NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Houston Rockets	99		Excitement	5.4 [586]		MVP	Chase Budinger (HOU): +17.8%
Chicago Bulls	93		Comeback	6.8 [43]		LVP	CJ Watson (CHI): -15.7%

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Chase Budinger	0.18	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.09,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.08	0.07	-0.02	10	65%	0.18	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Goran Dragic	0.17	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.17,0.17	0.11	0.06	0.00	12	68%	0.19	1	-0.01	7	71%	-0.01
Earl Boykins	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.02	0.04	-0.01	8	56%	0.09	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Luis Scola	0.06	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.01	0.05	0.00	17	53%	0.10	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Patrick Patterson	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.02	0.02	-0.00	3	62%	0.05	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Marcus Camby	0.02	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.00	0.02	-0.00	12	50%	0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Samuel Dalembert	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chandler Parsons	-0.01	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.01	-0.01	7	43%	0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Marcus Morris	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.00	-0.00	4	0%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Courtney Lee	-0.09	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.09,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.14,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.09	-0.07	-0.01	0.01	14	39%	-0.04	2	-0.05	5	100%	0.01

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Luol Deng	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.08,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.14	0.03	0.05	14	73%	0.18	2	-0.06	5	80%	0.00
Omer Asik	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.02	0.02	0.00	1	67%	0.04	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.02
Joakim Noah	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.06	-0.02	0.02	11	62%	0.05	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Ronnie Brewer	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.01	-0.01	7	43%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Carlos Boozer	0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	0.02	0.03	14	55%	0.05	2	-0.04	1	0%	-0.01
Taj Gibson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	4	36%	0.00	0	0.00	3	0%	-0.07
Jimmy Butler	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
John Lucas III	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.06	-0.02	-0.01	9	44%	-0.02	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Kyle Korver	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08	-0.08	-0.06	-0.03	-0.01	9	44%	0.00	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Richard Hamilton	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.12	-0.00	-0.00	7	37%	-0.03	5	-0.10	2	50%	-0.01
CJ Watson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.16	-0.14	-0.03	-0.01	7	14%	-0.08	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.8	1.7	29.5	15.0	26.1	1.7	36.0	131.8
league avg	25.5	2.3	29.8	14.2	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

HOU +32.2%

HOU +2.1%

CHI -13.8%

HOU +26.5%

HOU +3.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	HOU	CHI	NBA	HOU	CHI	NBA
this game	17.0	15.0	15.6	111.2	102.2	102.8
season	15.4	16.0		103.5	104.7
opponent	15.9	15.5		97.0	103.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
HOU	19.1	20.5	15.0	14.2	17.0
CHI	16.9	13.2	17.7	13.0	15.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Luis Scola	77	78	0.61	-0.11	0.71	0.23	13	-7	20	16.0	23.2	-7.15	15.3	13.8	1.49
Chase Budinger	49	49	0.53	-0.03	0.56	0.47	2	4	-2	17.5	16.3	1.14	13.9	16.3	-2.39
Courtney Lee	70	72	0.37	0.13	0.24	0.22	5	1	4	16.2	19.9	-3.78	14.9	15.6	-0.68
Patrick Patterson	38	40	0.35	0.15	0.20	0.41	-2	8	-10	17.0	16.9	0.09	13.2	16.5	-3.20
Chandler Parsons	51	52	0.31	0.19	0.11	-0.10	14	-8	22	15.7	18.7	-2.93	16.7	12.9	3.76
Marcus Camby	55	56	0.29	0.21	0.09	-0.06	12	-6	18	16.6	17.6	-1.08	16.1	13.3	2.81
Goran Dragic	60	61	0.26	0.24	0.03	0.03	8	-2	10	16.1	18.8	-2.74	15.5	14.1	1.41
Earl Boykins	29	30	0.24	0.26	-0.03	0.30	-2	8	-10	18.8	16.1	2.74	14.1	15.5	-1.41
Marcus Morris	8	9	-0.21	0.71	-0.92	0.06	-9	15	-24	28.9	15.8	13.07	12.9	15.3	-2.39
Samuel Dalembert	8	8	-0.25	0.75	-1.00	0.07	-11	17	-28	28.9	15.8	13.07	14.4	15.1	-0.73

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jimmy Butler	1	1	0.01	-0.52	0.53	0.01	0	-6	6	0.0	15.2	-15.21	21.0	16.9	4.07
Joakim Noah	69	67	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	-0.17	5	-11	16	14.7	16.0	-1.32	16.6	18.2	-1.66
John Lucas III	47	45	-0.09	-0.41	0.31	-0.39	10	-16	26	13.0	17.2	-4.27	16.9	17.1	-0.18
Taj Gibson	23	24	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	-0.23	4	-10	14	14.4	15.3	-0.87	21.7	15.2	6.53
Kyle Korver	40	39	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	-0.35	8	-14	22	13.2	16.5	-3.29	17.5	16.6	0.91
Richard Hamilton	37	36	-0.12	-0.38	0.25	0.08	-7	1	-8	17.4	13.4	3.93	16.1	17.6	-1.50
Ronnie Brewer	26	26	-0.25	-0.25	-0.00	-0.16	-3	-3	0	14.2	15.4	-1.14	20.4	15.6	4.87
Carlos Boozer	68	65	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.10	-10	4	-14	15.3	14.4	0.87	15.2	21.7	-6.53
CJ Watson	43	43	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	0.05	-16	10	-26	17.7	12.7	4.94	17.0	17.0	-0.00
Omer Asik	22	22	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	-0.15	-11	5	-16	16.0	14.7	1.32	18.2	16.6	1.66
Luol Deng	79	77	-0.51	0.01	-0.51	-0.21	-10	4	-14	15.2	14.3	0.82	16.0	23.4	-7.44

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.47,0.43,0.44,0.4,0.34,0.35,0.37,0.38,0.44,0.4,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.56,0.58,0.68,0.75,0.76,0.79,0.83,0.84,0.8,0.81,0.82,0.75,0.85,0.84,0.79,0.78,0.66,0.52,0.63,0.6,0.46,0.26,0.21,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.04,0
Game		Similarity Score
BOS 111, MIL 98	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.45,0.45,0.43,0.44,0.4,0.45,0.54,0.53,0.55,0.56,0.53,0.6,0.61,0.66,0.76,0.82,0.83,0.86,0.86,0.84,0.86,0.88,0.87,0.84,0.74,0.85,0.69,0.66,0.56,0.48,0.38,0.3,0.21,0.29,0.19,0.21,0.08,0.03,0.02,0.01,0,0,0	92.6%
LAC 101, MIA 82	0.5,0.49,0.44,0.43,0.47,0.44,0.44,0.37,0.33,0.39,0.35,0.34,0.44,0.46,0.44,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.57,0.68,0.71,0.76,0.76,0.64,0.67,0.67,0.71,0.72,0.78,0.73,0.7,0.74,0.78,0.72,0.69,0.55,0.48,0.22,0.1,0.08,0.03,0.04,0.08,0.04,0.01,0,0,0,0,0	92.0%
CHI 89, MIA 78	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.55,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.47,0.45,0.43,0.4,0.49,0.46,0.53,0.42,0.45,0.51,0.56,0.61,0.71,0.74,0.84,0.86,0.89,0.94,0.94,0.91,0.85,0.83,0.76,0.71,0.75,0.65,0.59,0.48,0.32,0.26,0.13,0.07,0.08,0.07,0.04,0.05,0.1,0.02,0.01,0,0,0	91.8%