NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Clippers	101		Excitement	4.9 [822]		MVP	Elton Brand (LAC): +10.8%
Miami Heat	82		Comeback	4.0 [319]		LVP	Caron Butler (MIA): -12.7%

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Elton Brand	0.11	0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.08	0.06	0.03	17	66%	0.15	2	-0.04	4	25%	-0.02
Corey Maggette	0.09	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.01	0.05	-0.03	12	61%	0.12	2	-0.03	7	86%	0.03
Andre Miller	0.05	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.01	0.03	-0.02	12	56%	0.05	0	0.00	15	93%	0.06
Eric Piatkowski	0.04	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.06	-0.01	0.01	9	68%	0.05	1	-0.01	1	100%	0.00
Michael Olowokandi	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.11,-0.11,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	0.02	0.00	12	61%	0.07	4	-0.08	7	71%	0.01
Marko Jaric	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	2	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Keyon Dooling	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.03	-0.00	0.02	4	37%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Sean Rooks	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.07	-0.01	0.00	3	0%	-0.06	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Miami Heat
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Rasual Butler	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	14	48%	0.02	1	-0.01	3	100%	0.01
Anthony Carter	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	5	40%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Malik Allen	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.02	0.01	-0.01	9	55%	0.06	2	-0.06	2	50%	-0.02
LaPhonso Ellis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mike James	0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.01	-0.02	0.02	13	50%	-0.02	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brian Grant	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	-0.01	-0.03	8	45%	-0.03	1	-0.00	4	75%	-0.01
Eddie Jones	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	14	44%	-0.00	1	-0.04	4	75%	0.00
Vladimir Stepania	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	0.00	3	33%	-0.00	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Caron Butler	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.11	-0.03	-0.02	14	38%	-0.11	1	-0.02	9	89%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.3	2.4	34.1	17.0	30.4	1.8	26.5	135.6
league avg	46.1	2.3	28.0	14.7	24.5	2.3	29.9	149.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAC +32.0%

LAC +19.1%

MIA -2.7%

MIA -0.6%

LAC +2.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAC	MIA	NBA	LAC	MIA	NBA
this game	16.3	17.2	15.5	118.8	94.3	101.6
season	15.4	16.3		100.2	94.6
opponent	15.9	15.4		100.7	104.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAC	16.4	16.2	13.8	18.9	16.3
MIA	17.9	16.5	18.1	16.1	17.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Corey Maggette	75	76	0.85	-0.35	1.19	-0.06	31	-12	43	15.9	19.4	-3.51	17.5	15.1	2.38
Andre Miller	73	73	0.74	-0.24	0.97	-0.05	27	-8	35	15.8	19.2	-3.33	17.5	15.4	2.16
Elton Brand	84	85	0.62	-0.12	0.75	-0.05	23	-4	27	16.3	18.0	-1.71	17.3	12.5	4.78
Michael Olowokandi	79	82	0.57	-0.07	0.64	-0.07	22	-3	25	15.9	21.5	-5.59	17.1	17.8	-0.67
Eric Piatkowski	61	64	0.28	0.22	0.05	0.07	7	12	-5	15.1	19.2	-4.10	17.6	16.0	1.65
Keyon Dooling	33	35	-0.01	0.51	-0.52	-0.13	4	15	-11	19.0	14.6	4.40	15.4	18.4	-2.97
Sean Rooks	7	7	-0.19	0.69	-0.89	0.01	-7	26	-33	21.0	15.9	5.12	16.3	17.2	-0.96
Marko Jaric	13	13	-0.35	0.85	-1.20	0.00	-12	31	-43	19.9	15.7	4.27	16.1	17.4	-1.29

Miami Heat
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Malik Allen	59	59	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	0.10	-4	-15	11	17.6	16.4	1.20	16.3	16.4	-0.17
Vladimir Stepania	32	28	-0.18	-0.32	0.13	-0.07	-4	-15	11	16.5	17.5	-1.01	14.3	17.3	-2.96
Rasual Butler	41	41	-0.20	-0.30	0.11	0.07	-9	-10	1	16.1	18.1	-2.03	18.3	14.4	3.89
Anthony Carter	31	31	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	0.05	-9	-10	1	18.0	16.7	1.24	13.8	17.7	-3.88
Eddie Jones	77	76	-0.25	-0.25	-0.01	0.13	-13	-6	-7	17.2	16.7	0.53	16.2	16.9	-0.65
Mike James	56	54	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	0.01	-10	-9	-1	16.7	18.0	-1.24	17.7	13.8	3.88
LaPhonso Ellis	8	7	-0.37	-0.13	-0.23	-0.01	-12	-7	-5	18.2	17.1	1.19	13.9	16.5	-2.67
Brian Grant	67	68	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	-0.05	-13	-6	-7	17.7	15.4	2.30	17.2	12.7	4.50
Caron Butler	64	61	-0.55	0.05	-0.60	0.06	-21	2	-23	17.1	17.5	-0.42	15.3	18.9	-3.64

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.44,0.43,0.47,0.44,0.44,0.37,0.33,0.39,0.35,0.34,0.44,0.46,0.44,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.57,0.68,0.71,0.76,0.76,0.64,0.67,0.67,0.71,0.72,0.78,0.73,0.7,0.74,0.78,0.72,0.69,0.55,0.48,0.22,0.1,0.08,0.03,0.04,0.08,0.04,0.01,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
HOU 99, CHI 93	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.47,0.43,0.44,0.4,0.34,0.35,0.37,0.38,0.44,0.4,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.56,0.58,0.68,0.75,0.76,0.79,0.83,0.84,0.8,0.81,0.82,0.75,0.85,0.84,0.79,0.78,0.66,0.52,0.63,0.6,0.46,0.26,0.21,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.04,0	92.0%
DEN 110, MIN 102	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.48,0.51,0.43,0.37,0.39,0.43,0.45,0.51,0.57,0.6,0.58,0.53,0.49,0.47,0.52,0.56,0.64,0.61,0.61,0.61,0.63,0.6,0.69,0.64,0.7,0.73,0.71,0.65,0.59,0.56,0.4,0.32,0.22,0.15,0.07,0.03,0.01,0.06,0.05,0.1,0.01,0.02,0,0,0	91.8%
SAC 85, SAS 79	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.5,0.5,0.47,0.47,0.51,0.45,0.4,0.42,0.4,0.46,0.47,0.42,0.4,0.4,0.42,0.44,0.53,0.56,0.69,0.72,0.75,0.78,0.71,0.74,0.72,0.67,0.79,0.82,0.78,0.75,0.73,0.64,0.44,0.22,0.13,0.12,0.2,0.15,0.14,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.15,0.08,0	91.0%