NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Seattle SuperSonics	83		Excitement	5.0 [813]		MVP	Jason Terry (DAL): +16.3%
Dallas Mavericks	99		Comeback	1.4 [1293]		LVP	Damien Wilkins (SEA): -8.5%

Seattle SuperSonics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Earl Watson	0.13	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.08	0.05	-0.00	15	65%	0.16	2	-0.03	4	100%	0.01
Nick Collison	0.00	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	-0.02	10	48%	0.04	1	-0.04	3	100%	0.02
Adrian Griffin	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ronald Dupree	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	0.00	0.02	1	100%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Durant	-0.00	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	-0.02	-0.01	16	43%	-0.00	0	0.00	5	80%	0.00
Jeff Green	-0.01	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.03	0.02	0.00	13	39%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Johan Petro	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.01	-0.02	0.01	11	42%	-0.04	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Luke Ridnour	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.02	-0.00	4	50%	-0.03	3	-0.04	2	100%	0.00
Francisco Elson	-0.07	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.02	-0.02	7	19%	-0.03	1	-0.04	2	50%	-0.02
Damien Wilkins	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.07	-0.01	-0.00	7	19%	-0.09	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jason Terry	0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.21	0.02	0.06	11	92%	0.16	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Brandon Bass	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.09	0.05	-0.00	8	72%	0.14	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Erick Dampier	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.08	0.01	0.03	5	83%	0.07	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Tyronn Lue	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	0.00	-0.02	5	60%	0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Josh Howard	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.06,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.01	0.01	14	49%	0.05	1	-0.03	7	71%	0.00
Antoine Wright	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	-0.00	0.00	3	83%	0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jamaal Magloire	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	1	50%	0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Juwan Howard	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.05	-0.01	-0.04	4	25%	-0.02	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jason Kidd	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.05	0.02	-0.01	6	43%	0.02	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Dirk Nowitzki	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	0.00	0.01	14	39%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Devean George	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.02	-0.01	0.02	6	42%	-0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.3	2.5	29.8	16.5	29.3	1.8	27.2	128.5
league avg	27.9	2.4	30.0	16.2	26.6	2.4	33.3	140.1

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DAL +47.9%

SEA -2.1%

SEA -4.4%

DAL +3.7%

DAL +4.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SEA	DAL	NBA	SEA	DAL	NBA
this game	16.7	15.8	15.4	94.3	111.2	105.7
season	14.5	16.1		99.1	108.9
opponent	15.4	15.0		105.0	107.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SEA	19.4	15.1	16.7	15.7	16.7
DAL	14.9	18.3	14.6	15.7	15.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Seattle SuperSonics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Adrian Griffin	7	8	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.06	2	-18	20	11.1	17.2	-6.04	15.9	15.8	0.04
Ronald Dupree	7	8	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.06	2	-18	20	11.1	17.2	-6.04	15.9	15.8	0.04
Francisco Elson	36	38	-0.10	-0.40	0.29	-0.04	-2	-14	12	16.5	16.8	-0.30	15.1	16.4	-1.24
Luke Ridnour	35	35	-0.24	-0.26	0.01	-0.13	-4	-12	8	15.2	17.7	-2.45	16.4	15.5	0.92
Jeff Green	66	64	-0.26	-0.24	-0.03	-0.03	-8	-8	0	17.2	15.2	1.97	16.3	14.7	1.62
Earl Watson	67	68	-0.31	-0.19	-0.11	-0.01	-10	-6	-4	17.2	15.0	2.24	15.8	15.9	-0.02
Johan Petro	60	62	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	0.01	-11	-5	-6	16.4	17.3	-0.85	15.9	15.7	0.25
Nick Collison	54	54	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	-0.00	-14	-2	-12	17.0	16.2	0.76	15.2	16.8	-1.53
Damien Wilkins	41	41	-0.41	-0.09	-0.33	0.03	-15	-1	-14	17.0	16.4	0.60	16.5	15.3	1.15
Kevin Durant	67	67	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	0.14	-20	4	-24	17.5	14.1	3.43	15.6	16.7	-1.18

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Josh Howard	58	58	0.47	0.03	0.44	0.06	14	2	12	15.7	16.2	-0.49	17.4	15.3	2.13
Brandon Bass	46	46	0.42	0.08	0.33	-0.02	15	1	14	16.6	15.0	1.63	16.6	16.8	-0.20
Jason Kidd	51	50	0.36	0.14	0.22	-0.02	13	3	10	14.8	17.2	-2.43	17.1	16.2	0.92
Jason Terry	58	59	0.32	0.18	0.14	-0.03	12	4	8	15.7	16.1	-0.34	18.0	14.1	3.83
Juwan Howard	30	29	0.29	0.21	0.08	0.09	7	9	-2	16.1	15.7	0.34	15.0	17.6	-2.59
Dirk Nowitzki	48	48	0.27	0.23	0.05	-0.05	11	5	6	15.1	16.7	-1.56	17.8	15.4	2.39
Devean George	39	37	0.23	0.27	-0.04	0.02	7	9	-2	16.3	15.5	0.74	16.2	17.1	-0.89
Tyronn Lue	30	30	0.09	0.41	-0.31	0.09	0	16	-16	17.3	15.1	2.20	14.2	18.0	-3.80
Antoine Wright	31	30	0.03	0.47	-0.44	-0.03	2	14	-12	16.2	15.7	0.49	15.3	17.4	-2.13
Erick Dampier	46	46	0.02	0.48	-0.46	-0.01	1	15	-14	15.7	16.0	-0.39	17.6	15.7	1.89
Jamaal Magloire	8	7	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.06	-2	18	-20	15.9	15.8	0.04	11.1	17.2	-6.04

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.46,0.5,0.48,0.47,0.46,0.45,0.45,0.51,0.54,0.58,0.66,0.68,0.69,0.67,0.61,0.61,0.59,0.54,0.61,0.7,0.51,0.6,0.63,0.55,0.61,0.52,0.65,0.65,0.78,0.77,0.83,0.88,0.78,0.74,0.75,0.89,0.91,0.9,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
NYK 94, CHI 101	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.54,0.48,0.51,0.45,0.39,0.45,0.4,0.45,0.51,0.52,0.53,0.6,0.67,0.65,0.63,0.66,0.71,0.66,0.67,0.61,0.64,0.58,0.68,0.63,0.58,0.61,0.58,0.52,0.55,0.66,0.69,0.77,0.85,0.81,0.78,0.85,0.95,0.93,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.4%
SAC 89, SAS 102	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.53,0.58,0.58,0.6,0.53,0.58,0.62,0.6,0.65,0.65,0.61,0.64,0.61,0.64,0.7,0.7,0.6,0.6,0.58,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.65,0.69,0.76,0.83,0.87,0.9,0.85,0.79,0.83,0.91,0.96,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	94.2%
POR 89, ATL 96	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.42,0.44,0.5,0.53,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.62,0.65,0.66,0.62,0.62,0.62,0.59,0.61,0.61,0.66,0.61,0.61,0.67,0.58,0.6,0.57,0.52,0.52,0.61,0.62,0.71,0.76,0.8,0.92,0.92,0.87,0.87,0.85,0.92,0.93,0.92,0.93,0.99,0.99,1,1,0.99,1	94.0%