NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Dallas Mavericks	91		Excitement	5.0 [794]		MVP	Howard Eisley (DAL): +16.5%
Atlanta Hawks	81		Comeback	11.9 [183]		LVP	Brevin Knight (ATL): -13.7%

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Howard Eisley	0.17	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.06,0.13,0.13,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.16,0.16	0.06	0.09	-0.01	13	67%	0.19	2	-0.02	7	100%	0.01
Dirk Nowitzki	0.09	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.07	0.03	0.01	16	65%	0.12	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.00
Greg Buckner	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.03	0.04	-0.01	6	69%	0.10	1	-0.03	4	50%	-0.01
Shawn Bradley	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	-0.03	0.05	-0.01	12	44%	0.06	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Courtney Alexander	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	0.00	2	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Michael Finley	-0.02	0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	0.01	14	47%	-0.02	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.01
Loy Vaught	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Gary Trent	-0.05	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.00	0.00	6	46%	-0.01	2	-0.04	1	0%	-0.01
Hubert Davis	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.07	-0.00	-0.02	3	0%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Christian Laettner	-0.06	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.07	0.00	-0.00	4	25%	-0.02	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
DerMarr Johnson	0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.05	-0.02	0.01	15	53%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Cal Bowdler	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.02	0.00	0.02	1	100%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Crawford	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.04	-0.02	-0.04	8	50%	0.04	2	-0.06	2	50%	-0.00
Jason Terry	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.02	18	47%	-0.03	1	-0.01	9	89%	0.04
Roshown McLeod	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	6	33%	-0.04	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Hanno Mottola	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.06	0.00	-0.00	4	0%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dikembe Mutombo	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.12	0.01	-0.03	8	35%	-0.01	4	-0.07	1	0%	-0.02
Dion Glover	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.08	-0.01	-0.00	5	0%	-0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Alan Henderson	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.07	-0.03	-0.01	9	50%	-0.03	3	-0.07	6	33%	-0.04
Brevin Knight	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.07,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.13	-0.03	-0.03	12	39%	-0.04	4	-0.10	4	75%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	253.5	1.8	25.5	16.0	22.2	2.4	31.4	352.8
league avg	28.8	2.2	28.9	16.6	26.2	2.2	33.1	139.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DAL +54.2%

DAL +2.0%

ATL -15.5%

DAL +9.9%

ATL -0.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DAL	ATL	NBA	DAL	ATL	NBA
this game	15.1	15.9	15.5	97.8	87.1	100.9
season	15.2	15.4		104.6	96.0
opponent	15.1	15.3		101.6	101.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DAL	14.3	15.9	13.8	16.4	15.1
ATL	14.5	12.9	18.1	18.8	15.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Shawn Bradley	53	54	0.82	-0.32	1.14	0.11	24	-14	38	14.1	16.4	-2.29	17.0	14.3	2.65
Greg Buckner	34	35	0.80	-0.30	1.10	0.15	22	-12	34	13.6	16.0	-2.38	17.0	15.2	1.86
Hubert Davis	51	51	0.79	-0.29	1.07	0.08	24	-14	38	13.9	16.6	-2.69	16.5	15.0	1.50
Howard Eisley	81	80	0.56	-0.06	0.62	0.21	12	-2	14	15.3	13.7	1.64	15.9	15.7	0.21
Dirk Nowitzki	77	77	0.24	0.26	-0.02	0.12	4	6	-2	14.6	17.5	-2.90	15.6	17.1	-1.51
Michael Finley	78	79	0.03	0.47	-0.45	0.14	-4	14	-18	15.4	13.3	2.10	15.9	15.7	0.18
Loy Vaught	12	12	-0.04	0.54	-0.58	0.02	-2	12	-14	16.8	14.8	1.99	15.3	16.0	-0.62
Gary Trent	30	30	-0.06	0.56	-0.62	-0.00	-2	12	-14	15.6	14.9	0.74	15.9	15.9	0.04
Courtney Alexander	11	10	-0.31	0.81	-1.11	0.10	-14	24	-38	20.5	14.4	6.18	9.2	16.7	-7.47
Christian Laettner	38	37	-0.32	0.82	-1.14	0.09	-14	24	-38	16.8	13.9	2.86	14.6	16.7	-2.12

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Cal Bowdler	2	2	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.00	0	-10	10	9.5	16.0	-6.51	9.0	15.2	-6.23
Roshown McLeod	25	26	-0.04	-0.46	0.41	-0.16	4	-14	18	14.0	16.6	-2.56	16.9	14.4	2.54
Jason Terry	72	73	-0.05	-0.45	0.41	-0.19	5	-15	20	15.8	16.0	-0.17	16.0	11.8	4.20
Hanno Mottola	20	18	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	0.09	-5	-5	0	16.1	15.8	0.36	13.5	15.5	-1.98
Alan Henderson	71	72	-0.23	-0.27	0.05	-0.26	1	-11	12	15.7	16.5	-0.82	15.5	13.7	1.85
Dikembe Mutombo	82	82	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	-0.18	-4	-6	2	16.3	12.7	3.57	15.7	10.3	5.47
Chris Crawford	32	31	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.10	-8	-2	-6	14.2	16.7	-2.47	13.2	16.1	-2.90
Dion Glover	31	29	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.01	-13	3	-16	15.2	16.2	-1.02	12.6	16.2	-3.60
DerMarr Johnson	47	48	-0.54	0.04	-0.58	-0.01	-18	8	-26	17.7	14.0	3.66	14.5	15.8	-1.28
Brevin Knight	83	84	-0.56	0.06	-0.63	-0.21	-12	2	-14	16.2	13.5	2.66	15.2	14.4	0.72

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.55,0.53,0.5,0.55,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.53,0.58,0.51,0.52,0.58,0.6,0.55,0.51,0.57,0.59,0.64,0.8,0.84,0.92,0.86,0.86,0.86,0.84,0.8,0.85,0.88,0.85,0.83,0.75,0.8,0.74,0.56,0.42,0.3,0.18,0.14,0.09,0.04,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.01,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
DAL 93, MIA 72	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.57,0.58,0.59,0.63,0.57,0.55,0.55,0.57,0.58,0.56,0.54,0.6,0.64,0.62,0.65,0.69,0.65,0.66,0.73,0.69,0.75,0.75,0.82,0.88,0.86,0.73,0.81,0.86,0.82,0.78,0.79,0.79,0.74,0.64,0.5,0.38,0.21,0.2,0.07,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	93.7%
BOS 111, MIL 98	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.45,0.45,0.43,0.44,0.4,0.45,0.54,0.53,0.55,0.56,0.53,0.6,0.61,0.66,0.76,0.82,0.83,0.86,0.86,0.84,0.86,0.88,0.87,0.84,0.74,0.85,0.69,0.66,0.56,0.48,0.38,0.3,0.21,0.29,0.19,0.21,0.08,0.03,0.02,0.01,0,0,0	93.3%
PHX 106, SAS 95	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.57,0.58,0.58,0.61,0.53,0.47,0.53,0.51,0.6,0.65,0.65,0.64,0.68,0.67,0.67,0.76,0.73,0.8,0.84,0.83,0.8,0.86,0.84,0.82,0.82,0.81,0.79,0.79,0.74,0.68,0.66,0.7,0.52,0.38,0.34,0.25,0.1,0.12,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0	93.2%