NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Phoenix Suns	106		Excitement	5.4 [706]		MVP	Cedric Ceballos (PHX): +14.5%
San Antonio Spurs	95		Comeback	6.5 [347]		LVP	Kevin Johnson (PHX): -12.6%

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Cedric Ceballos	0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.15	0.20	0.00	0.05	10	100%	0.19	1	-0.05	2	100%	0.02
Rex Chapman	0.09	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.02	0.08	0.02	19	55%	0.16	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Jason Kidd	0.08	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	-0.05	0.06	-0.06	11	46%	0.08	2	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03
Danny Manning	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.07	-0.01	0.01	6	86%	0.09	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Hot Rod Williams	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.03	0.01	0.02	6	62%	0.02	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.02
Steve Nash	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	0.00	0.01	1	100%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Wayman Tisdale	-0.03	0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.05	0.01	-0.01	12	39%	-0.03	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Loren Meyer	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.00	-0.00	0.03	5	50%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Kevin Johnson	-0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.10	-0.05	-0.03	13	35%	-0.11	1	-0.02	5	60%	-0.04

San Antonio Spurs
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Avery Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.01	-0.00	5	60%	0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Greg Anderson	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.01	-0.00	0.00	6	67%	0.04	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Jamie Feick	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03	-0.03	0.02	0.01	0.06	9	60%	-0.01	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Vernon Maxwell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.06	0.00	-0.02	12	29%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Vinny Del Negro	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	0.01	0.02	14	43%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Will Perdue	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.1,0.07,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.01	-0.04	0.00	13	53%	0.02	2	-0.07	4	100%	0.02
Dominique Wilkins	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.05	-0.02	0.01	12	43%	-0.05	1	-0.03	4	100%	0.02
Carl Herrera	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.07	-0.03	-0.00	12	33%	-0.06	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Cory Alexander	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.09,0.07,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.04,0.02,-0.05,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.02	-0.08	0.01	14	50%	-0.03	3	-0.09	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.2	2.3	24.6	15.7	21.8	1.7	20.5	109.6
league avg	32.7	2.1	23.2	15.3	25.7	2.1	33.1	135.6

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHX +57.9%

SAS -2.1%

SAS -19.9%

PHX +14.2%

SAS -0.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHX	SAS	NBA	PHX	SAS	NBA
this game	13.6	17.0	15.6	112.8	101.1	104.4
season	14.6	16.8		106.8	100.8
opponent	15.4	15.6		109.4	106.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHX	15.5	13.3	11.2	14.6	13.6
SAS	15.2	16.2	19.6	17.3	17.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Cedric Ceballos	44	45	0.69	-0.19	0.89	0.23	16	-5	21	13.6	13.6	0.04	16.9	17.1	-0.21
Jason Kidd	86	87	0.56	-0.06	0.63	0.12	15	-4	19	13.1	19.2	-6.16	16.8	20.3	-3.53
Hot Rod Williams	74	74	0.48	0.02	0.45	0.21	9	2	7	12.9	16.3	-3.47	16.8	17.8	-0.99
Rex Chapman	76	75	0.37	0.13	0.24	0.08	10	1	9	13.4	14.7	-1.37	17.9	13.4	4.58
Kevin Johnson	86	86	0.30	0.20	0.10	0.15	5	6	-1	14.2	7.5	6.69	16.5	22.7	-6.26
Danny Manning	41	40	0.23	0.27	-0.04	0.08	5	6	-1	13.7	13.6	0.07	17.8	16.4	1.44
Steve Nash	5	7	-0.02	0.52	-0.53	-0.07	2	9	-7	11.8	13.7	-1.92	18.0	16.9	1.06
Loren Meyer	20	20	-0.05	0.55	-0.60	0.12	-6	17	-23	17.3	12.6	4.74	14.5	17.7	-3.20
Wayman Tisdale	38	36	-0.06	0.56	-0.63	-0.03	-1	12	-13	13.7	13.6	0.11	17.9	16.5	1.36

San Antonio Spurs
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Vinny Del Negro	71	67	0.12	-0.62	0.74	-0.03	5	-16	21	16.7	18.1	-1.47	15.1	9.8	5.33
Greg Anderson	29	30	0.08	-0.58	0.65	0.02	2	-13	15	16.4	17.3	-0.88	13.6	13.6	-0.03
Avery Johnson	39	39	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	0.05	-4	-7	3	18.0	16.3	1.72	13.3	13.9	-0.62
Dominique Wilkins	56	57	-0.27	-0.23	-0.03	0.06	-11	0	-11	18.2	15.3	2.82	12.5	15.3	-2.73
Jamie Feick	50	51	-0.32	-0.18	-0.15	-0.09	-8	-3	-5	16.1	18.1	-1.97	14.4	12.7	1.69
Vernon Maxwell	54	56	-0.41	-0.09	-0.33	-0.33	-3	-8	5	16.4	17.8	-1.36	13.3	14.1	-0.86
Cory Alexander	55	55	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	-0.23	-7	-4	-3	16.3	18.0	-1.72	13.9	13.3	0.62
Will Perdue	65	64	-0.58	0.08	-0.65	-0.19	-13	2	-15	17.3	16.4	0.88	13.6	13.6	0.03
Carl Herrera	51	51	-0.62	0.12	-0.74	-0.15	-16	5	-21	17.8	16.1	1.67	12.4	15.0	-2.63

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.57,0.58,0.58,0.61,0.53,0.47,0.53,0.51,0.6,0.65,0.65,0.64,0.68,0.67,0.67,0.76,0.73,0.8,0.84,0.83,0.8,0.86,0.84,0.82,0.82,0.81,0.79,0.79,0.74,0.68,0.66,0.7,0.52,0.38,0.34,0.25,0.1,0.12,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
CLE 108, SAC 98	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.59,0.57,0.6,0.61,0.58,0.6,0.66,0.7,0.69,0.73,0.75,0.76,0.74,0.73,0.78,0.74,0.81,0.84,0.88,0.89,0.91,0.92,0.85,0.84,0.79,0.77,0.73,0.79,0.63,0.52,0.3,0.22,0.09,0.05,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0.01,0.02,0,0	93.9%
DAL 93, MIA 72	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.57,0.58,0.59,0.63,0.57,0.55,0.55,0.57,0.58,0.56,0.54,0.6,0.64,0.62,0.65,0.69,0.65,0.66,0.73,0.69,0.75,0.75,0.82,0.88,0.86,0.73,0.81,0.86,0.82,0.78,0.79,0.79,0.74,0.64,0.5,0.38,0.21,0.2,0.07,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	93.8%
CHH 118, LAC 101	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.55,0.56,0.58,0.59,0.59,0.63,0.65,0.68,0.66,0.65,0.64,0.7,0.69,0.67,0.65,0.68,0.75,0.76,0.75,0.79,0.78,0.75,0.86,0.91,0.95,0.89,0.88,0.87,0.78,0.79,0.63,0.6,0.48,0.38,0.25,0.14,0.07,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	93.4%