NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Portland Trail Blazers	103		Excitement	8.8 [172]		MVP	Mindaugas Kuzminskas (NYK): +24.0%
New York Knicks	107		Comeback	2.4 [533]		LVP	Damian Lillard (POR): -20.0%

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Evan Turner	0.17	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.21,0.17,0.23,0.23,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.06	0.12	-0.00	8	58%	0.17	0	0.00	3	100%	0.03
Ed Davis	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.08	0.00	0.02	9	78%	0.10	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Mason Plumlee	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.02	0.00	5	69%	0.12	4	-0.12	3	33%	-0.04
Noah Vonleh	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	0	100%	0.02	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Allen Crabbe	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.1,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	7	37%	-0.03	0	0.00	5	80%	0.03
Meyers Leonard	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05	-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	9	35%	-0.05	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Maurice Harkless	-0.06	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.03	-0.04	-0.01	13	50%	0.02	3	-0.08	4	50%	-0.03
CJ McCollum	-0.08	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.03	-0.04	0.01	17	43%	-0.04	1	-0.03	3	100%	0.02
Damian Lillard	-0.20	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,0.04,0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.2	-0.02	-0.17	0.01	18	55%	0.03	5	-0.23	4	100%	0.04

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Mindaugas Kuzminskas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.07,0.07,0.24,0.24,0.24	0.24	0.07	0.17	0.00	6	83%	0.26	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Kristaps Porzingis	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.04,0.09,0.1,0.16,0.22,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.17	0.14	0.06	0.02	23	65%	0.25	2	-0.08	2	100%	0.01
Derrick Rose	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.15	0.15	0.05	0.10	0.00	15	56%	0.17	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Willy Hernangomez	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	-0.00	0.07	-0.00	5	82%	0.16	4	-0.09	1	100%	0.01
Justin Holiday	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.04	0.01	0.01	4	87%	0.07	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Maurice Ndour	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.00	1	50%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Courtney Lee	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.06	-0.03	-0.05	8	29%	-0.01	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.00
Brandon Jennings	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	6	33%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kyle O'Quinn	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.07	-0.04	0.01	6	33%	-0.04	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Carmelo Anthony	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.05,0.09,0.06,0.04,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.19,-0.19	-0.19	-0.06	-0.15	-0.01	22	39%	-0.17	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.7	1.8	27.5	16.8	25.2	2.5	29.5	130.0
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.6	15.7	26.8	2.3	33.5	136.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NYK +59.0%

POR -27.9%

NYK +2.9%

NYK +18.8%

POR -2.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	POR	NYK	NBA	POR	NYK	NBA
this game	13.7	14.8	14.8	102.0	105.9	107.7
season	14.9	15.0		108.6	106.6
opponent	14.7	14.5		110.0	109.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
POR	13.2	13.1	13.3	15.6	13.7
NYK	14.5	12.6	15.5	17.1	14.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Mason Plumlee	59	60	0.14	-0.64	0.78	-0.04	6	-10	16	14.4	12.7	1.75	15.0	14.5	0.45
Noah Vonleh	17	16	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	0.02	-2	-2	0	10.8	14.3	-3.54	12.9	15.2	-2.29
Allen Crabbe	53	53	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	0.07	-8	4	-12	13.2	14.3	-1.14	13.3	16.5	-3.20
CJ McCollum	73	72	-0.22	-0.28	0.07	-0.39	6	-10	16	13.6	14.1	-0.55	15.7	12.7	3.01
Meyers Leonard	45	44	-0.25	-0.25	0.01	0.02	-9	5	-14	12.9	14.3	-1.41	12.5	16.6	-4.16
Maurice Harkless	67	70	-0.26	-0.24	-0.01	-0.46	7	-11	18	14.1	12.9	1.30	16.0	12.1	3.95
Ed Davis	66	66	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	-0.40	-1	-3	2	14.1	12.9	1.18	15.7	13.1	2.67
Damian Lillard	73	75	-0.55	0.05	-0.61	-0.47	-3	-1	-2	14.0	13.1	0.89	15.0	14.2	0.77
Evan Turner	52	49	-0.73	0.23	-0.96	-0.26	-16	12	-28	13.9	13.6	0.31	14.4	15.2	-0.76

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Mindaugas Kuzminskas	42	44	0.71	-0.21	0.93	0.36	12	-8	20	14.6	14.9	-0.31	14.1	13.4	0.71
Kristaps Porzingis	81	82	0.58	-0.08	0.66	0.43	5	-1	6	15.1	13.4	1.69	13.9	12.8	1.14
Carmelo Anthony	74	71	0.43	0.07	0.35	0.46	-1	5	-6	15.3	13.4	1.95	14.0	13.1	0.92
Derrick Rose	55	55	0.38	0.12	0.26	0.47	-3	7	-10	15.6	13.8	1.83	15.0	12.2	2.79
Courtney Lee	52	51	0.36	0.14	0.21	0.50	-5	9	-14	16.5	13.0	3.42	14.2	13.2	0.94
Willy Hernangomez	47	49	0.22	0.28	-0.06	-0.04	9	-5	14	12.9	16.4	-3.49	13.2	14.2	-1.03
Brandon Jennings	52	52	0.22	0.28	-0.07	-0.11	11	-7	18	13.2	16.5	-3.24	12.6	14.9	-2.38
Justin Holiday	44	44	0.06	0.44	-0.38	-0.09	5	-1	6	13.3	15.9	-2.59	13.0	14.3	-1.34
Maurice Ndour	7	7	0.01	0.49	-0.49	-0.05	2	2	0	11.3	15.1	-3.78	11.3	13.9	-2.61
Kyle O'Quinn	51	50	-0.46	0.96	-1.42	-0.02	-15	19	-34	16.1	13.4	2.70	13.5	13.9	-0.46

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.49,0.45,0.39,0.39,0.37,0.35,0.38,0.4,0.37,0.45,0.45,0.38,0.38,0.46,0.51,0.54,0.56,0.61,0.64,0.59,0.51,0.54,0.45,0.48,0.39,0.55,0.52,0.52,0.45,0.48,0.4,0.4,0.5,0.34,0.43,0.47,0.53,0.41,0.41,0.39,0.38,0.54,0.9,0.73,1
Game		Similarity Score
PHX 104, DAL 107	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.49,0.44,0.44,0.45,0.43,0.37,0.35,0.42,0.42,0.43,0.38,0.42,0.47,0.47,0.44,0.44,0.49,0.56,0.56,0.51,0.46,0.42,0.48,0.43,0.45,0.45,0.48,0.45,0.45,0.41,0.41,0.52,0.6,0.5,0.52,0.57,0.53,0.53,0.47,0.49,0.34,0.38,0.54,0.68,0.73,1	92.4%
CHI 87, MIA 95	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.42,0.44,0.43,0.49,0.47,0.45,0.42,0.44,0.43,0.45,0.4,0.49,0.44,0.42,0.44,0.44,0.56,0.58,0.59,0.59,0.5,0.45,0.4,0.48,0.45,0.42,0.42,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.4,0.44,0.46,0.48,0.57,0.62,0.47,0.59,0.4,0.47,0.61,0.46,0.77,0.85,1	91.9%
PHX 102, HOU 108	0.5,0.51,0.43,0.4,0.42,0.41,0.39,0.41,0.45,0.43,0.47,0.4,0.47,0.37,0.38,0.42,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.58,0.54,0.58,0.46,0.54,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.52,0.56,0.52,0.52,0.44,0.4,0.42,0.48,0.43,0.37,0.63,0.53,0.59,0.47,0.61,0.63,0.91,0.85,1	91.8%