	0.02
Reggie Evans	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	50%	0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Linas Kleiza	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	3	50%	0.03	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Steve Blake	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.05	-0.01	0.01	5	42%	-0.01	2	-0.06	2	50%	-0.01
J.R. Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.06	-0.04	-0.01	4	0%	-0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Allen Iverson	0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.09,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.06,-0.06,-0.13,-0.13,-0.07,-0.07,-0.14,-0.03,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.08	-0.04	0.02	23	42%	-0.06	3	-0.08	6	67%	0.00
Marcus Camby	0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.19,-0.22	-0.22	-0.09	-0.14	-0.01	8	25%	-0.20	1	-0.02	4	75%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.0	3.0	31.3	18.3	24.5	3.5	33.5	139.1
league avg	28.7	2.4	29.9	15.9	26.5	2.4	34.0	141.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DAL -0.9%

DEN +21.2%

DAL -4.0%

DEN +39.9%

DAL -6.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DAL	DEN	NBA	DAL	DEN	NBA
this game	17.9	13.9	15.4	78.9	82.4	104.5
season	16.3	14.0		108.7	105.8
opponent	15.3	15.2		104.5	102.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DAL	16.9	18.7	19.2	17.0	17.9
DEN	14.4	12.6	13.5	15.1	13.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
DeSagana Diop	16	16	0.10	-0.60	0.71	-0.07	6	-10	16	15.2	18.5	-3.25	14.5	13.8	0.70
Josh Howard	13	14	0.07	-0.57	0.65	-0.04	4	-8	12	18.0	17.9	0.09	15.4	13.6	1.78
Austin Croshere	6	7	-0.02	-0.48	0.45	-0.02	0	-4	4	17.7	17.9	-0.27	12.4	14.0	-1.62
Devin Harris	62	65	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	-0.14	1	-5	6	17.4	19.0	-1.56	13.9	14.0	-0.11
Devean George	51	51	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.10	-6	2	-8	17.9	18.0	-0.09	13.2	14.8	-1.65
Greg Buckner	40	37	-0.37	-0.13	-0.25	-0.14	-8	4	-12	17.6	18.2	-0.58	14.4	13.6	0.81
Dirk Nowitzki	66	67	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	-0.38	-1	-3	2	18.5	16.2	2.34	14.1	13.5	0.57
Jerry Stackhouse	55	55	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	-0.39	-2	-2	0	17.5	18.6	-1.11	13.6	14.4	-0.72
Erick Dampier	70	71	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	-0.26	-8	4	-12	18.3	16.7	1.57	13.7	14.7	-1.06
Jason Terry	71	72	-0.55	0.05	-0.60	-0.38	-6	2	-8	18.6	15.5	3.10	14.2	12.7	1.57

Denver Nuggets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Marcus Camby	72	72	0.80	-0.30	1.10	0.42	13	-9	22	13.2	16.6	-3.42	18.7	14.7	4.07
Carmelo Anthony	79	79	0.73	-0.23	0.96	0.52	7	-3	10	13.8	14.7	-0.86	17.6	20.0	-2.37
Nene	80	78	0.70	-0.20	0.89	0.40	10	-6	16	13.8	14.5	-0.71	18.5	14.3	4.14
Allen Iverson	75	74	0.59	-0.09	0.67	0.32	9	-5	14	14.2	12.7	1.42	17.9	18.0	-0.09
J.R. Smith	43	43	0.36	0.14	0.23	0.33	1	3	-2	14.6	13.4	1.20	16.6	19.2	-2.61
Linas Kleiza	38	38	-0.11	0.61	-0.72	-0.05	-2	6	-8	13.0	14.6	-1.54	17.7	18.1	-0.32
Reggie Evans	7	7	-0.12	0.62	-0.74	0.09	-7	11	-18	18.0	13.6	4.42	13.6	18.3	-4.72
Steve Blake	61	59	-0.45	0.95	-1.40	-0.13	-11	15	-26	14.4	13.0	1.33	18.2	17.3	0.91

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.45,0.41,0.45,0.4,0.4,0.37,0.32,0.26,0.29,0.31,0.29,0.35,0.28,0.27,0.31,0.34,0.36,0.3,0.3,0.29,0.34,0.39,0.36,0.29,0.23,0.28,0.41,0.56,0.6,0.6,0.54,0.43,0.25,0.38,0.27,0.22,0.46,0.6,0.55,0.55,0.67,0.72,1
Game		Similarity Score
POR 83, HOU 86	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.51,0.52,0.46,0.46,0.36,0.34,0.35,0.31,0.29,0.24,0.28,0.26,0.3,0.34,0.33,0.37,0.32,0.32,0.36,0.36,0.33,0.25,0.22,0.31,0.42,0.36,0.27,0.33,0.29,0.31,0.41,0.48,0.52,0.44,0.46,0.34,0.33,0.38,0.37,0.36,0.35,0.6,0.53,0.64,0.45,0.58,1	92.5%
UTA 72, MIA 74	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.42,0.4,0.36,0.4,0.41,0.45,0.45,0.4,0.35,0.36,0.34,0.32,0.36,0.36,0.33,0.31,0.37,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.33,0.3,0.33,0.35,0.34,0.34,0.36,0.39,0.35,0.35,0.45,0.41,0.48,0.6,0.46,0.38,0.25,0.43,0.53,0.53,0.6,0.47,0.68,0.61,0.65,0.58,1	91.2%
UTA 95, WAS 96	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.57,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.4,0.36,0.29,0.27,0.26,0.23,0.24,0.31,0.23,0.3,0.27,0.34,0.42,0.39,0.27,0.33,0.35,0.38,0.52,0.56,0.67,0.52,0.42,0.43,0.33,0.29,0.42,0.36,0.53,0.54,0.53,0.63,0.84,0.63,1	90.8%