NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Phoenix Suns	104		Excitement	9.0 [138]		MVP	Gerald Green (PHX): +25.2%
Dallas Mavericks	107		Comeback	2.5 [643]		LVP	PJ Tucker (PHX): -22.4%

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Gerald Green	0.25	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.11,0.15,0.17,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.1,0.19,0.19,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.21,0.27,0.39,0.39,0.39,0.39,0.39,0.25	0.20	0.05	-0.00	19	70%	0.29	1	-0.04	5	100%	0.05
Eric Bledsoe	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.15,0.1	0.06	0.04	0.01	7	78%	0.16	2	-0.07	4	75%	0.03
Archie Goodwin	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	-0.01	0.09	-0.00	4	50%	0.10	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Marcus Morris	0.02	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.07,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.08	-0.05	0.01	9	63%	0.02	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
TJ Warren	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.00	-0.04	-0.00	9	50%	0.03	1	-0.07	2	50%	-0.01
Brandan Wright	-0.05	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05	-0.03	-0.05	-0.02	8	50%	-0.02	2	-0.03	2	50%	-0.02
Markieff Morris	-0.08	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.08	0.01	-0.08	0.01	16	51%	-0.02	2	-0.05	5	100%	0.02
PJ Tucker	-0.22	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22	-0.11	-0.13	-0.02	10	30%	-0.02	3	-0.20	0	0%	0.00

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Dirk Nowitzki	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.09,0.09,-0.01,0.07	0.07	0.04	0.03	0.00	15	54%	0.09	1	-0.02	5	80%	-0.01
Amar'e Stoudemire	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.06	-0.01	-0.00	5	83%	0.11	1	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Devin Harris	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.03	0.02	0.00	9	57%	0.07	1	-0.02	3	67%	-0.00
Tyson Chandler	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.06	-0.01	0.01	9	60%	0.04	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Monta Ellis	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.02	0.01	21	48%	0.05	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Jose Juan Barea	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.02	-0.00	6	43%	0.01	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.04
Richard Jefferson	0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.04	0.02	0.00	8	37%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Charlie Villanueva	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.04,0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.06	-0.08	0.00	7	64%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rajon Rondo	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0,-0.03	-0.03	0.05	-0.07	0.01	9	67%	0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Al-Farouq Aminu	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.10	-0.04	-0.00	5	8%	-0.12	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.3	3.4	26.6	17.5	28.5	3.3	40.4	146.0
league avg	24.6	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHX -17.1%

PHX -15.8%

DAL +38.3%

DAL +26.8%

DAL +17.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHX	DAL	NBA	PHX	DAL	NBA
this game	15.1	15.1	15.1	108.3	112.6	104.2
season	14.4	14.6		103.7	107.6
opponent	15.0	15.0		105.0	104.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHX	15.2	15.0	15.0	15.3	15.1
DAL	14.2	15.0	15.0	16.0	15.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
TJ Warren	49	47	-0.09	-0.41	0.33	0.03	-4	1	-5	14.8	15.4	-0.69	14.5	15.6	-1.14
Marcus Morris	64	64	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	-0.14	-1	-2	1	16.3	12.7	3.61	15.6	14.0	1.58
Archie Goodwin	34	31	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	0.09	-9	6	-15	14.4	15.5	-1.06	13.9	15.6	-1.67
PJ Tucker	54	54	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.38	4	-7	11	15.5	14.5	0.97	15.7	14.3	1.40
Eric Bledsoe	62	64	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.50	6	-9	15	15.5	14.4	1.06	15.6	13.9	1.67
Gerald Green	62	60	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	-0.24	-5	2	-7	14.4	16.3	-1.86	15.1	15.0	0.15
Markieff Morris	80	80	-0.54	0.04	-0.58	-0.45	-3	0	-3	15.1	15.0	0.11	14.7	17.0	-2.30
Brandan Wright	75	75	-0.56	0.06	-0.62	-0.47	-3	0	-3	14.5	17.2	-2.68	14.9	15.7	-0.81

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Richard Jefferson	56	54	0.60	-0.10	0.71	0.43	6	-3	9	15.0	15.1	-0.07	15.4	14.7	0.67
Tyson Chandler	66	67	0.59	-0.09	0.68	0.41	6	-3	9	15.0	15.3	-0.31	15.7	13.7	2.01
Dirk Nowitzki	61	66	0.55	-0.05	0.61	0.23	11	-8	19	14.5	16.0	-1.50	15.1	15.1	0.04
Rajon Rondo	58	58	0.49	0.01	0.48	0.43	2	1	1	15.4	14.5	0.99	15.7	14.2	1.46
Monta Ellis	67	68	0.46	0.04	0.42	0.43	1	2	-1	15.0	15.2	-0.16	15.4	14.2	1.19
Jose Juan Barea	34	34	0.09	0.41	-0.32	-0.03	4	-1	5	14.7	15.2	-0.51	13.9	15.7	-1.78
Al-Farouq Aminu	44	44	0.02	0.48	-0.45	0.29	-9	12	-21	14.5	15.5	-1.01	14.9	15.2	-0.30
Devin Harris	38	39	0.01	0.49	-0.47	-0.02	1	2	-1	14.1	15.7	-1.64	13.9	15.9	-1.97
Amar'e Stoudemire	28	28	-0.09	0.59	-0.69	-0.01	-3	6	-9	15.8	14.7	1.08	14.1	15.5	-1.44
Charlie Villanueva	25	23	-0.20	0.70	-0.90	-0.05	-5	8	-13	16.8	14.4	2.41	15.2	15.1	0.11

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.49,0.44,0.44,0.45,0.43,0.37,0.35,0.42,0.42,0.43,0.38,0.42,0.47,0.47,0.44,0.44,0.49,0.56,0.56,0.51,0.46,0.42,0.48,0.43,0.45,0.45,0.48,0.45,0.45,0.41,0.41,0.52,0.6,0.5,0.52,0.57,0.53,0.53,0.47,0.49,0.34,0.38,0.54,0.68,0.73,1
Game		Similarity Score
CHI 87, MIA 95	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.42,0.44,0.43,0.49,0.47,0.45,0.42,0.44,0.43,0.45,0.4,0.49,0.44,0.42,0.44,0.44,0.56,0.58,0.59,0.59,0.5,0.45,0.4,0.48,0.45,0.42,0.42,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.4,0.44,0.46,0.48,0.57,0.62,0.47,0.59,0.4,0.47,0.61,0.46,0.77,0.85,1	92.7%
POR 103, NYK 107	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.49,0.45,0.39,0.39,0.37,0.35,0.38,0.4,0.37,0.45,0.45,0.38,0.38,0.46,0.51,0.54,0.56,0.61,0.64,0.59,0.51,0.54,0.45,0.48,0.39,0.55,0.52,0.52,0.45,0.48,0.4,0.4,0.5,0.34,0.43,0.47,0.53,0.41,0.41,0.39,0.38,0.54,0.9,0.73,1	92.4%
LAC 88, GSW 89	0.5,0.51,0.45,0.43,0.48,0.5,0.53,0.55,0.55,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.44,0.48,0.44,0.42,0.36,0.44,0.35,0.39,0.36,0.44,0.51,0.51,0.44,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.39,0.37,0.42,0.48,0.45,0.44,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.42,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.42,0.53,0.6,0.4,0.61,0.36,0.68,0.86,1	91.6%