inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Boston Celtics 111 Excitement5.2 [787] MVPPaul Pierce (BOS): +24.8%
Milwaukee Bucks 98 Comeback12.1 [65] LVPMo Williams (MIL): -16.2%


Boston Celtics
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Paul Pierce0.250,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.26,0.26,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.250.180.070.001577%0.345-0.091486%-0.00
Wally Szczerbiak0.190,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.190.180.030.03981%0.1900.008100%0.04
Ryan Gomes0.110,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.110.070.03-0.011068%0.131-0.02250%-0.01
Al Jefferson0.080,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.080.030.070.02562%0.102-0.03667%-0.04
Gerald Green0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.000.002100%0.0400.0000%0.00
Tony Allen0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.010.02-0.00450%0.0300.0000%0.00
Delonte West0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01-0.060.05-0.02729%0.031-0.0200%0.00
Sebastian Telfair0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,00.030.010.04960%0.031-0.032100%0.01
Rajon Rondo0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Brian Scalabrine-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.000.01425%-0.0300.0000%0.00
Kendrick Perkins-0.130,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13-0.11-0.03-0.01731%-0.063-0.08250%-0.01

Milwaukee Bucks
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Charlie Bell0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.20.200.120.07-0.016108%0.221-0.0200%0.00
Ruben Patterson0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.080.13-0.020.03879%0.0800.003100%0.01
Michael Redd0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.08,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.060.060.120.000.071660%0.081-0.03887%0.01
Brian Skinner0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.040.000.00375%0.0500.002100%0.01
Steve Blake0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.020.000.00275%0.0200.0000%0.00
Damir Markota00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Chris McCray00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Andrew Bogut0,0,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.030.01-0.020.031264%0.064-0.094100%0.01
Ersan Ilyasova0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.03-0.000.01437%-0.011-0.0200%0.00
David Noel0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.04-0.01-0.02733%-0.021-0.021100%0.00
Dan Gadzuric0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.07-0.08-0.00-0.02517%-0.051-0.0220%-0.03
Mo Williams0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16-0.16-0.14-0.05-0.041332%-0.054-0.1120%-0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game24.51.837.70.131.70.232.2128.1
league avg28.72.429.915.926.52.434.0141.5
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
BOS +36.0%
BOS +5.6%
BOS +7.3%
BOS +7.8%
MIL -6.7%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsBOSMILNBABOSMILNBA
this game17.214.415.4123.3106.5104.5
season15.515.2101.7105.3
opponent15.515.3109.9105.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
BOS17.017.015.519.717.2
MIL14.513.515.814.014.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Boston Celtics
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Sebastian Telfair66690.76-0.261.020.0325-123717.815.72.0214.813.51.29
Paul Pierce75770.54-0.040.590.0517-42117.316.70.6014.215.9-1.70
Ryan Gomes66670.54-0.040.580.1314-11517.316.90.4314.813.51.27
Wally Szczerbiak62640.360.140.21-0.0514-11517.815.91.8914.414.6-0.23
Kendrick Perkins61630.300.200.11-0.02112917.017.8-0.8314.614.10.45
Al Jefferson29290.200.30-0.110.14211-917.817.00.8314.114.6-0.45
Delonte West35350.020.48-0.470.22-720-2716.817.5-0.7114.314.6-0.30
Brian Scalabrine2325-0.010.51-0.53-0.04112-1117.617.10.4513.514.8-1.27
Rajon Rondo10-0.020.52-0.550.03-215-172.017.4-15.400.014.4-14.45
Tony Allen2121-0.090.59-0.670.06-518-2315.117.9-2.7914.414.5-0.08
Gerald Green1110-0.090.59-0.680.06-518-2315.517.5-2.0315.614.31.30

Milwaukee Bucks
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Steve Blake16180.31-0.811.11-0.0211-243511.915.0-3.1117.517.20.33
David Noel37340.04-0.540.590.011-141514.814.20.6115.418.3-2.88
Damir Markota110.00-0.500.500.000-13134.014.6-10.5624.017.26.84
Chris McCray110.00-0.500.500.000-13134.014.6-10.5624.017.26.84
Ruben Patterson5755-0.08-0.420.340.04-4-9514.614.10.4917.516.80.66
Ersan Ilyasova2323-0.15-0.350.200.12-9-4-516.013.92.0117.417.20.21
Dan Gadzuric2829-0.15-0.350.20-0.09-2-11914.614.40.2316.417.6-1.16
Charlie Bell5050-0.30-0.20-0.10-0.18-4-9513.915.1-1.2418.315.92.40
Brian Skinner2424-0.32-0.18-0.13-0.14-6-7114.014.6-0.6618.516.81.73
Andrew Bogut7369-0.49-0.01-0.490.03-185-2314.514.10.4317.317.00.24
Michael Redd7977-0.550.05-0.60-0.23-11-2-914.613.60.9717.217.7-0.54
Mo Williams7169-0.810.31-1.12-0.14-2310-3314.713.41.3216.718.9-2.12


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.45,0.45,0.43,0.44,0.4,0.45,0.54,0.53,0.55,0.56,0.53,0.6,0.61,0.66,0.76,0.82,0.83,0.86,0.86,0.84,0.86,0.88,0.87,0.84,0.74,0.85,0.69,0.66,0.56,0.48,0.38,0.3,0.21,0.29,0.19,0.21,0.08,0.03,0.02,0.01,0,0,0
GameSimilarity Score
DAL 91, ATL 810.5,0.49,0.49,0.55,0.53,0.5,0.55,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.53,0.58,0.51,0.52,0.58,0.6,0.55,0.51,0.57,0.59,0.64,0.8,0.84,0.92,0.86,0.86,0.86,0.84,0.8,0.85,0.88,0.85,0.83,0.75,0.8,0.74,0.56,0.42,0.3,0.18,0.14,0.09,0.04,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.01,0,0,093.3%
HOU 99, CHI 930.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.47,0.43,0.44,0.4,0.34,0.35,0.37,0.38,0.44,0.4,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.56,0.58,0.68,0.75,0.76,0.79,0.83,0.84,0.8,0.81,0.82,0.75,0.85,0.84,0.79,0.78,0.66,0.52,0.63,0.6,0.46,0.26,0.21,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.04,092.6%
CHI 89, MIA 780.5,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.55,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.47,0.45,0.43,0.4,0.49,0.46,0.53,0.42,0.45,0.51,0.56,0.61,0.71,0.74,0.84,0.86,0.89,0.94,0.94,0.91,0.85,0.83,0.76,0.71,0.75,0.65,0.59,0.48,0.32,0.26,0.13,0.07,0.08,0.07,0.04,0.05,0.1,0.02,0.01,0,0,092.4%