NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Utah Jazz	95		Excitement	8.9 [150]		MVP	Raja Bell (UTA): +51.8%
Washington Wizards	96		Comeback	3.6 [699]		LVP	Mehmet Okur (UTA): -31.7%

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Raja Bell	0.52	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.52	0.10	0.42	-0.00	10	73%	0.52	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Andrei Kirilenko	0.10	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.02	0.09	0.01	12	68%	0.17	3	-0.07	17	76%	0.02
Gordan Giricek	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.01	0.00	6	75%	0.09	2	-0.07	4	50%	-0.02
Matt Harpring	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.06,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.05	0.05	0.00	14	47%	0.08	2	-0.08	4	75%	0.01
Ben Handlogten	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	4	56%	0.01	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.01
Kris Humphries	-0.05	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.01	4	25%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Keith McLeod	-0.06	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.01	-0.04	0.01	5	50%	-0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Howard Eisley	-0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.08,0.01,-0.15	-0.01	-0.13	0.00	4	58%	-0.06	1	-0.08	4	75%	-0.01
Mehmet Okur	-0.32	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.21,-0.32,-0.32,-0.32	-0.11	-0.21	-0.00	4	42%	0.01	4	-0.32	4	75%	-0.01

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Steve Blake	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.2,0.2	0.20	0.10	0.10	0.00	10	75%	0.22	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Gilbert Arenas	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.12,-0.13,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.19,-0.23,-0.14,-0.2,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.19,-0.17,-0.2,0.08	0.08	-0.17	0.24	-0.01	16	50%	0.28	7	-0.20	12	83%	0.25
Michael Ruffin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Laron Profit	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	6	53%	0.01	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.00
Brendan Haywood	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	0.00	0.01	5	80%	0.09	3	-0.09	5	80%	0.01
Damone Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Etan Thomas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	0.00	5	67%	0.06	3	-0.10	2	100%	0.02
Jared Jeffries	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.10	-0.02	0.02	10	36%	-0.06	3	-0.08	2	100%	0.01
Larry Hughes	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.1,-0.19,-0.19	-0.19	-0.06	-0.15	-0.02	18	48%	-0.09	2	-0.11	8	62%	-0.11

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.0	2.4	29.5	14.8	31.1	1.8	36.0	141.6
league avg	51.6	2.4	28.6	12.7	25.1	2.1	30.4	153.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

UTA -38.9%

WAS +60.6%

WAS +15.2%

WAS +14.3%

UTA -1.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	UTA	WAS	NBA	UTA	WAS	NBA
this game	15.9	15.8	15.5	104.4	105.5	104.0
season	16.7	14.7		102.3	104.7
opponent	15.5	15.1		105.5	106.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
UTA	19.0	11.8	17.8	15.3	15.9
WAS	14.4	18.2	13.5	16.7	15.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Gordan Giricek	39	41	0.02	-0.52	0.55	-0.15	6	-7	13	15.3	16.3	-1.02	15.5	16.0	-0.49
Kris Humphries	21	20	-0.18	-0.32	0.15	0.09	-9	8	-17	19.2	14.9	4.35	13.3	16.4	-3.09
Ben Handlogten	36	34	-0.20	-0.30	0.11	-0.02	-6	5	-11	16.7	15.3	1.38	15.1	16.1	-0.98
Matt Harpring	70	70	-0.28	-0.22	-0.05	-0.54	9	-10	19	14.9	19.2	-4.35	16.6	13.1	3.46
Keith McLeod	38	36	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	0.02	-11	10	-21	19.5	13.3	6.24	13.2	17.4	-4.15
Mehmet Okur	55	57	-0.30	-0.20	-0.11	-0.45	5	-6	11	15.3	16.7	-1.38	16.1	15.1	0.98
Howard Eisley	29	31	-0.45	-0.05	-0.39	-0.47	1	-2	3	14.5	16.5	-2.02	16.8	15.2	1.54
Raja Bell	61	61	-0.50	0.00	-0.51	-0.21	-10	9	-19	16.5	14.7	1.73	15.7	16.0	-0.31
Andrei Kirilenko	82	81	-0.57	0.07	-0.63	-0.60	1	-2	3	15.7	17.2	-1.48	15.9	14.8	1.08

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Larry Hughes	82	82	0.74	-0.24	0.98	0.50	8	-7	15	15.5	18.1	-2.61	16.1	14.2	1.85
Brendan Haywood	58	59	0.73	-0.23	0.97	0.38	12	-11	23	14.9	17.3	-2.38	16.9	14.0	2.96
Jared Jeffries	87	86	0.64	-0.14	0.78	0.43	7	-6	13	15.5	21.5	-6.01	15.9	15.8	0.10
Gilbert Arenas	76	77	0.49	0.01	0.49	0.55	-2	3	-5	15.4	17.5	-2.05	16.7	11.6	5.02
Steve Blake	55	53	0.42	0.08	0.34	0.51	-3	4	-7	16.9	14.0	2.86	14.3	18.2	-3.89
Laron Profit	42	44	-0.06	0.56	-0.63	-0.12	2	-1	3	14.3	17.0	-2.78	17.6	14.3	3.25
Michael Ruffin	9	9	-0.11	0.61	-0.73	0.03	-5	6	-11	19.8	15.3	4.46	12.4	16.3	-3.82
Damone Brown	4	5	-0.14	0.64	-0.78	0.04	-6	7	-13	21.5	15.5	6.01	15.8	15.9	-0.10
Etan Thomas	42	40	-0.21	0.71	-0.92	0.02	-8	9	-17	17.2	14.5	2.70	13.6	17.7	-4.13

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.57,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.4,0.36,0.29,0.27,0.26,0.23,0.24,0.31,0.23,0.3,0.27,0.34,0.42,0.39,0.27,0.33,0.35,0.38,0.52,0.56,0.67,0.52,0.42,0.43,0.33,0.29,0.42,0.36,0.53,0.54,0.53,0.63,0.84,0.63,1
Game		Similarity Score
ORL 88, UTA 90	0.5,0.49,0.55,0.53,0.55,0.54,0.54,0.59,0.57,0.55,0.6,0.55,0.56,0.5,0.47,0.4,0.47,0.49,0.4,0.32,0.29,0.2,0.28,0.28,0.41,0.37,0.34,0.34,0.39,0.39,0.48,0.42,0.41,0.41,0.48,0.44,0.36,0.42,0.52,0.38,0.33,0.23,0.36,0.4,0.47,0.53,0.64,0.78,0.74,1	91.5%
DAL 71, DEN 75	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.45,0.41,0.45,0.4,0.4,0.37,0.32,0.26,0.29,0.31,0.29,0.35,0.28,0.27,0.31,0.34,0.36,0.3,0.3,0.29,0.34,0.39,0.36,0.29,0.23,0.28,0.41,0.56,0.6,0.6,0.54,0.43,0.25,0.38,0.27,0.22,0.46,0.6,0.55,0.55,0.67,0.72,1	90.8%
CLE 104, ORL 108	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.55,0.53,0.51,0.45,0.49,0.54,0.46,0.47,0.42,0.38,0.4,0.35,0.34,0.25,0.25,0.23,0.23,0.25,0.33,0.26,0.34,0.36,0.33,0.24,0.32,0.32,0.41,0.48,0.52,0.44,0.5,0.52,0.43,0.48,0.58,0.69,0.42,0.67,0.61,0.66,0.69,0.84,1	90.8%