inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Denver Nuggets 93 Excitement7.9 [235] MVPDarrell Armstrong (ORL): +12.7%
Orlando Magic 103 Comeback4.0 [561] LVPTracy McGrady (ORL): -14.4%


Denver Nuggets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
James Posey0.060,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.030.02-0.00570%0.081-0.0200%0.00
Antonio McDyess0.020,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.05,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.03,0.02,0.020.03-0.04-0.032157%0.102-0.08786%0.00
Robert Pack-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.020.01-0.00250%0.011-0.0200%0.00
Mark Strickland-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.010.0010%-0.0200.0000%0.00
Raef LaFrentz-0.060,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.03-0.06-0.03850%0.022-0.092100%0.02
Keon Clark-0.070,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.06-0.02-0.00933%-0.031-0.0400%0.00
Ryan Bowen-0.090,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.03-0.060.00355%-0.051-0.03540%-0.07
George McCloud-0.100,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1-0.11-0.04-0.051036%-0.061-0.04875%-0.01
Nick Van Exel-0.100,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1-0.01-0.090.001849%-0.081-0.023100%0.03
Voshon Lenard-0.120,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12-0.10-0.04-0.03827%-0.1200.00667%-0.01

Orlando Magic
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Darrell Armstrong0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.01,0.13,0.13,0.130.130.020.11-0.001352%0.1300.00786%0.06
Mike Miller0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.18,0.14,0.09,0.06,0.17,0.12,0.12,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.070.060.01-0.001459%0.121-0.05475%0.00
Michael Doleac0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.020.02-0.01657%0.0400.002100%0.02
Andrew DeClercq0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.000.00-0.001100%0.021-0.0200%0.00
John Amaechi0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.030.02-0.00333%0.011-0.0200%0.00
Pat Garrity0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.01-0.01-0.00939%-0.0200.0000%0.00
Monty Williams0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.01-0.010.010100%0.001-0.032100%0.00
Bo Outlaw0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.01-0.020.00270%-0.021-0.01650%-0.05
Don Reid0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.04-0.010.0010%-0.021-0.0300%0.00
Troy Hudson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14-0.14-0.10-0.04-0.00525%-0.072-0.06250%-0.01
Tracy McGrady0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,-0.06,-0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.06,-0.1,-0.16,-0.11,-0.17,-0.17,-0.16,-0.14,-0.14-0.14-0.06-0.10-0.013151%-0.025-0.12875%-0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game21.22.729.115.829.01.835.7135.3
league avg28.82.228.916.626.22.233.1139.4
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
ORL +25.6%
ORL +3.1%
ORL +25.8%
ORL +6.5%
DEN -10.9%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsDENORLNBADENORLNBA
this game15.614.415.596.9107.3100.9
season15.214.6101.4101.6
opponent15.815.2100.8104.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
DEN14.913.221.114.615.6
ORL15.114.014.114.214.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Denver Nuggets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Keon Clark44430.03-0.530.560.06-1-9815.815.50.3413.115.4-2.35
Mark Strickland55-0.01-0.490.49-0.010-101018.015.52.4912.414.5-2.07
Ryan Bowen4039-0.05-0.450.390.06-4-6214.316.6-2.2014.114.5-0.40
Robert Pack1213-0.10-0.400.290.04-5-5013.416.0-2.5413.514.5-0.96
George McCloud3940-0.27-0.23-0.040.02-100-1014.916.1-1.1613.115.2-2.13
Voshon Lenard6262-0.28-0.22-0.06-0.19-3-7416.114.91.2114.514.00.52
James Posey5151-0.40-0.10-0.29-0.31-3-7416.614.52.1615.313.31.98
Nick Van Exel8483-0.40-0.10-0.29-0.25-5-5016.013.42.5414.513.50.96
Antonio McDyess9089-0.49-0.01-0.49-0.26-8-2-615.419.2-3.7714.79.65.17
Raef LaFrentz5355-0.530.03-0.56-0.21-111-1215.715.60.0614.913.61.36

Orlando Magic
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Pat Garrity52510.73-0.230.970.1819-92813.515.3-1.8014.616.8-2.28
Bo Outlaw77740.61-0.110.720.2313-31614.414.30.0616.014.41.59
Monty Williams18160.60-0.100.710.1914-41812.114.9-2.8417.515.32.24
Tracy McGrady88890.430.070.350.2273414.513.11.3515.418.6-3.17
Darrell Armstrong74750.320.180.130.2337-414.015.5-1.4716.213.52.70
Troy Hudson22210.180.32-0.13-0.0273415.514.01.4713.516.2-2.70
Mike Miller51540.080.42-0.35-0.0446-214.614.10.4815.615.7-0.14
Michael Doleac42420.030.47-0.44-0.0019-814.714.10.6217.913.94.03
Andrew DeClercq12110.030.47-0.45-0.0328-613.114.5-1.4611.216.2-5.03
Don Reid1415-0.090.59-0.690.02-414-1814.214.4-0.1816.115.60.51
John Amaechi3032-0.410.91-1.320.06-1626-4216.513.43.1514.716.1-1.47


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.46,0.43,0.4,0.41,0.43,0.43,0.47,0.4,0.39,0.36,0.4,0.43,0.41,0.42,0.4,0.47,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.53,0.54,0.46,0.33,0.25,0.29,0.25,0.3,0.22,0.33,0.26,0.25,0.3,0.37,0.4,0.36,0.38,0.48,0.57,0.48,0.42,0.47,0.35,0.4,0.38,0.72,0.97,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
TOR 86, MIL 920.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.41,0.38,0.37,0.37,0.35,0.37,0.38,0.32,0.34,0.38,0.43,0.47,0.51,0.44,0.39,0.34,0.44,0.46,0.41,0.39,0.37,0.32,0.28,0.22,0.15,0.14,0.23,0.2,0.28,0.26,0.23,0.28,0.3,0.43,0.47,0.53,0.47,0.47,0.41,0.35,0.39,0.72,0.91,1,192.6%
OKC 99, DAL 1030.5,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.46,0.41,0.42,0.35,0.39,0.35,0.35,0.35,0.38,0.37,0.38,0.34,0.42,0.47,0.51,0.41,0.51,0.56,0.49,0.42,0.39,0.42,0.46,0.43,0.39,0.36,0.36,0.32,0.25,0.22,0.3,0.38,0.52,0.46,0.48,0.52,0.53,0.42,0.49,0.54,0.33,0.45,0.72,0.93,0.84,192.3%
PHX 99, MEM 1040.5,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.5,0.44,0.47,0.43,0.37,0.32,0.35,0.32,0.4,0.4,0.44,0.41,0.45,0.47,0.46,0.44,0.44,0.39,0.34,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.41,0.28,0.33,0.27,0.3,0.29,0.29,0.34,0.34,0.41,0.42,0.5,0.34,0.38,0.29,0.32,0.36,0.46,0.4,0.39,0.55,0.9,0.96,191.7%