NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New York Knicks	94		Excitement	5.2 [761]		MVP	Jalen Rose (CHI): +11.0%
Chicago Bulls	101		Comeback	1.6 [669]		LVP	Latrell Sprewell (NYK): -20.9%

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Allan Houston	0.05	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0,-0.04,0.02,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.00	0.04	-0.01	18	57%	0.11	3	-0.06	8	100%	0.04
Michael Doleac	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.01	0.02	-0.00	6	50%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Travis Knight	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shandon Anderson	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Charlie Ward	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.04	-0.02	0.05	9	56%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Othella Harrington	-0.04	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	-0.00	-0.02	7	37%	-0.01	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Lee Nailon	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.06	-0.01	-0.03	7	29%	-0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Clar. Weatherspoon	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.08	-0.01	-0.04	4	20%	-0.02	1	-0.02	2	0%	-0.00
Kurt Thomas	-0.05	0,0,-0.02,0,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05	0.01	-0.02	0.04	18	53%	-0.01	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Howard Eisley	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.03	-0.04	0.00	5	50%	-0.00	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Latrell Sprewell	-0.21	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.12,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.18,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21	-0.07	-0.08	0.06	22	38%	-0.18	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.01

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jalen Rose	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.02,0,0,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.09	0.02	0.01	18	64%	0.12	1	-0.01	8	100%	0.04
Eddy Curry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.07	0.03	0.00	4	93%	0.12	1	-0.02	6	83%	0.00
Donyell Marshall	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.01	0.02	-0.00	8	60%	0.06	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.03
Marcus Fizer	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.00	0.02	-0.02	12	52%	0.05	1	-0.02	3	67%	-0.01
Lonny Baxter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Eddie Robinson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.02	0.00	0.02	3	67%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Fred Hoiberg	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.01	1	25%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Jamal Crawford	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.07	-0.01	-0.01	7	43%	-0.05	1	-0.02	7	71%	-0.02
Tyson Chandler	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.07	-0.02	0.00	6	50%	-0.02	3	-0.07	4	0%	-0.08
Jay Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.07	-0.03	0.01	7	44%	-0.04	2	-0.06	4	50%	0.00
Trenton Hassell	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.16	-0.12	-0.05	-0.01	7	14%	-0.09	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.6	2.5	24.6	16.3	26.7	2.4	36.5	131.5
league avg	46.1	2.3	28.0	14.7	24.5	2.3	29.9	149.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHI +35.3%

CHI +6.0%

CHI +4.8%

CHI +1.6%

CHI +2.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NYK	CHI	NBA	NYK	CHI	NBA
this game	16.1	15.2	15.5	102.2	109.8	101.6
season	15.6	15.0		102.6	98.3
opponent	15.1	15.5		103.3	104.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NYK	16.0	16.6	15.0	16.7	16.1
CHI	14.7	14.7	15.6	16.0	15.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kurt Thomas	66	66	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	-0.27	8	-15	23	15.2	18.4	-3.23	15.7	14.0	1.67
Othella Harrington	49	50	-0.05	-0.45	0.41	-0.08	1	-8	9	15.1	17.1	-1.97	16.2	14.1	2.15
Travis Knight	4	4	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	-0.01	-5	-2	-3	22.5	15.8	6.73	14.0	15.3	-1.30
Lee Nailon	22	20	-0.18	-0.32	0.13	0.11	-10	3	-13	18.3	15.4	2.96	13.7	15.7	-1.90
Shandon Anderson	14	14	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	0.05	-9	2	-11	18.2	15.7	2.53	12.1	15.8	-3.74
Howard Eisley	48	47	-0.25	-0.25	-0.00	-0.04	-7	0	-7	15.4	16.8	-1.40	15.1	15.3	-0.18
Charlie Ward	45	45	-0.25	-0.25	-0.01	-0.19	-2	-5	3	16.7	15.5	1.18	15.3	15.1	0.18
Latrell Sprewell	74	74	-0.27	-0.23	-0.03	-0.33	2	-9	11	15.2	19.5	-4.27	15.8	13.0	2.78
Allan Houston	74	76	-0.34	-0.16	-0.17	-0.42	3	-10	13	15.8	17.1	-1.23	15.7	13.1	2.56
Clar. Weatherspoon	39	39	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	-0.29	-2	-5	3	17.3	15.2	2.16	14.4	15.9	-1.53
Michael Doleac	25	25	-0.41	-0.09	-0.31	0.00	-14	7	-21	17.5	15.5	2.00	13.6	15.9	-2.25

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jalen Rose	85	85	0.44	0.06	0.39	0.30	5	2	3	15.6	10.3	5.36	15.8	19.1	-3.33
Eddie Robinson	29	31	0.38	0.12	0.27	-0.23	21	-14	35	14.5	15.6	-1.10	18.4	14.9	3.50
Eddy Curry	23	23	0.34	0.16	0.18	-0.04	13	-6	19	12.7	16.1	-3.45	19.1	15.0	4.09
Jamal Crawford	36	37	0.26	0.24	0.02	0.03	8	-1	9	16.2	14.6	1.62	16.8	15.6	1.20
Jay Williams	57	56	0.24	0.26	-0.01	0.22	1	6	-5	14.6	16.3	-1.64	15.5	16.9	-1.44
Lonny Baxter	17	16	0.20	0.30	-0.09	-0.06	9	-2	11	11.8	16.0	-4.19	17.4	15.8	1.59
Marcus Fizer	33	33	0.16	0.34	-0.17	0.28	-4	11	-15	16.3	14.7	1.61	16.5	15.8	0.61
Tyson Chandler	68	68	0.15	0.35	-0.19	0.39	-8	15	-23	16.1	12.7	3.37	15.1	18.8	-3.69
Trenton Hassell	53	53	0.15	0.35	-0.20	0.36	-7	14	-21	16.1	14.0	2.11	15.3	17.1	-1.80
Donyell Marshall	42	43	0.13	0.37	-0.24	0.07	2	5	-3	15.8	14.8	1.05	15.3	16.8	-1.48
Fred Hoiberg	17	15	0.02	0.48	-0.45	0.17	-5	12	-17	11.7	16.0	-4.33	15.4	16.2	-0.79

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.54,0.48,0.51,0.45,0.39,0.45,0.4,0.45,0.51,0.52,0.53,0.6,0.67,0.65,0.63,0.66,0.71,0.66,0.67,0.61,0.64,0.58,0.68,0.63,0.58,0.61,0.58,0.52,0.55,0.66,0.69,0.77,0.85,0.81,0.78,0.85,0.95,0.93,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
CHI 112, POR 124	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.54,0.53,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.52,0.58,0.58,0.6,0.62,0.63,0.64,0.58,0.64,0.72,0.72,0.67,0.63,0.6,0.72,0.69,0.55,0.55,0.63,0.62,0.59,0.66,0.77,0.82,0.87,0.89,0.86,0.93,0.93,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.5%
SEA 83, DAL 99	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.46,0.5,0.48,0.47,0.46,0.45,0.45,0.51,0.54,0.58,0.66,0.68,0.69,0.67,0.61,0.61,0.59,0.54,0.61,0.7,0.51,0.6,0.63,0.55,0.61,0.52,0.65,0.65,0.78,0.77,0.83,0.88,0.78,0.74,0.75,0.89,0.91,0.9,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.4%
BOS 112, IND 117	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.53,0.52,0.55,0.53,0.55,0.5,0.49,0.47,0.56,0.57,0.58,0.6,0.55,0.65,0.65,0.63,0.61,0.71,0.65,0.59,0.56,0.54,0.55,0.63,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.58,0.62,0.66,0.73,0.81,0.79,0.87,0.81,0.86,0.94,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.91,1	94.4%